Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

"Not surprisingly India are prohibitively short at 1.47 for victory with England 5.80 and the drawn series 5.60. So the series correct score market tantalises instead. The 6.40 about a 3-0 India win catches the eye while 6.60 for 2-0 depends on some moderate England obduracy.

Recommended Bet
India to win 2-0 at 6.6"

http://betting.betfair.com/cricket/england-cricket/india-v-england-test-series-betting-england-face-payback-111112-194.html


I still like 4-0 with a 3-1/3-0 type saver.

OK, let's do it.

I still have to do hector's Wall, too.

For now though.....

These are all India - England Test Series scores, with Ladbrokes.

£20 4-0 @ 16/1

£10 3-1 @ 14/1

£10 3-0 @ 7/1

ON


Single - India 4-0
1 line at £20.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £20.00
Potential Return: £340.00
Time: 13/11/12 14:36
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000181

  Single - India 3-1
1 line at £10.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £10.00
Potential Return: £150.00
Time: 13/11/12 14:36
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000182

  Single - India 3-0
1 line at £10.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £10.00
Potential Return: £80.00
Time: 13/11/12 14:36
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000183

[tikay]

India v England cricket top India batsman.

Many of these Indian batsmen are well known to the British public. In my investigation into this market I wanted to oppose Gambhir and Sehwag as too often they score a lovely looking 30 runs then get out foolishly. I have to oppose Tendulkar as he is way too old and will be an achievement if he manages to avoid injury and play the whole series. I was looking for reasons to back Kohli who impressed in the T20 world cup batting at No3. However in the test side he is currently batting at 5. Surely in a test series where a side is expected to dominate the top batsman will come from the top 4.

So who is the guy batting at No3. Well his name is Cheteshwar Pujara and he has recently come back from injury and forced his way into the side. He is not an outrageous shot maker or super fast scorer, he plays proper cricket, like an Indian Johnathan Trott. In the recent series v New Zealand he scored a 159, 9 , and 48 to top the scoring.

We can back him at 11/2 whereas Kohli is at 7/2 and I do think it is between these 2 players. Plus Mr T, Pujara has a nickname, The Wall II , must be because it is like bowling at a wall all day.

Suggest £ 20 @ 11/2 with most firms.

P.S. I have checked with the local hospitals and despite recently getting engaged his fiance is not expecting a child soon.

We are on, Mr hector, & not only that, we got 7/1.

Cheteshwer Pujara, Top Indian Batsman, India v England Test Series, £20 @ 7/1, Sporting Bet.  (Who are about to be taken over by Wm Hill I believe).


ON

 Bet Type: Single
India v England - Test Series - Top India Series Batsman Top India Series Batsman
Cheteshwar Pujara
7/1
Cricket Possible Payout 160.00 GBP
1 bet @
20.00 GBP 
Total Cost: 20.00 GBP Total Possible Payout
(inc. stake): 160.00 GBP

[redarmi]

On the Palace recommendation.....I want to hate it and they are never ever 1.60 shots but they probably aren't even money shots either and a shade of odds on would probably be the correct price.  I think it is really close though and it isn't something I would be betting myself because I can't quite understand what is so different about this team and the one that finished 17th last year and there is a real danger that everyone is overrating recent form and possibly underrating Derby too.  They drew against Boro and Brighton and have only been beaten 3 times in their last ten games.  I think the time to have been backing Palace is earlier in the season when they were considered relegation candidates.  When a team is top of the league it becomes very difficult for them to remain underrated because they automatically go on a lot of mug coupons and the odds compilers know it.

[Doobs]

"Not surprisingly India are prohibitively short at 1.47 for victory with England 5.80 and the drawn series 5.60. So the series correct score market tantalises instead. The 6.40 about a 3-0 India win catches the eye while 6.60 for 2-0 depends on some moderate England obduracy.

Recommended Bet
India to win 2-0 at 6.6"

http://betting.betfair.com/cricket/england-cricket/india-v-england-test-series-betting-england-face-payback-111112-194.html


I still like 4-0 with a 3-1/3-0 type saver.

Surely 1.47 can't be prohibitively short if we are backing 4-0 at 16/1?  I assume the prices are fairly consistent with each other without doing the maths.

I don't know much about the grounds*, and haven't seen the weather forecast, but India are 2.6 on betfair for the first test.  That looks like a steam in price if we think the prices on 3-1, 3-0 and 4-0 are value?  Certainly if India were anything like 2.6 for all 4 tests, then it would be anyway.  I guess I am missing something.

* In my head they are all just going to be much the same and favour the spinners. 

edit: Even if I am missing something have piled in on the first test anyway.

[Ant040689]

On the Palace recommendation.....I want to hate it and they are never ever 1.60 shots but they probably aren't even money shots either and a shade of odds on would probably be the correct price.  I think it is really close though and it isn't something I would be betting myself because I can't quite understand what is so different about this team and the one that finished 17th last year and there is a real danger that everyone is overrating recent form and possibly underrating Derby too.  They drew against Boro and Brighton and have only been beaten 3 times in their last ten games.  I think the time to have been backing Palace is earlier in the season when they were considered relegation candidates.  When a team is top of the league it becomes very difficult for them to remain underrated because they automatically go on a lot of mug coupons and the odds compilers know it.

Good input.

Could you tell me why Leicester are 1.57 against Ipswich and when we played them 2 weeks ago we were at 2.0 please?

[TightEnd]

the comment is in speech marks, its an extract from the Betfair article

2.6 for the first test is a very attractive price in my opinion

[Doobs]

On the Palace recommendation.....I want to hate it and they are never ever 1.60 shots but they probably aren't even money shots either and a shade of odds on would probably be the correct price.  I think it is really close though and it isn't something I would be betting myself because I can't quite understand what is so different about this team and the one that finished 17th last year and there is a real danger that everyone is overrating recent form and possibly underrating Derby too.  They drew against Boro and Brighton and have only been beaten 3 times in their last ten games.  I think the time to have been backing Palace is earlier in the season when they were considered relegation candidates.  When a team is top of the league it becomes very difficult for them to remain underrated because they automatically go on a lot of mug coupons and the odds compilers know it.

Good input.

Could you tell me why Leicester are 1.57 against Ipswich and when we played them 2 weeks ago we were at 2.0 please?

Leicester viewed as the better side, and the 2.0 was just after Ipswich had pulled off a good result under a new manager? 

I have backed Palace this weekend if you think I am crabbing here.

BTW your boy was linked with Real Madrid this morning.  May have to green out.

[TightEnd]

Leicester are too short at 1.6

Most teams against any other are too short at 1.6 in the Championship

As we have discussed on here, Ipswich under McCarthy are a team to be on the right side of going forward, in the months ahead


On Palace, I am surprised it isn't 4/5. That's the scale of the value though, nothing that blows your socks off. Backable nonetheless

[Tal]

My Walsall friend says:

"The fat guy is either Barry Blower or a young Jeff Bonser"

[Tonji]

My Walsall friend says:

"The fat guy is either Barry Blower or a young Jeff Bonser"

The young woman seems to have her arms pined behind her back. Is she being held against her will!

[Tal]

Here we go...

The Villa fan who sits next to me says he was at that game. He got a certificate to say he was there at the opening game and he believes that Tony Cascarino from off of poker scored.

[redarmi]

One of the reasons I suggested that 1.60 was too short for Palace is that I have a general rule that 4/6 is too short for any team in the Championship.  There are occasions later in the season when this kind of price is justifiable but at this point I generally have a small bet on the dog in any game like this +1 on the Asian Handicaps and it has been very profitable for me over the past few years.  All of which is a roundabout way of saying Leicester shouldn't be that price i suppose.

[redarmi]

My Walsall friend says:

"The fat guy is either Barry Blower or a young Jeff Bonser"

The young woman seems to have her arms pined behind her back. Is she being held against her will!

She is an attractive you lady in Walsall....of course she is being held against her will.

[david3103]

My Walsall friend says:

"The fat guy is either Barry Blower or a young Jeff Bonser"

The young woman seems to have her arms pined behind her back. Is she being held against her will!

She is an attractive you lady in Walsall....of course she is being held against her will.

She's in charge. I believe it's called 'topping from below'

[hector62]

Excellent price for The Wall II Mr T, well done. I feel that I may have to shorten his nickname to just The Wall though.

Here he is without his crutches. He came over to England for his operation so it was probably well done.