Tips for Tikay

[DungBeetle]

yes - looks big now if they are chasing small.  He scores fast.

[DungBeetle]

I've sold Zimbabwe runs at 123.  Their captain looked pretty glum when he was told he was batting first.  Can't see them ever getting more than 150 and it could get nasty the other way if they lose early wickets.

[tikay]

Take the 9-2 Levi. Its massive, i had max they would lay

Just woken up, probaby too late.

9/2 for whom to do what?

[DungBeetle]

It was Levi to be top SAF bat.  They are chasing and he scores quicker than Kallis and they may be chasing not a lot.

[AndrewT]

LOL - greentop much?

Difficult to tell what's the pitch and what's the outfield.

[TightEnd]

LOL - greentop much?

Difficult to tell what's the pitch and what's the outfield.

as I said yesterday, the curators are under instructions NOT to produce dustbowls, where totals are impossible to chase.

this was why I advised against the stumpings bet

and why you need to see these pictures before the toss before lumping on any batsmen for MOM etc especially when the decent teams play each other the weekend onwards

[tikay]

I have had a small interest in De Villiers, Top SA Batter, £20 @ 9/2 with Paddy Power.

I think with the change in Batting Order, & SA fielding first, that now reps better value than the original suggestion by hector.

Given how I generally back hector's tips blinde, & they generally win, I'm going to feel pretty bad for him if I've got this wrong.

ON
1 Cricket
International Twenty20 Matches
South Africa v Zimbabwe
20th of Sep 2012 3:00 pm
Top Team A Runscorer
AB de Villiers @ 9/2 
 
 Pending 
   
Stake and Return Details
Bet placed at 20th of Sep 2012 3:05 pm Total Stake £20.00
Bet type Single (To Win) Tax@Tax free 0
Number of lines 1 Total stake due £20.00
Stake per line £20.00 Freebets Redeemed £0.00
Channel Internet Total amount paid £20.00
Number of win lines -   
Potential Returns £110.00   

[bobby1]

There seems to be a bit of confusion re the panthers v giants game. Giants are missing 1st choice rb Bradshaw and look likely to use Andre Brown as the lead back. Brown was 3rd choice rb 2 weeks ago but got the carries last week when Bradshaw went down because Wilson who was back up rb fumbled the ball away in the Dallas game. Brown ran well laat week but that was against a Tampa D that were trying (badly) to defend against the Giants passing game when they were trying to claw back a big deficit.

On top of that the Giants have now lost Nicks at Wr which is a big loss in the passing game. I'm not sure Dom Hixon is fully fit but is 3rd choice at wr. He has been super ul with injuries since he was drafted but would have bean ok plug in. I think ramses barden is next in line at wr and he was due to be the kick returner when the season began, he is quick, might still be a threat downfield but is basically 5th pick in the passing game if you include the tight end Bennett.

Nicks caught ten passes for 199 yards and a TD last week and losing him means that Carolina will prob double team Cruz and challenge the Giants to beat them elsewhere.

[Dubai]

How we back De Villiers? Levi was 9/2 and a genuine 9/4 shot once they get less than 120, De Villiers 9/2 and if bats at 4 probably is a 6/1 chance!

[TightEnd]

There seems to be a bit of confusion re the panthers v giants game. Giants are missing 1st choice rb Bradshae and look likely to use Andre Brown as the lead back. Brown was 3rd choice rb 2 weeks ago but got the carries last week when Bradshaw went down because Wilson who was back up rb fumbled the ball away in the Dallas game. Brown ran well laat week but that was against a Tampa D that were trying (badly) to defend against the Giants passing game when they were trying to claw back a big deficit.

On top of that the Giants have now lost Nicks at Wr which is a big loss in the passing game. I'm not sure Dom Hixon is fully is 3rd choice at wr. He has been super ul with injuries since he was drafted but would have bean ok plug in. I think ramses barden is next in line at wr and he was due to be the kick returner when the season began, he is quick, might still be a threat downfield but is basically 5th pick in the passing game if you include the tight end Bennett.

Nicks caught ten passes for 199 yards and a TD last week and losing him means that Carolina will prob double team Cruz and challenge the Giants to beat them elsewhere.

Yes agree

As Stu says, we want to be on Carolina over Giants passing yards, at 5/4 (current price) plus I think

The reasons you state is why the normally huge 13/10 Giants outright can be avoided too

and one of the reasons liked the unders on Newton rushing yards

[tikay]

How we back De Villiers? Levi was 9/2 and a genuine 9/4 shot once they get less than 120, De Villiers 9/2 and if bats at 4 probably is a 6/1 chance!

aaarrgghhh.

I was speed-reading after I had just woken up, & simply mis-read the post.....

The Fred bet is now VOID, I'll take it myself, off-thread.

I'm getting dangerous when allowed unattended near a computer. Jeez, this is embarrassing.

[Karabiner]

How we back De Villiers? Levi was 9/2 and a genuine 9/4 shot once they get less than 120, De Villiers 9/2 and if bats at 4 probably is a 6/1 chance!

aaarrgghhh.

I was speed-reading after I had just woken up, & simply mis-read the post.....

The Fred bet is now VOID, I'll take it myself, off-thread.

I'm getting dangerous when allowed unattended near a computer. Jeez, this is embarrassing.

LOL Methuselahments

[DungBeetle]

My spread bets have gone rather well as Kallis just got 2 in 2 balls and Zim are 51/5  

Levi bet has a great chance of copping as well.

[bobby1]

the important part in those bets to me Rich is Jonathan Stewart. if he is fit then it makes your Newton bet better because they are likely to call more running plays to rbs when their best two are available. the prob tho re your passing bet is that if Stewart is out then newton prob has more run plays which means he could pass less. The pass yards match bet just depends too much on which team is leading too, if Carolina are leading and Stewart is out it makes it more likely Newton gets more rush yards as they try to manage the clock, it also means the Giants will be passing more if they are behind. So you have the double whammy of a scenario where the favs for the game are winning and Stewart is out which is bad for both your bets.

Manning put up 500 pass yards at the weekend when they were playing from behind but obv will miss Nicks tonight.


Carolina are 3 point favs in some spots now which means your Hollywood scenario for those bets of Carolina being behind and having to pass more which reduces to some extent the rushing attempts Newton has is less likely.

Any bet you are having on Newton's rush yards has to be judged when we know if Stewart is fit to play in my opinion.
 

[maldini32]

My spread bets have gone rather well as Kallis just got 2 in 2 balls and Zim are 51/5  

Levi bet has a great chance of copping as well.

I sold a bit of Zimbabwe total runs at 120. Kallis can bat 7 and you'll still be nicely up!