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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16481148 times)
bobby1
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« Reply #16125 on: September 21, 2012, 01:14:37 AM »

We ummed and arghed between us as to the best way to approach the game from a player perf angle and with Jonathan Stewart out at rb. I think there is a simple way to go and that is to have £55 quid on Deangelo Williams to have over 55.5 rushing yards with Bodog at 10/11

Tolbert will get some carries and it might mean Newton carries it a little more often too but Williams is the premier rb and should benefit the most from Stewart being out.

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tikay
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« Reply #16126 on: September 21, 2012, 01:19:13 AM »

Thinking about this game a bit more based on what Tighty wrote........We surmise that Cam Newton will look to pass more than usual but also that Eli Manning without his two "go to" receivers will look to pass less possibly.  I like both Cam Newton over 260.5 yards with Ladbrokes and Eli under 310.50 @ 1.85 with Bwin but what i am really looking for is a matchbet between the two.  Ladbrokes have a straight up match but looking for a bit better than 5/4 on Cam.....

Thanks Stu.

Hope I have got this right, as I'm fearfully rushed right now.

We have Newton over Manning Passing Yards, £40 @ 5/4 with Ladbrokes.

ON

Selection5/4 - Cam Newton

EventNew York Giants at Carolina Panthers - Player Props NFL Player Props

MarketMost Passing Yards Match Bet 1
 
Your bets (1)
 Single - Cam Newton
1 line at £40.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £40.00
Potential Return: £90.00
Time: 21/09/12 01:12
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000132
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Dubai
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« Reply #16127 on: September 21, 2012, 01:22:07 AM »

Pm
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redarmi
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« Reply #16128 on: September 21, 2012, 01:24:51 AM »

Yep think that is a decent bet.  Looks like some very sharp money on Carolina fwiw.
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bobby1
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« Reply #16129 on: September 21, 2012, 01:26:41 AM »

you could throw a small bet on Tolbert to score the first td to at 20/1 as both Red and I  have backed him if you wanted a bet at decent odds. He might get some carries at the goal line or catch passes in the red zone too as he did with his last team in San Diego
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tikay
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« Reply #16130 on: September 21, 2012, 01:32:06 AM »

We ummed and arghed between us as to the best way to approach the game from a player perf angle and with Jonathan Stewart out at rb. I think there is a simple way to go and that is to have £55 quid on Deangelo Williams to have over 55.5 rushing yards with Bodog at 10/11

Tolbert will get some carries and it might mean Newton carries it a little more often too but Williams is the premier rb and should benefit the most from Stewart being out.



Thanks Phil.

I managed to get this on in the nick of time I think.

Note it is in $$$'s.

$50 @ 1.91 with Bodog, , Deangalo Williams, OVER  55.5 rushing yards.

ON

US$ 50.00  Win Single:
OVER (55.5) @ 1.91 (Player Over/Under)
(NYG vs CAR) Total Rushing Yards ? DeAngelo Williams (CAR)
NFL Player Performances 
Total Stake:  US$ 100.00  - #264023117
To win:  US$ 45.45
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aaron1867
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« Reply #16131 on: September 21, 2012, 01:38:02 AM »

This is a silly time to put a tip on the thread, but I am going to try and see if I can get something exactly right and see if I have find value, which I think I have.

Blackburn to beat M'boro @ 5/6

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/blackburn-v-middlesbrough/winner

In my opinion in here regarding both sides start to the season, that Blackburn should be a lot smaller than the 5/6 quoted here. I would have looked at this match and put Blackburn at 8/13 here. I think price is good here.

Furthermore to this, Middlesbrough have lost every away league match this season so far, 2 of them being against relegation fodder (Barnsley & Millwall). At home for Blackburn, they have won EVERY match in the league so far.

All this points to a win for Blackburn win and in my opinion good price at 5/6. Not sure how long price will be around.

(open to criticism here!)
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tikay
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« Reply #16132 on: September 21, 2012, 01:39:44 AM »

This is a silly time to put a tip on the thread, but I am going to try and see if I can get something exactly right and see if I have find value, which I think I have.

Blackburn to beat M'boro @ 5/6

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/blackburn-v-middlesbrough/winner

In my opinion in here regarding both sides start to the season, that Blackburn should be a lot smaller than the 5/6 quoted here. I would have looked at this match and put Blackburn at 8/13 here. I think price is good here.

Furthermore to this, Middlesbrough have lost every away league match this season so far, 2 of them being against relegation fodder (Barnsley & Millwall). At home for Blackburn, they have won EVERY match in the league so far.

All this points to a win for Blackburn win and in my opinion good price at 5/6. Not sure how long price will be around.

(open to criticism here!)

I'm a bit of a Blackburn fanboy right now Aaron, but let's see what the experts have to say in the morning. 
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tikay
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« Reply #16133 on: September 21, 2012, 01:46:58 AM »

you could throw a small bet on Tolbert to score the first td to at 20/1 as both Red and I  have backed him if you wanted a bet at decent odds. He might get some carries at the goal line or catch passes in the red zone too as he did with his last team in San Diego

I missed this one, ran out of time. Result. Wink
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77dave
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« Reply #16134 on: September 21, 2012, 02:14:20 AM »

We ummed and arghed between us as to the best way to approach the game from a player perf angle and with Jonathan Stewart out at rb. I think there is a simple way to go and that is to have £55 quid on Deangelo Williams to have over 55.5 rushing yards with Bodog at 10/11

Tolbert will get some carries and it might mean Newton carries it a little more often too but Williams is the premier rb and should benefit the most from Stewart being out.



Thanks Phil.

I managed to get this on in the nick of time I think.

Note it is in $$$'s.

$50 @ 1.91 with Bodog, , Deangalo Williams, OVER  55.5 rushing yards.

ON

US$ 50.00  Win Single:
OVER (55.5) @ 1.91 (Player Over/Under)
(NYG vs CAR) Total Rushing Yards ? DeAngelo Williams (CAR)
NFL Player Performances 
Total Stake:  US$ 100.00  - #264023117
To win:  US$ 45.45


williams ran for 33 yards in the 1st quarter
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Mantis - I would like to thank 77dave for his more realistic take on things.
tikay
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« Reply #16135 on: September 21, 2012, 02:18:18 AM »

Yup, great start for the Williams bet, horror start for the Newton Match Bet.

Be nice to get the Williams bet locked up, to get some money in the bank.
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redarmi
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« Reply #16136 on: September 21, 2012, 02:33:06 AM »

No - it is an okay start for the Newton matchbet.  If they are down double figures he will have to throw the ball in the 2nd halfand the Giants should run the ball for clock purposes.  I kinda like it still.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #16137 on: September 21, 2012, 02:37:28 AM »

No - it is an okay start for the Newton matchbet.  If they are down double figures he will have to throw the ball in the 2nd halfand the Giants should run the ball for clock purposes.  I kinda like it still.

the Newton rushing unders bet looks fantastic too. Not only because they have to chase the game, but the Giants front 4 won't let him run
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redarmi
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« Reply #16138 on: September 21, 2012, 02:45:07 AM »

I wish he would look a bit more comfortable in the pocket to be honest but it is panning out okay.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #16139 on: September 21, 2012, 02:46:20 AM »

I wish he would look a bit more comfortable in the pocket to be honest but it is panning out okay.

His OL is a bit patchwork and the Giants front 4 is intense

Newton yards coming from pure talent whereas Manning can pull up an armchair and pick his spots given the protection he is getting.
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