Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Nagpur

New Ground, no real history to go on

Pitch report: New shirt-front of a pitch, small cracks

Win the toss, bat

No idea what the bet is (you'll be pleased to know), very interesting to see how India can be installed as favourites. Again. I mean they can't be favourites on form and recent performance can they?

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/india-v-england/test-series/india-v-england-%5B4th-test%5D/winner

Click to see full-size image.

[tikay]

Ha, great stuff Rich.

Nope, hard to see how or why India are the jolly here.

Before further idle speculation ensues, how much difference will winning the toss make?

Will winning the toss change the likely outcome by, say, 10? or 20%?

If India won the toss, they should almost be favourites, yes?

If England win the toss, England should be 1/2?

[TightEnd]

Ha, great stuff Rich.

Nope, hard to see how or why India are the jolly here.

Before further idle speculation ensues, how much difference will winning the toss make?

Will winning the toss change the likely outcome by, say, 10? or 20%?

If India won the toss, they should almost be favourites, yes?

If England win the toss, England should be 1/2?

Its' trappy

Will the cracks get bigger with two days of sun on it before Thursday?


As it stands I'd have England 4/6 if they win the toss and bat.

India you just don't know.

[TightEnd]

I'm an advocate that more often than not a Non League team gets one chance to beat a League team in the FA Cup. Ideally for betting purposes you want the non-league team at home, then losing the replay but it can often work the other way round too, with the league team typically priced longer than it should be having not won first time round

There's one tonight

Hereford v Cheltenham

Cheltenham are 7/5

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/fa-cup/hereford-v-cheltenham/winner

The first match finished 1-1 at Whaddon Road. Cheltenham were 8/13 for that

I signed up to Robins player (£4.49 a month, must remember to cancel!) and watched the highlights, and they confirmed what the post match reports said

Cheltenham took the lead, Hereford equalised then parked a bus.


Hereford are under it. Struggling financially, they only managed to put 5 of 7 subs on the bench for the first leg....Just getting this replay is important news for them

The prize for the winners is a home tie with Everton. Cheltenham will not be complacent. They are a big powerful team. Six players over 6 ft 2, with a little bit of impish class in Jermaine McGlashan

Don't see them being bullied out of it at Edgar Street (convex shaped stand at the home end, and a side stand which overhangs the pitch. Quite the viewing experience)

I have them Evens at worst for this

Cheltenham 3rd in League 2, Hereford half way up the conference but in decent form

Recommend £25 at 7/5, available in various places

(presumably we might be frozen off...)

[tikay]

Ha, great stuff Rich.

Nope, hard to see how or why India are the jolly here.

Before further idle speculation ensues, how much difference will winning the toss make?

Will winning the toss change the likely outcome by, say, 10? or 20%?

If India won the toss, they should almost be favourites, yes?

If England win the toss, England should be 1/2?

Its' trappy

Will the cracks get bigger with two days of sun on it before Thursday?


As it stands I'd have England 4/6 if they win the toss and bat.

India you just don't know.

There must be a maths equation here then, because we could get 2/1 England when, if they win a (literal) 50%- 50% coin flip, they will be 4/6?

[TightEnd]

Ha, great stuff Rich.

Nope, hard to see how or why India are the jolly here.

Before further idle speculation ensues, how much difference will winning the toss make?

Will winning the toss change the likely outcome by, say, 10? or 20%?

If India won the toss, they should almost be favourites, yes?

If England win the toss, England should be 1/2?

Its' trappy

Will the cracks get bigger with two days of sun on it before Thursday?


As it stands I'd have England 4/6 if they win the toss and bat.

India you just don't know.

There must be a maths equation here then, because we could get 2/1 England when, if they win a (literal) 50%- 50% coin flip, they will be 4/6?

there must be

better minds than I might devise a strategy....

Eng at 2-1 might just be an outright though as I say looking at the pitch now (there are some close ups on twitter) it looks the flattest thing both teams will have seen all series, and the draw looks big

[tikay]

I'm an advocate that more often than not a Non League team gets one chance to beat a League team in the FA Cup. Ideally for betting purposes you want the non-league team at home, then losing the replay but it can often work the other way round too, with the league team typically priced longer than it should be having not won first time round

There's one tonight

Hereford v Cheltenham

Cheltenham are 7/5

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/fa-cup/hereford-v-cheltenham/winner

The first match finished 1-1 at Whaddon Road. Cheltenham were 8/13 for that

I signed up to Robins player (£4.49 a month, must remember to cancel!) and watched the highlights, and they confirmed what the post match reports said

Cheltenham took the lead, Hereford equalised then parked a bus.


Hereford are under it. Struggling financially, they only managed to put 5 of 7 subs on the bench for the first leg....Just getting this replay is important news for them

The prize for the winners is a home tie with Everton. Cheltenham will not be complacent. They are a big powerful team. Six players over 6 ft 2, with a little bit of impish class in Jermaine McGlashan

Don't see them being bullied out of it at Edgar Street (convex shaped stand at the home end, and a side stand which overhangs the pitch. Quite the viewing experience)

I have them Evens at worst for this

Cheltenham 3rd in League 2, Hereford half way up the conference but in decent form

Recommend £25 at 7/5, available in various places

(presumably we might be frozen off...)

Thanks Rich.

For non-pro punters, the clue to this bet is hidden within Tighty's reasoning, here.....



 Edgar Street (convex shaped stand at the home end, and a side stand which overhangs the pitch.

That, I submit, is detail of the highest order. Convex shaped stand? Nailed on.

We have £25, Cheltenham, @ 7/5, with Blue Square.

ON

Cheltenham Town @ 7/5 
Market
 Win/Draw/Win
 
Event
 English FA Cup
Hereford United v Cheltenham Town
2012-12-11 19:45:00
 
Bet Type
 
Bet Type
 Win Single
 
Unit Stake
 £25.00
 
Number of Units
 x1
 
Total Stake
 £25.00
 
Time and Date Placed
 2012-12-11 09:26:47
 
Receipt Number
 O/0891659/0000160
 

[tikay]

Ha, great stuff Rich.

Nope, hard to see how or why India are the jolly here.

Before further idle speculation ensues, how much difference will winning the toss make?

Will winning the toss change the likely outcome by, say, 10? or 20%?

If India won the toss, they should almost be favourites, yes?

If England win the toss, England should be 1/2?

Its' trappy

Will the cracks get bigger with two days of sun on it before Thursday?


As it stands I'd have England 4/6 if they win the toss and bat.

India you just don't know.

There must be a maths equation here then, because we could get 2/1 England when, if they win a (literal) 50%- 50% coin flip, they will be 4/6?

there must be

better minds than I might devise a strategy....

Eng at 2-1 might just be an outright though as I say looking at the pitch now (there are some close ups on twitter) it looks the flattest thing both teams will have seen all series, and the draw looks big

Maybe a lay of India is the answer?

[Tal]

Ha, great stuff Rich.

Nope, hard to see how or why India are the jolly here.

Before further idle speculation ensues, how much difference will winning the toss make?

Will winning the toss change the likely outcome by, say, 10? or 20%?

If India won the toss, they should almost be favourites, yes?

If England win the toss, England should be 1/2?

Its' trappy

Will the cracks get bigger with two days of sun on it before Thursday?


As it stands I'd have England 4/6 if they win the toss and bat.

India you just don't know.

If Dhoni has found a more malleable groundsman, I can see a complete dustbowl that will be turning square from tea on day 3. Win the toss, get 300+ and it's yours to lose.

I can't see how England are so close in price to the draw. The one thing Fletcher and Dhoni can't have is a bore draw, not even if Sachin gets a hundred! England have that man Mo Mentum ("your best friend or your worst enemy" - I think the pool commentator Jerry Forsyth?) on their side. Plus two form spinners and the ball should reverse for Jimmy if the pitch is cutting up.

All seems odd to me.

[TightEnd]

Ha, great stuff Rich.

Nope, hard to see how or why India are the jolly here.

Before further idle speculation ensues, how much difference will winning the toss make?

Will winning the toss change the likely outcome by, say, 10? or 20%?

If India won the toss, they should almost be favourites, yes?

If England win the toss, England should be 1/2?

Its' trappy

Will the cracks get bigger with two days of sun on it before Thursday?


As it stands I'd have England 4/6 if they win the toss and bat.

India you just don't know.

There must be a maths equation here then, because we could get 2/1 England when, if they win a (literal) 50%- 50% coin flip, they will be 4/6?

there must be

better minds than I might devise a strategy....

Eng at 2-1 might just be an outright though as I say looking at the pitch now (there are some close ups on twitter) it looks the flattest thing both teams will have seen all series, and the draw looks big

Maybe a lay of India is the answer?

Maybe it is

Awaiting the brains trust of Hector and Doobs and others to join the fray.....

[TightEnd]

New England thrashed Houston last night

So what?

Well next week the 49ers travel to New England in what will most likely be one of the games of the season

If the 49ers lose, and Seattle beat the Bills then


the week after 49ers v Seattle is for the division title

Crucial couple of games ahead.......

[LeedsRhodesy]

not sure who saw my tip last week but today is the day

Bradford vs Arsenal

Arsenal -1      19/20

Arsenal -2 goals @ 12/5

Arsenal -3 goals @ 6/1

Arsène Wenger determined that Arsenal's Capital One Cup trip to Bradford City is taken seriously
Arsène Wenger will take the unusual step of fielding a virtual full strength team at Bradford in the Capital One Cup on Tuesday night as Arsenal try to take a major step towards ending their eight-year trophy drought.

previous years, Arsenal have generally treated the quarter-final stage of the League Cup as an opportunity to rest key players and give younger members of the squad valuable first-team experience.

Wenger, though, is confident that his best players can perform against League Two Bradford and still be sufficiently recovered for the next Premier League fixture, against Reading on Monday.

Olivier Giroud, who has a back injury, is the only player being ruled out from the squad that beat West Bromwich Albion on Saturday.

[TightEnd]

not sure who saw my tip last week but today is the day

Bradford vs Arsenal

Arsenal -1      19/20

Arsenal -2 goals @ 12/5

Arsenal -3 goals @ 6/1

Arsène Wenger determined that Arsenal's Capital One Cup trip to Bradford City is taken seriously
Arsène Wenger will take the unusual step of fielding a virtual full strength team at Bradford in the Capital One Cup on Tuesday night as Arsenal try to take a major step towards ending their eight-year trophy drought.

previous years, Arsenal have generally treated the quarter-final stage of the League Cup as an opportunity to rest key players and give younger members of the squad valuable first-team experience.

Wenger, though, is confident that his best players can perform against League Two Bradford and still be sufficiently recovered for the next Premier League fixture, against Reading on Monday.

Olivier Giroud, who has a back injury, is the only player being ruled out from the squad that beat West Bromwich Albion on Saturday.

good luck

If its a full team then this looks a very good spot

[tikay]

not sure who saw my tip last week but today is the day

Bradford vs Arsenal

Arsenal -1      19/20

Arsenal -2 goals @ 12/5

Arsenal -3 goals @ 6/1

Arsène Wenger determined that Arsenal's Capital One Cup trip to Bradford City is taken seriously
Arsène Wenger will take the unusual step of fielding a virtual full strength team at Bradford in the Capital One Cup on Tuesday night as Arsenal try to take a major step towards ending their eight-year trophy drought.

previous years, Arsenal have generally treated the quarter-final stage of the League Cup as an opportunity to rest key players and give younger members of the squad valuable first-team experience.

Wenger, though, is confident that his best players can perform against League Two Bradford and still be sufficiently recovered for the next Premier League fixture, against Reading on Monday.

Olivier Giroud, who has a back injury, is the only player being ruled out from the squad that beat West Bromwich Albion on Saturday.

Good morning.

The outright odds are here......


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup/bradford-v-arsenal/winner

With the handicap prices here......

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup/bradford-v-arsenal/handicaps

In fact, we can get slightly better than 19/20 (-1) at present with either Blue Square or Boylesports.

Let's nip in & have £20 @ Evens.

£20 @ Evens (Blue Square), Arsenal -1, v Bradford, League Cup, tonight.

ON

Arsenal -1 @ evens 
Market
 Handicap
 
Event
 English League Cup
Bradford City v Arsenal
2012-12-11 19:45:00
 
Bet Type
 
Bet Type
 Win Single
 
Unit Stake
 £20.00
 
Number of Units
 x1
 
Total Stake
 £20.00
 
Time and Date Placed
 2012-12-11 09:48:53
 
Receipt Number
 O/0891659/0000161
 

[tikay]

Daily Summary, as @ 1000, Tuesday December 11th     

LOSS on Month = £402.34

Unsettled Bets  - £898.50


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=15