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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16386879 times)
tikay
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« Reply #23340 on: December 15, 2012, 12:42:08 AM »

Early price on tomoro's Knicks game has the Cavs -11. They're playing pretty well since Kyrie came back and sounds like Melo may well be injured for NY. Know they won without Melo the other day but they're pretty ordinary without him.

Any news on the Melo injury, or his availability?
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tikay
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« Reply #23341 on: December 15, 2012, 12:43:09 AM »

This is the dullest basketball game ever at the minute. Both offences playing awful, especially GSW. Plenty of time to heat up though.

The GSW game?

We could use a few more points.
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« Reply #23342 on: December 15, 2012, 12:48:04 AM »

This is the dullest basketball game ever at the minute. Both offences playing awful, especially GSW. Plenty of time to heat up though.

The GSW game?

We could use a few more points.

yeah, worst game ive watched all season so far. There is so many empty seats in the arena too. Looks like people from Orlando don't care about basketball now Dwight Howard left.
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@MtSpewmore
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I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
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« Reply #23343 on: December 15, 2012, 01:08:38 AM »

Warriors down 16 at halftime and playing awful. Gona need a miracle from here, turning the ball over near every possession and can't make a bucket.
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@MtSpewmore
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I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
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« Reply #23344 on: December 15, 2012, 01:44:57 AM »

Warriors shooting 30% pretty lollable. Magic playing well tbf to them.

Am i allowed to blame the millibok? Cheesy

Pretty much drawing dead now, was down to 9 but then magic went and made three 3pters on the spin and make it 18 points.
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@MtSpewmore
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I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
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« Reply #23345 on: December 15, 2012, 02:44:59 AM »

Derby to win at Bristol City at 2.5 and Charlton +0.5 against Bolton, away, at 1.975, are my two picks. I have doubled up but know the thread doesn't do that so suggest either/both as singles. Safe.
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« Reply #23346 on: December 15, 2012, 03:03:42 AM »

TfT missed last week's UFC winner so I have another one for tomorrow evening (please note Friday evening, not the regular Saturday).

The most recent Ultimate Fighter series culminates tomorrow evening with the finals taking place on the UFC on FX 6 card. The Ultimate Fighter is a reality TV program where the fighters are split into two teams and eat, sleep and train together for 6 weeks whilst fighting in a tournament until there are only two fighters remaining to contest the final. This season was called "The Smashes" and featured fighters from the UK taking on Team Australia. In the lightweight tournament two Brits have made it to the final and I think we are presented with a nice bet on this fight. The format allows the viewer to get an insight into largely unknown fighters and allows us to find some good value bets as bookmakers aren't always fully "clued up".

"Stormin" Norman Parke (16-2) from Northern Ireland is the slight underdog in the final and he is the bet to make. He takes on the very likeable, and also very talented, Colin "Freakshow" Fletcher (8-1). Parke is the better all round fighter, he has good wrestling and BJJ with a controlling top game. Fletcher is a tall and long character but Parke will have trained for that and in his semi-final Fletcher was tagged on occasion by a much smaller opponent. Parke is much better than Fletcher's opponent that day. Parke will mix it up standing just as long as he needs to to be able to put Fletcher up against the cage and work the takedowns. Fletcher is dangerous on the ground with his long limbs but Parke is a skilled ground fighter and should be clever enough to avoid the sunmission. Parke wins by decision IMO.

Every bookmaker has Fletcher the favourite with Ladbrokes going 8/13 Fletcher and 6/5 Parke. I'd have those prices the other way around.

Suggest £40 on Norman Parke @ 6/5 with Ladbrokes.

It pains me, but we're betting against this hero.....



Morning Advent Calender Bloke.

I missed a nadge of price, but we have proceeded anyway.

We have £40 with Ladbrokes @ 11/10, Parke to beat Fletcher.


ON



Selection11/10 - Norman Parke

EventNorman Parke v Colin Fletcher UFC

MarketFight result
 
Your bets (1)
 Single - Norman Parke
1 line at £40.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £40.00
Potential Return: £84.00
Time: 14/12/12 09:36
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000219



Winner winner!
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« Reply #23347 on: December 15, 2012, 03:13:24 AM »

Why's Peter crouch 33/1 to score first in stokes game at weekend on coral and everywhere else he's 7/1?
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« Reply #23348 on: December 15, 2012, 07:17:32 AM »

Amazed no one has suggested laying Liverpool today.  Be tough to justify 2/5 against my home team Wycombe Wanderers, but it seems weird against Prem opposition in a bit of form.

I reckon go for £50 on Betfair, and thus risking about £20 on them failing to win.
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« Reply #23349 on: December 15, 2012, 07:40:54 AM »

I liked the "value spotting" on the Goals Galore coupon last week.  Is there an easy way to do that comparison of BTTS prices? On Oddschecker it wants me to check every match individually.
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« Reply #23350 on: December 15, 2012, 07:48:14 AM »

Warriors shooting 30% pretty lollable. Magic playing well tbf to them.

Am i allowed to blame the millibok? Cheesy

Pretty much drawing dead now, was down to 9 but then magic went and made three 3pters on the spin and make it 18 points.

If I was in East Germany at the time my money would have brought down the Berlin wall. Told ya, cursed.

Wpwp Scotty. Obv I didn't have enough on as it seems we had a winner.

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« Reply #23351 on: December 15, 2012, 08:31:02 AM »

I liked the "value spotting" on the Goals Galore coupon last week.  Is there an easy way to do that comparison of BTTS prices? On Oddschecker it wants me to check every match individually.

Ok I found it, although it looks like BetFred is running scared and has cut the fixed prices on their bonus coupon  Sad

The following matches are in theory a bit of value still (Best price for BTTS in brackets)

Genclerbirligi v Besiktas (1.53)
Leeds v Ipswich (1.62)
Middlesbrough v Wolves (1.62)
Dundee v Inverness (1.62)

4/1 the trebles and 8/1 the FourFold on BetFred's Goals Galore Bonus coupon.

GL!
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« Reply #23352 on: December 15, 2012, 08:45:55 AM »

Just woken up. Put Test Match Special on. Did not expect that score...

Tighty, it seems you know more about pitches than everyone else, including the people who have seen, examined and played on it!

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« Reply #23353 on: December 15, 2012, 08:52:20 AM »

Just woken up. Put Test Match Special on. Did not expect that score...

Tighty, it seems you know more about pitches than everyone else, including the people who have seen, examined and played on it!



Not so sure about that

24 hours ago, all the thread's bets were lined up in a row, about to cross the line in a victory parade festooning garlands on Mere Novice as he updated the spreadsheet in a welter of bold blue text

Not now!
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« Reply #23354 on: December 15, 2012, 08:57:49 AM »

Just woken up. Put Test Match Special on. Did not expect that score...

Tighty, it seems you know more about pitches than everyone else, including the people who have seen, examined and played on it!



Not so sure about that

24 hours ago, all the thread's bets were lined up in a row, about to cross the line in a victory parade festooning garlands on Mere Novice as he updated the spreadsheet in a welter of bold blue text

Not now!

Your original read was that it would play 5 days. I couldn't believe you and thought I'd been found to be right yesterday evening. Now it is clear you were right.
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