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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 602844 times)
Silo Graham
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« Reply #1425 on: March 16, 2012, 11:53:14 AM »

Of course, it was a tip, not some random punt you know Wink
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« Reply #1426 on: March 16, 2012, 01:14:49 PM »

Hi Tony

Have 20 quid each way on what a friend in the betting without long run and kauto star market at around 10/1. Course, trip and ground all fine and ran 4th in this last year. Can run 5th as long as Kauto and long run are 2 that finish in front of it and still be a winning bet.

You might get 1/4 1,2,3 if you shop around
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« Reply #1427 on: March 16, 2012, 02:41:02 PM »

Hi Tony

Have 20 quid each way on what a friend in the betting without long run and kauto star market at around 10/1. Course, trip and ground all fine and ran 4th in this last year. Can run 5th as long as Kauto and long run are 2 that finish in front of it and still be a winning bet.

You might get 1/4 1,2,3 if you shop around

TY TY (busy right now, sorry).

ON, £25 Each Way @9/1.
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« Reply #1428 on: March 16, 2012, 03:37:59 PM »

Fm, I don't mind doing my money if I at least get a run for it.
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« Reply #1429 on: March 16, 2012, 07:42:27 PM »

I think this thread is definitive proof you can't eat value.

Believe me I've tried.
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« Reply #1430 on: March 16, 2012, 07:45:31 PM »

Can I suggest a bit of e/w filth today?  Oscar Whisky and Thousand Stars @ 5/1 and 9/1 with 365.  Say £20 e/w on each?

ON

£20 EW on both. (Bet365)

Sadly, I only got 9/2 on Oscar Whisky, but I did get the 9/1 on Thousand Stars.

This is not after timing (I was at Chelters so only just seen it).. and I backed Oscar Whisky ew, so I can't say anything.

but, do you think Ladbrokes went 1/2 the odds a place on this race because they were so sure OW wouldn't stay and wanted to lay him for a place and this was the best way to do it?

It was such a strange offer.. I've never seen any bookie offer it before.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #1431 on: March 16, 2012, 07:46:29 PM »

I think this thread is definitive proof you can't eat value.

Believe me I've tried.

That Al Ferof bet must be one of the best you have had all year Keith. Took the perfect storm to stop it getting a return.
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« Reply #1432 on: March 16, 2012, 07:47:58 PM »

How did you do at Cheltenham Keith? Good week? tough week?
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« Reply #1433 on: March 16, 2012, 08:19:53 PM »

How did you do at Cheltenham Keith? Good week? tough week?

Was roughly breaking even until today.

Did my absolutes on the County Hurdle and the Triumph Hurdle though.

Gold Cup not good either.

So, all in all. Terrible!
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« Reply #1434 on: March 16, 2012, 08:22:53 PM »

I think this thread is definitive proof you can't eat value.

Believe me I've tried.

That Al Ferof bet must be one of the best you have had all year Keith. Took the perfect storm to stop it getting a return.

You don't often get bookmakers giving away money like that!

My ante post bets looked so good on Monday.

Had massive value in about 5 races, returned zero.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #1435 on: March 16, 2012, 08:28:15 PM »

very sick.
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« Reply #1436 on: March 16, 2012, 08:55:07 PM »

Whats the scores on the doors now?
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« Reply #1437 on: March 16, 2012, 09:02:48 PM »

Whats the scores on the doors now?

I missed the Daily Update both yesterday AND today, due to time pressure. (I'm up @ Walsall, working) but I'll get us up to date tomorrow morning, as I have the morning off.

I think we have had a good week, & moved nicely into profit, but I need to tally up.

MereSpreadsheet sent me a monsta good fully up to date Spreadsheet of every Bet on the Thread today, it's awesome, but I need to find out how to open it first.

PS - Just remembered, we prolly finished Chelters with a nice winner - that "Cloudy Lane" ran I think, & Chomps would never let us down, would he?
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« Reply #1438 on: March 16, 2012, 09:08:59 PM »

Can I suggest a bit of e/w filth today?  Oscar Whisky and Thousand Stars @ 5/1 and 9/1 with 365.  Say £20 e/w on each?

ON

£20 EW on both. (Bet365)

Sadly, I only got 9/2 on Oscar Whisky, but I did get the 9/1 on Thousand Stars.

This is not after timing (I was at Chelters so only just seen it).. and I backed Oscar Whisky ew, so I can't say anything.

but, do you think Ladbrokes went 1/2 the odds a place on this race because they were so sure OW wouldn't stay and wanted to lay him for a place and this was the best way to do it?

It was such a strange offer.. I've never seen any bookie offer it before.

It was a weird offer but I think it was just designed to get people putting their bets on early and therefore all the mug money goes to them too.  It is fair to say that this is the one week a year that the sharps become mugs to a degree.  Everyone has a bet on every race and we all know that is no way to win but justify as it being our Xmas etc.  Getting those sharp punters on the phone at 830-930 in the morning means you might get all the placepots, jackpots, lucky15's etc.  I am also a great believer in what I call the "square sharps".  These are the people that like a bet and are fairly educated.  They know about bad e/w races, they try to always take best price, they may understand that betting underdogs, under totals or selling in spreadbetting is generally more likely to be profitable (or less unprofitable anyway) than faves, overs and buying but ultimately that isn't enough these days and they still like a bet a bit too much and this week they won't have been able to sleep on Monday night and, somewhat inevitably, have many more bets this week than they should. Offers like this get those punters in and I think they are potentially very profitable for the firms.
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« Reply #1439 on: March 16, 2012, 09:44:24 PM »

tbh that describes the vast majority of so-called 'sharps'! (not suggesting that this is you or Camel btw!)
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