Tips for Tikay

[kukushkin88]

I reckon we missed a couple of good spots on the NFL, both Cleveland -4.5 and Baltimore +3 were good bets earlier in the week. I think I got a bit Fred gun shy after recent reverses, we´ve missed the boat on both of them now :-(. It´s a strange affect thread has, even for comparatively small sums of money.

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.  Heineken cup Scarlets v Exeter today.

Much thinkage has gone on this fixture over the last 2 days. Exeter kind of let us down last time in losing at home to Clermont. However they were winning at H/T and in retrospect I think that Clermont are a very good team and could win the competition.

Welsh rugby is in a bad way, lots of injuries, a poor national team and the players are moving on mass to the money clubs of France. Exeter on the other hand do everything right, they are a proper old fashioned rugby club. They have 1 England international and after he was dropped and sent back to the club they didn't pick him. Instead he was used as a sub for the last 20 minutes because the replacement player had performed well. You have to be a rugby player to fully realise how that boosts a team. He is picked to start today - do you think he will be motivated ?

The final thing that pushed me towards tipping Exeter is the fact that the Scarlets fly half, who is also the Welsh fly half, is currently seeking help from a sports psychologist because he feels he is playing badly. Not what you want from a fly half, they should be cocky and confident beyond belief. To give you an indication of what they should be like, I haven't played for 6 years but I still think that if I trained for a month I would be one of the top 20 fly halfs in the country and one of the top 10 scrum halfs in the world. That is what you should get from a half back. Totally ridiculous I know, I should be thinking of playing bowls.

Suggest £20 Exeter @ 2-1 Sportingbet

£5 the draw @20-1 Betfred or Ladbrokes.

RULING

hector, you can't just throw that line in then say no more!

We want to know a little more about your rugby background.

Now, you may enlighten us.......

[kpnuts]

Re: Man City v Man U offers...

Just to add, I see William Hill priority price, 5,000 bets of max £20 from noon is either City or Utd to win @ evens.

So combining this with B365 offer, we can effectively have £30 on the draw at 7/1 (currently best price 5/2) if we fancy that.

Take £20 on WH priority price.
Then £50 on draw with B365 pre @ 23/10.
Another £50 on draw B365 straight after kickoff for free in-running bet.

We either win 210 or lose 30 overall.

[tikay]

I reckon we missed a couple of good spots on the NFL, both Cleveland -4.5 and Baltimore +3 were good bets earlier in the week. I think I got a bit Fred gun shy after recent reverses, we´ve missed the boat on both of them now :-(. It´s a strange affect thread has, even for comparatively small sums of money.

Very strange, & interesting, indeed.

Fascinating, the psychology involved. Love it though.

Keep finding us the value, & we'll be just fine.

I watched that Raiders game on Thursday night, when Manning just destroyed them. Oucho.

We love your NFL stuff, don't let lack of confidence hold you back.

Now is the time for all good men......

[Bazzaboy]

I reckon we missed a couple of good spots on the NFL, both Cleveland -4.5 and Baltimore +3 were good bets earlier in the week. I think I got a bit Fred gun shy after recent reverses, we´ve missed the boat on both of them now :-(. It´s a strange affect thread has, even for comparatively small sums of money.

Keep posting them please.

[tikay]

I reckon we missed a couple of good spots on the NFL, both Cleveland -4.5 and Baltimore +3 were good bets earlier in the week. I think I got a bit Fred gun shy after recent reverses, we´ve missed the boat on both of them now :-(. It´s a strange affect thread has, even for comparatively small sums of money.

Keep posting them please.

See?

[kukushkin88]

I reckon we missed a couple of good spots on the NFL, both Cleveland -4.5 and Baltimore +3 were good bets earlier in the week. I think I got a bit Fred gun shy after recent reverses, we´ve missed the boat on both of them now :-(. It´s a strange affect thread has, even for comparatively small sums of money.

Very strange, & interesting, indeed.

Fascinating, the psychology involved. Love it though.

Keep finding us the value, & we'll be just fine.

I watched that Raiders game on Thursday night, when Manning just destroyed them. Oucho.

IMO the best QB there has ever been. I was scratching my head for a lot of that game, trying to reconcile the fact that I knew we had placed a good bet with what I was watching unfold.

[tikay]

Re: Man City v Man U offers...

Just to add, I see William Hill priority price, 5,000 bets of max £20 from noon is either City or Utd to win @ evens.

So combining this with B365 offer, we can effectively have £30 on the draw at 7/1 (currently best price 5/2) if we fancy that.

Take £20 on WH priority price.
Then £50 on draw with B365 pre @ 23/10.
Another £50 on draw B365 straight after kickoff for free in-running bet.

We either win 210 or lose 30 overall.

That looks too good to be true!

I'm trying to find the Wm Hill Priority Offer first, then I can work from there.

It does not seem to be showing at present.

Bear with me......

[kpnuts]

Re: Man City v Man U offers...

Just to add, I see William Hill priority price, 5,000 bets of max £20 from noon is either City or Utd to win @ evens.

So combining this with B365 offer, we can effectively have £30 on the draw at 7/1 (currently best price 5/2) if we fancy that.

Take £20 on WH priority price.
Then £50 on draw with B365 pre @ 23/10.
Another £50 on draw B365 straight after kickoff for free in-running bet.

We either win 210 or lose 30 overall.

That looks too good to be true!

I'm trying to find the Wm Hill Priority Offer first, then I can work from there.

It does not seem to be showing at present.

Bear with me......

click link on twitter.com/@priorityprices

And it's got even better. B365 now 12/5 the draw!

[tikay]

Re: Man City v Man U offers...

Just to add, I see William Hill priority price, 5,000 bets of max £20 from noon is either City or Utd to win @ evens.

So combining this with B365 offer, we can effectively have £30 on the draw at 7/1 (currently best price 5/2) if we fancy that.

Take £20 on WH priority price.
Then £50 on draw with B365 pre @ 23/10.
Another £50 on draw B365 straight after kickoff for free in-running bet.

We either win 210 or lose 30 overall.

Thanks KP.

Have now found the Wm Hill Priority offer, & we are safely on.

I'll tery & sort the Bet365 part shortly, though I also need to look at the suggestion Bazzaboy made as to the Bet365 £50 thingie.


£20 @ Evens, EITHER Man City OR Man Utd to win today.

ON

09 Dec 2012 - Man City v Man Utd Priority Price 09/12/12 - Limited Availability

Either Team To Win @ EVS

Stake : £20.00
Estimated Returns : £40.00Transaction Reference:O/0457483/0000194/F

[kpnuts]

that should, of course, be twitter.com/priorityprices  ... without the '@' !!

apologies for short notice, they don't last long

[tikay]

Re: Man City v Man U offers...

Just to add, I see William Hill priority price, 5,000 bets of max £20 from noon is either City or Utd to win @ evens.

So combining this with B365 offer, we can effectively have £30 on the draw at 7/1 (currently best price 5/2) if we fancy that.

Take £20 on WH priority price.
Then £50 on draw with B365 pre @ 23/10.
Another £50 on draw B365 straight after kickoff for free in-running bet.

We either win 210 or lose 30 overall.

That looks too good to be true!

I'm trying to find the Wm Hill Priority Offer first, then I can work from there.

It does not seem to be showing at present.

Bear with me......

click link on twitter.com/@priorityprices

And it's got even better. B365 now 12/5 the draw!

Gotcha. I already placed the £20 William Hill bet (see above).

We now have £50 @ 12/5, Bet365, on the Draw.

So, just after KO, I then back the draw again, for our £50 free bet, yes?

Man-City - Man Utd to draw, £50 @ 12/5, Bet365.

ON

Draw @ 12/5
£50.00 Single 09/12/2012 12:10:30 50.00 0.00

[tikay]

I don't think there is a recommend up yet for the free £50 Bet365 offer?
I know Fred is restricted on Bet365 but I'm pretty sure you won't be for this promo bet.

If we accept that the market prices are correct for this match then our best option is to find what markets B365 are best priced about. I can see 3 of these.

1. Nitty option:
£50 Man United to score 1st @ 6/5, then as soon as it kicks off have another £50 on the same bet.
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/man-city-v-man-utd/team-to-score-first

2. Degen option:
£50 'Highest scoring half' to be a draw @ 11/4, then same again when it kicks off.
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/man-city-v-man-utd/highest-scoring-half

3. Super Degen option:
£50 Ashley Young 1st goalscorer @ 16/1, same bet again at kick off.
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/man-city-v-man-utd/first-goalscorer

I'll give a 4th option, which is the nittiest of all. Even though it isn't best priced, it's very close and obviously has the highest chance of actually winning.

4. United to receive the first card @ 8/11, same bet again at kick off.
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/man-city-v-man-utd/first-team-booking
Referee Martin Atkinson is the most card happy ref in the Prem with an average of 3.92 yellows/match so no cards shouldn't be a runner (but you could have a £1 saver on 'no cards' with Paddy Power @ 90/1 if you so wish).
City have received 16 yellows in total, United 23.
City have received 8 at home, United 13 away.
Going by the ridiculously tiny sample size of 8 matches each, the price is good

There ya go. It doesn't matter which one you pick but a free bet must be taken advantage of.

Just seen this Bazza, I seem to have an embarrassment of superb selections, but I think I've gone another route before I even saw this.

Think I need to go have a shower, to clear my head, I really should have addressed this before I went & started doing the KP nuts one.

 

[kpnuts]

Re: Man City v Man U offers...

Just to add, I see William Hill priority price, 5,000 bets of max £20 from noon is either City or Utd to win @ evens.

So combining this with B365 offer, we can effectively have £30 on the draw at 7/1 (currently best price 5/2) if we fancy that.

Take £20 on WH priority price.
Then £50 on draw with B365 pre @ 23/10.
Another £50 on draw B365 straight after kickoff for free in-running bet.

We either win 210 or lose 30 overall.

That looks too good to be true!

I'm trying to find the Wm Hill Priority Offer first, then I can work from there.

It does not seem to be showing at present.

Bear with me......

click link on twitter.com/@priorityprices

And it's got even better. B365 now 12/5 the draw!

Gotcha. I already placed the £20 William Hill bet (see above).

We now have £50 @ 12/5, Bet365, on the Draw.

So, just after KO, I then back the draw again, for our £50 free bet, yes?

Man-City - Man Utd to draw, £50 @ 12/5, Bet365.

ON

Draw @ 12/5
£50.00 Single 09/12/2012 12:10:30 50.00 0.00

Yes. Should be able to get it at 12/5 or more likely 23/10 straight after kickoff as there's usually a minor contraction.
Gives us £30 overall at more than 7/1 the draw, I think!

[tikay]

morning all

very pleasing book on the series now have no idea what the pitch will be like for the final test but whichever way they go i favour england strongly 2-1 is still my best result so an unlikely feather-bed would go down well here

had a bit of time last 24 hours and would like to suggest a bet on bournemouth who have rapidly improved under the return of howe. Some stats that back this up

under Howe 21pts from 9 games average 2.33 ppg now only 5pts off top 6

since Howes return Bournemouth have scored 22 goals in 9 games.


The strikers he has to choose from are without question the best in the division (McQuoid Tubbs Grabban Barnard Fletcher & Pitman)

The problem if there is one is that mk dons (very good side finally converting domination to wins recently) sheff utd (dour side but strong mentally and lots of depth) tranmere (did not think they would be anywere near as high tbh but have hung on well so far cant see them winning it personally) and doncaster ( have not seen them much but dont quite see them as shoe ins for the top six yet myself) are all likely even if they implode to be in and around the top six.

Personally i had a decent bet on bournemouth top six finish at 11-10 with betvictor last night , if howe maintains his current rate (probably unlikely) a top two or title challenge is even possible but to me odds against for the top six with no financial worries likely is to big.

Afternoon horsey, great to see you back, even if only temporarily. I hope things are looking up at home. I'll reply to your PM's soonest.

I'm afraid I was AWOL most of yesterday, working, so we missed a cracking winner, as Bournemouth won 2-1 away. What price were they?

I love that Top Six bet, too, but I guess I am too late now - 4/6 best price today?


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-1/top-6-finish