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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13442853 times)
gouty
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« Reply #30090 on: February 13, 2013, 04:51:50 PM »

Blimey, how big will this rule 4 be?
Not big enough!
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The Camel
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« Reply #30091 on: February 13, 2013, 04:52:31 PM »

Bookmakers itt.
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mondatoo
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« Reply #30092 on: February 13, 2013, 04:58:03 PM »

Read the last few pages of the thread and still got no clue what the best bet is for the 365 offer Smiley

Tempted to jump on the Millidonk wagon and go Man U win/win.
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claypole
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« Reply #30093 on: February 13, 2013, 05:00:55 PM »

Haven't caught up with all of Fred, so if others have reccomended I apologies; I know Tighty has given his read on the Bet 365 deal - however here is mine.  Assuming we buy into the fact that Real Madrid are too short at 4/7 with 365 I plan to do the following:-

£50 Man Utd Asian +1 at 2.050

As game kicks off - £50 Man United - tradityional handicap +1 currently 7/5 - this is the free bet treated that is refunded if it is a loser

So basically, if I have this right

If Man U win or draw - stake £100, return £222.50
If Real win by one goal - stake £100, return £100
If Real Madrid win by 2 or more stake £100 return £50 free bet

Look good to me albeit a bit nitty

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TheChipPrince
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« Reply #30094 on: February 13, 2013, 05:02:09 PM »

365 always reign in their odds when this offer is on, there are best price on very few markets
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EvilPie
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« Reply #30095 on: February 13, 2013, 05:03:45 PM »

How bad are rule 4 s? I've been hit by a few and obviously hate them but are they actually fair?

I've never even tried to work it out but I guess someone has.

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redarmi
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« Reply #30096 on: February 13, 2013, 05:07:38 PM »

How bad are rule 4 s? I've been hit by a few and obviously hate them but are they actually fair?

I've never even tried to work it out but I guess someone has.



It is a relatively fair system imo.  I seem to remember back in the day when they were trying to figure out a system for Betfair that was fair to both bettor and layer they found that if anything it was slightly unfair to the bookies in certain spots but I may have that wrong.
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The Camel
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« Reply #30097 on: February 13, 2013, 05:10:06 PM »

How bad are rule 4 s? I've been hit by a few and obviously hate them but are they actually fair?

I've never even tried to work it out but I guess someone has.



Usually slightly in favour of the bookies but occasionally massively in the punters favour.

A five horse race where they bet 1/5, 4/1, 100/1, 100/1, 100/1.

If the 1/5 shot gets withdrawn you'd effectively get Evens about the 4/1 chance, when it should be about 1/6!

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« Reply #30098 on: February 13, 2013, 05:11:47 PM »

Haven't caught up with all of Fred, so if others have reccomended I apologies; I know Tighty has given his read on the Bet 365 deal - however here is mine.  Assuming we buy into the fact that Real Madrid are too short at 4/7 with 365 I plan to do the following:-

£50 Man Utd Asian +1 at 2.050

As game kicks off - £50 Man United - tradityional handicap +1 currently 7/5 - this is the free bet treated that is refunded if it is a loser

So basically, if I have this right

If Man U win or draw - stake £100, return £222.50
If Real win by one goal - stake £100, return £100
If Real Madrid win by 2 or more stake £100 return £50 free bet

Look good to me albeit a bit nitty



Unless I am misreading this, if Real Madrid win by one goal, then half the Asian HC bet is refunded, but will not trigger the refund of the £50 loser bet
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The Camel
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« Reply #30099 on: February 13, 2013, 05:12:46 PM »

365 always reign in their odds when this offer is on, there are best price on very few markets

Not surprising really, they are giving everyone £50 each after all.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

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"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
The Camel
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« Reply #30100 on: February 13, 2013, 05:14:54 PM »

How bad are rule 4 s? I've been hit by a few and obviously hate them but are they actually fair?

I've never even tried to work it out but I guess someone has.



Usually slightly in favour of the bookies but occasionally massively in the punters favour.

A five horse race where they bet 1/5, 4/1, 100/1, 100/1, 100/1.

If the 1/5 shot gets withdrawn you'd effectively get Evens about the 4/1 chance, when it should be about 1/6!



Btw, been following racing too many years, and only seen this dream scenario twice that I can remember.

Once it was a 3 horse race where they were betting 1/8, 10/1, 10/1

The 1/8 shot got withdrawn meaning they were effectively betting 5/2 each of two in a match race Smiley
« Last Edit: February 13, 2013, 05:19:14 PM by The Camel » Logged

Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #30101 on: February 13, 2013, 05:30:28 PM »

Blimey Pat Millman must be even worse than his brother. Never seen Robbie Fitz outride anyone!

UL Camel, another good spot

nothing wrong with the ride

when dld gets that pace to chase he rarely does not win


Best agree to disagree, had the forecast and saver on DLD, so not talking through pocket. Millman just seemed to flap about to me. All about opinions
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« Reply #30102 on: February 13, 2013, 05:57:44 PM »

Blimey Pat Millman must be even worse than his brother. Never seen Robbie Fitz outride anyone!

UL Camel, another good spot

nothing wrong with the ride

when dld gets that pace to chase he rarely does not win


Best agree to disagree, had the forecast and saver on DLD, so not talking through pocket. Millman just seemed to flap about to me. All about opinions

well done

please dont aftertime though were possible
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crown
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« Reply #30103 on: February 13, 2013, 06:22:03 PM »

Ladbrokes special offer

B Geraghty Top Cheltenham Jockey 3/1

Max £25 offer available until 7pm
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redarmi
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« Reply #30104 on: February 13, 2013, 07:00:41 PM »

I don't see why SAF will be guaranteeing goals. Its a first leg, he needs to bunker down and play on the counter. All the "it won't finish 0-0" is for Mourinho's benefit. Just watch him double Ronaldo and ask Real's other players to beat him. They might, of course.

Guess he knew the lineup - very much an overs lineup.....not sure I like the MU bet quite as much now but LOVE the overs.
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