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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16509445 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #14220 on: August 30, 2012, 12:08:35 PM »

Leicester City FC

"Huddersfield Town are expected to enquire about the availability of Jermaine Beckford."
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« Reply #14221 on: August 30, 2012, 12:33:23 PM »

Hi there, As stated previously, I am a lurker on this thread purely because I am a 'mug punter' and want to change that. Therefore I can offer little in the way of tips with any sound footing, other than those around Southend United.

The Southend United is Paul Sturrock, who in League 2, (wrongly) believes the only way out of the division is to utilise direct play to a lump up front, none of this short passes malarkey. At this current moment, the two players who play this role, are injured. After Saturdays game against Northampton, Paul Sturrock said the following:-

You have to have a target-man if you want to do well in this league,” said Sturrock.

“You saw that when Ryan went up there and also when Akinfenwa came on for Northampton.

“We don't have that type of striker available at the moment and we have to have one if we are to challenge this year

Sturrock has tried to sign a target man this week, to no avail. (No funds and possible transfer embargo currently). Therefore, the man who robbed you lot on Saturday of a Northampton win, will in my opinion start up front this Saturday. He is a centre back called Ryan Cresswell. This is by all means a guess, but Sturrock has previous for this kind of thing

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/southend-v-wycombe/first-goalscorer

I suggest a cheeky £5 on say first goalscorer and last goalscorer, as the bookies have him down as 'centre back odds', and even if he doesn't start up front, he is good at set pieces, and will get pushed up front at the dying stages of a game if a goal is needed.....

Think this is an outstanding bet.

Worth far more than a fiver.

FWIW This was the bet I posted trying to get with skybet.
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« Reply #14222 on: August 30, 2012, 12:40:23 PM »

Leicester City FC

"Huddersfield Town are expected to enquire about the availability of Jermaine Beckford."

Paul Gallagher so the rumour around bbc radio leeds says.
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« Reply #14223 on: August 30, 2012, 12:45:42 PM »

Leicester City FC

"Huddersfield Town are expected to enquire about the availability of Jermaine Beckford."

Paul Gallagher so the rumour around bbc radio leeds says.

Good. Someone is welcome to the lazy so and so. (pick any one of 15 names that applies to)
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« Reply #14224 on: August 30, 2012, 12:54:10 PM »

Hi there, As stated previously, I am a lurker on this thread purely because I am a 'mug punter' and want to change that. Therefore I can offer little in the way of tips with any sound footing, other than those around Southend United.

The Southend United is Paul Sturrock, who in League 2, (wrongly) believes the only way out of the division is to utilise direct play to a lump up front, none of this short passes malarkey. At this current moment, the two players who play this role, are injured. After Saturdays game against Northampton, Paul Sturrock said the following:-

You have to have a target-man if you want to do well in this league,” said Sturrock.

“You saw that when Ryan went up there and also when Akinfenwa came on for Northampton.

“We don't have that type of striker available at the moment and we have to have one if we are to challenge this year

Sturrock has tried to sign a target man this week, to no avail. (No funds and possible transfer embargo currently). Therefore, the man who robbed you lot on Saturday of a Northampton win, will in my opinion start up front this Saturday. He is a centre back called Ryan Cresswell. This is by all means a guess, but Sturrock has previous for this kind of thing

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/southend-v-wycombe/first-goalscorer

I suggest a cheeky £5 on say first goalscorer and last goalscorer, as the bookies have him down as 'centre back odds', and even if he doesn't start up front, he is good at set pieces, and will get pushed up front at the dying stages of a game if a goal is needed.....

Think this is an outstanding bet.

Worth far more than a fiver.

FWIW This was the bet I posted trying to get with skybet.

For sure worth more than a fiver, if whats stated is true. 25s with Coral, Bodog and Skybet available. Presume this is still a lump?
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« Reply #14225 on: August 30, 2012, 01:00:57 PM »

Ignore my previous recommendation on Helsinki.  Manager has said he will rest entire first team as they are out of tie already.  If anything I think I like Bilbao......can't see Helsinki having anything like the depth of Bilbao.
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« Reply #14226 on: August 30, 2012, 01:01:08 PM »

Not saying its not a bet and value still perhaps there, but this was real value the last 2 games when mark langdon tipped him at 40's & 14's anytime.

On twitter on sunday he wrote 'If anyone knows Ryan Cresswell please give him a big hug from me' or something similar. Smiley
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« Reply #14227 on: August 30, 2012, 01:12:37 PM »

Hi there, As stated previously, I am a lurker on this thread purely because I am a 'mug punter' and want to change that. Therefore I can offer little in the way of tips with any sound footing, other than those around Southend United.

The Southend United is Paul Sturrock, who in League 2, (wrongly) believes the only way out of the division is to utilise direct play to a lump up front, none of this short passes malarkey. At this current moment, the two players who play this role, are injured. After Saturdays game against Northampton, Paul Sturrock said the following:-

You have to have a target-man if you want to do well in this league,” said Sturrock.

“You saw that when Ryan went up there and also when Akinfenwa came on for Northampton.

“We don't have that type of striker available at the moment and we have to have one if we are to challenge this year

Sturrock has tried to sign a target man this week, to no avail. (No funds and possible transfer embargo currently). Therefore, the man who robbed you lot on Saturday of a Northampton win, will in my opinion start up front this Saturday. He is a centre back called Ryan Cresswell. This is by all means a guess, but Sturrock has previous for this kind of thing

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/southend-v-wycombe/first-goalscorer

I suggest a cheeky £5 on say first goalscorer and last goalscorer, as the bookies have him down as 'centre back odds', and even if he doesn't start up front, he is good at set pieces, and will get pushed up front at the dying stages of a game if a goal is needed.....

Think this is an outstanding bet.

Worth far more than a fiver.

FWIW This was the bet I posted trying to get with skybet.

Yeah this looks like a bet to get stuck into.
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« Reply #14228 on: August 30, 2012, 01:24:30 PM »


 Click to see full-size image.



Here we can see certain market inequalities. Using Aston Villa as an example, we can see they are seen as 12th most likely team for a top 10 finish, but 5th favourites to get relegated. I suspect one of these prices is wrong, Sporting Index offer 41-42.5 on Villas points, making them 6th favourite to go down, with West Ham, Wigan, Reading, Norwich and Southampton below them. This leaves me to believe the price for Villa top 10 is way out of line. But, we cannot lay them at this price, so we must look for other prices that are inefficient in the market. Wigan are projected 38.5-40 points by Sporting Index, just a 2.5 points below. However, they are priced up at 10/1 by Betvictor. This price is clearly out of line, Southampton priced 5 points lower by Spin are 14/1 top 10, and West Ham priced 1.5 points higher are 13/2 best price.

Wigan top 10 finish- Betvictor 10/1 Max bet

Everton are always there or there abouts. In the market w/o the big 6, i would like to propose Everton @ 6/4. Newcastle are typically overrated by the market, having seen them outperform the form book last year. If they lose a few players Everton will be odds on. I also like the look of Sunderland 14/1 e/w 1/5 top 3, but would like more thoughts on this. Not as confident here.
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« Reply #14229 on: August 30, 2012, 01:51:31 PM »

Offering e/w a fifth the odds first three there is a big rick imo.  Dont have a view on Sunderland really but the place part seems value to me on all the front three in the market. Would love to bet Everton @ 6/20 for the place in this market and same 11/20 Newcastle.  Couldn't put you off at all.
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« Reply #14230 on: August 30, 2012, 01:53:38 PM »

Sorry I didn't mean the front three in the market there.  I am not so sure I like Fulham.  Definitely Sunderland>Fulham.  Bit of a bandwagon jump but Swansea seem fair also given their start.
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« Reply #14231 on: August 30, 2012, 02:01:02 PM »


For those who back to lay and dont mind waiting 8 months, wigan at 10/1 bet victor top 10, can be layed on betfair at 8/1

URL=http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/62/betwv.png/]
 Click to see full-size image.
[/URL]


Here we can see certain market inequalities. Using Aston Villa as an example, we can see they are seen as 12th most likely team for a top 10 finish, but 5th favourites to get relegated. I suspect one of these prices is wrong, Sporting Index offer 41-42.5 on Villas points, making them 6th favourite to go down, with West Ham, Wigan, Reading, Norwich and Southampton below them. This leaves me to believe the price for Villa top 10 is way out of line. But, we cannot lay them at this price, so we must look for other prices that are inefficient in the market. Wigan are projected 38.5-40 points by Sporting Index, just a 2.5 points below. However, they are priced up at 10/1 by Betvictor. This price is clearly out of line, Southampton priced 5 points lower by Spin are 14/1 top 10, and West Ham priced 1.5 points higher are 13/2 best price.

Wigan top 10 finish- Betvictor 10/1 Max bet

Everton are always there or there abouts. In the market w/o the big 6, i would like to propose Everton @ 6/4. Newcastle are typically overrated by the market, having seen them outperform the form book last year. If they lose a few players Everton will be odds on. I also like the look of Sunderland 14/1 e/w 1/5 top 3, but would like more thoughts on this. Not as confident here.

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« Reply #14232 on: August 30, 2012, 02:58:07 PM »

Golf The Deutsche Bank Championship.

Let me start by saying that I have already placed my bets so there is no danger of the Tikay plunge stealing my price again.

For a couple of months I have been following a certain golfer who always seemed to play well in the 1st round on courses where there were birdies to be had. 2 weeks ago he came good for me when he shot 8 under in the first round and landed me odds of 25-1. This is a far harder field than that but he is available at 60-1 and crucially he has an early start time.

So C Petterson 1st round leader £5 e/w 60-1 @ Stan James pays 1/4 first 5.

As far as the outright market is concerned my choice is one we had last week when he came a decent 10th, so he is in form. It is an easy course so a winning score of about 14 under is to be expected so we are not looking for grinders.

So £5 win Bubba Watson @ 33-1 Ladbrokes. That is a whimsical fiver Mr Tikay.

I have also gone for J Duffner and B Snedeker which you may choose to include if you wish, but it would be nice if some others had a go.

I have been showering 2 or 3 times a day this week trying to achieve another epiphany but sadly to no avail. However on the plus side my skin does feels all tingly.
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« Reply #14233 on: August 30, 2012, 03:07:28 PM »

Thanks class, managed to get £17.86 on Cresswell scoring at any time @ 12-1. I'm a high roller.

Love this sort of bet and there's pretty much no chance this will end up 0-0.
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« Reply #14234 on: August 30, 2012, 03:19:37 PM »

Thanks class, managed to get £17.86 on Cresswell scoring at any time @ 12-1. I'm a high roller.

Love this sort of bet and there's pretty much no chance this will end up 0-0.
88p on Cresswell hat trick @ 250/1. Fun fun fun
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