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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16450322 times)
DungBeetle
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« Reply #18930 on: October 26, 2012, 11:57:35 AM »

Don’t like much on the Saturday coupon to be honest, but one flagged up for discussion which is based on an unsubstantiated observation from down the years in lower leagues and not stats based. 

Tranmere had a storming start to the season, before losing at Eddie Howe’s Bournemouth and they followed that up by losing at home to Doncaster.  I remember Watford being unbeaten for 10 games at the start of a season under Taylor when they had just come down from the Premier League before finally losing at home to Sheff Weds.  They then followed that up by an insipid performance at Tranmere losing 2-0.

It is almost as if the wind came out the sails for both teams after a long run ends and the team found it hard to get up for the next game a few days later.

Which brings us to Gillingham, who after a great run finally lost at Torquay midweek.  They now face a trip to Wimbledon who after being shocking early in the year have had an upturn under new manager Neal Ardley.  The Wimbledon defence still worries me, but they should be brimming with confidence after beating Bristol Rovers 3-1 in midweek at home after getting a great draw at 3rd place Fleetwood a few days earlier.

This is “end of unbeaten run” idea is just being flagged up for discussion, and I only have a sample size of two, but I’m thinking the home team might be worth a small investment at a big price of 3/1 with B365.  SuperWomble will be able to give us some input as well as to whether he thinks his team really have improved.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #18931 on: October 26, 2012, 11:59:56 AM »

Don’t like much on the Saturday coupon to be honest, but one flagged up for discussion which is based on an unsubstantiated observation from down the years in lower leagues and not stats based. 

Tranmere had a storming start to the season, before losing at Eddie Howe’s Bournemouth and they followed that up by losing at home to Doncaster.  I remember Watford being unbeaten for 10 games at the start of a season under Taylor when they had just come down from the Premier League before finally losing at home to Sheff Weds.  They then followed that up by an insipid performance at Tranmere losing 2-0.

It is almost as if the wind came out the sails for both teams after a long run ends and the team found it hard to get up for the next game a few days later.

Which brings us to Gillingham, who after a great run finally lost at Torquay midweek.  They now face a trip to Wimbledon who after being shocking early in the year have had an upturn under new manager Neal Ardley.  The Wimbledon defence still worries me, but they should be brimming with confidence after beating Bristol Rovers 3-1 in midweek at home after getting a great draw at 3rd place Fleetwood a few days earlier.

This is “end of unbeaten run” idea is just being flagged up for discussion, and I only have a sample size of two, but I’m thinking the home team might be worth a small investment at a big price of 3/1 with B365.  SuperWomble will be able to give us some input as well as to whether he thinks his team really have improved.


i dont trust wimbledon yet but am keen to oppose gillingham for here on in , Martin Allen has a massive history of doing well for 2-5 months nearly everywere he has been then for whatever reason blowing up
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superwomble
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« Reply #18932 on: October 26, 2012, 12:29:32 PM »

I don't know Rene Howe but I expect he's a very nice chap.

Except when he's playing football or appearing on desperate dating shows of course Wink
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superwomble
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« Reply #18933 on: October 26, 2012, 12:33:05 PM »

Wimbledon are certainly playing better as a team, and as individuals, and I am now more confident about our season than I have been since the start.

Our home form has usually been very good.

Gillingscum are a strong team, but have lost their last 2 away games I think.

A Wimbledon win may be stretching my optimism a bit but I would certainly hope for at least a draw, whereas a few weeks ago I would be expecting a thumping.

While the price for us to win seems good, I'm not sure it's worth more than a little banzai, with the expectation that you're likely to lose.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #18934 on: October 26, 2012, 12:56:36 PM »

On this link Everton are 4-1 to beat Liverpool on Sunday

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-betting/efc-enhanced-special/efc-enhanced-special?ev_oc_grp_ids=781012&AFF_ID=90209&tduid=11a9a661075188d0855b2d46ef5a2ec1

On the main PP page they are 13-8, 7/4 best elsewhere

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/everton-v-liverpool/winner

Not expressing a view on the game, but if you are interested, that's the link

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tikay
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« Reply #18935 on: October 26, 2012, 01:06:24 PM »

On this link Everton are 4-1 to beat Liverpool on Sunday

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-betting/efc-enhanced-special/efc-enhanced-special?ev_oc_grp_ids=781012&AFF_ID=90209&tduid=11a9a661075188d0855b2d46ef5a2ec1

On the main PP page they are 13-8, 7/4 best elsewhere

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/everton-v-liverpool/winner

Not expressing a view on the game, but if you are interested, that's the link



Thanks Rich.

Be rude not to @ 4/1.

Not gonna mess about, we are on.

However........

The Max they would allow me was £6.03, & there is no point being greedy, & we need to spend our money with care, so I just had £6.00.

Everton to beat Liverpool on Sunday, £6 @ 4/1, Paddy Power.

ON


EFC Enhanced Special Everton Enhanced Special
28-10-2012 13:30
EFC Enhanced Special
Everton to beat Liverpool (28th of October) @ 4/1
 
Your Bets Win
Single: Everton to beat Liverpool (28th of October) @ 4/1
1 line at £6.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £6.00
Potential returns: £30.00
No: O/23146337/0000176

 
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tikay
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« Reply #18936 on: October 26, 2012, 01:09:48 PM »


I'll catch up with the other stuff soonest, worked until Midnight last night, stayed up & watched the NFL, & driven up to Derby & back this morning, so I need to clear my mail & do the day job. And sleep.

PS - Well done horsey on that "first to score" thing. Timing is all, we were ships in the night, but it was a tricky spot for me. Sorry bud, but well done, & I know others got on. 
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AndrewT
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« Reply #18937 on: October 26, 2012, 01:24:12 PM »

Sick 'I'm a shrewd punter' brag from Tikay - Paddy Power let me have a massive £10.06 on that.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #18938 on: October 26, 2012, 01:26:34 PM »


I'll catch up with the other stuff soonest, worked until Midnight last night, stayed up & watched the NFL, & driven up to Derby & back this morning, so I need to clear my mail & do the day job. And sleep.

PS - Well done horsey on that "first to score" thing. Timing is all, we were ships in the night, but it was a tricky spot for me. Sorry bud, but well done, & I know others got on. 

no problem have a good sleep sir
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Nico29
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« Reply #18939 on: October 26, 2012, 01:37:30 PM »

Just got offered 50 pence on that Everton bet, sigh.

They def hear ya if you win more than one bet a year.

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Doobs
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« Reply #18940 on: October 26, 2012, 01:41:54 PM »

Sick 'I'm a shrewd punter' brag from Tikay - Paddy Power let me have a massive £10.06 on that.

Confirmed ice cream.  Tenner for me too
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Tal
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« Reply #18941 on: October 26, 2012, 01:50:03 PM »

US economy grew by 2% in the last quarter.

Big news for Team Obama, as the Republicans have been attacking his deficit reduction and economic policies throughout the campaign.
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tikay
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« Reply #18942 on: October 26, 2012, 01:58:35 PM »

US economy grew by 2% in the last quarter.

Big news for Team Obama, as the Republicans have been attacking his deficit reduction and economic policies throughout the campaign.

His price continues to firm up......


http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/politics-and-election/us-presidential-election/winner
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Tal
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« Reply #18943 on: October 26, 2012, 02:27:32 PM »

The brilliant satirist Stephen Colbert has trumped Donald's calling out of Obama, too.

http://www.digitalspy.co.uk/ustv/news/a433249/stephen-colbert-makes-donald-trump-counter-offer-over-obama-video.html

Not for the easily offended, if any such people follow this thread
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TL900
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« Reply #18944 on: October 26, 2012, 02:44:25 PM »

just went to bet everton @ 4/1 and they took it down Sad(((((
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