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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13443494 times)
gouty
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #30090 on:
February 13, 2013, 04:51:50 PM »
Quote from: The Camel on February 13, 2013, 04:35:28 PM
Blimey, how big will this rule 4 be?
Not big enough!
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The Camel
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #30091 on:
February 13, 2013, 04:52:31 PM »
Bookmakers itt.
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mondatoo
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #30092 on:
February 13, 2013, 04:58:03 PM »
Read the last few pages of the thread and still got no clue what the best bet is for the 365 offer
Tempted to jump on the Millidonk wagon and go Man U win/win.
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claypole
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #30093 on:
February 13, 2013, 05:00:55 PM »
Haven't caught up with all of Fred, so if others have reccomended I apologies; I know Tighty has given his read on the Bet 365 deal - however here is mine. Assuming we buy into the fact that Real Madrid are too short at 4/7 with 365 I plan to do the following:-
£50 Man Utd Asian +1 at 2.050
As game kicks off - £50 Man United - tradityional handicap +1 currently 7/5 - this is the free bet treated that is refunded if it is a loser
So basically, if I have this right
If Man U win or draw - stake £100, return £222.50
If Real win by one goal - stake £100, return £100
If Real Madrid win by 2 or more stake £100 return £50 free bet
Look good to me albeit a bit nitty
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TheChipPrince
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #30094 on:
February 13, 2013, 05:02:09 PM »
365 always reign in their odds when this offer is on, there are best price on very few markets
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EvilPie
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #30095 on:
February 13, 2013, 05:03:45 PM »
How bad are rule 4 s? I've been hit by a few and obviously hate them but are they actually fair?
I've never even tried to work it out but I guess someone has.
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redarmi
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #30096 on:
February 13, 2013, 05:07:38 PM »
Quote from: EvilPie on February 13, 2013, 05:03:45 PM
How bad are rule 4 s? I've been hit by a few and obviously hate them but are they actually fair?
I've never even tried to work it out but I guess someone has.
It is a relatively fair system imo. I seem to remember back in the day when they were trying to figure out a system for Betfair that was fair to both bettor and layer they found that if anything it was slightly unfair to the bookies in certain spots but I may have that wrong.
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The Camel
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #30097 on:
February 13, 2013, 05:10:06 PM »
Quote from: EvilPie on February 13, 2013, 05:03:45 PM
How bad are rule 4 s? I've been hit by a few and obviously hate them but are they actually fair?
I've never even tried to work it out but I guess someone has.
Usually slightly in favour of the bookies but occasionally massively in the punters favour.
A five horse race where they bet 1/5, 4/1, 100/1, 100/1, 100/1.
If the 1/5 shot gets withdrawn you'd effectively get Evens about the 4/1 chance, when it should be about 1/6!
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
class
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Posts: 172
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #30098 on:
February 13, 2013, 05:11:47 PM »
Quote from: claypole on February 13, 2013, 05:00:55 PM
Haven't caught up with all of Fred, so if others have reccomended I apologies; I know Tighty has given his read on the Bet 365 deal - however here is mine. Assuming we buy into the fact that Real Madrid are too short at 4/7 with 365 I plan to do the following:-
£50 Man Utd Asian +1 at 2.050
As game kicks off - £50 Man United - tradityional handicap +1 currently 7/5 - this is the free bet treated that is refunded if it is a loser
So basically, if I have this right
If Man U win or draw - stake £100, return £222.50
If Real win by one goal - stake £100, return £100
If Real Madrid win by 2 or more stake £100 return £50 free bet
Look good to me albeit a bit nitty
Unless I am misreading this, if Real Madrid win by one goal, then half the Asian HC bet is refunded, but will not trigger the refund of the £50 loser bet
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The Camel
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #30099 on:
February 13, 2013, 05:12:46 PM »
Quote from: TheChipPrince on February 13, 2013, 05:02:09 PM
365 always reign in their odds when this offer is on, there are best price on very few markets
Not surprising really, they are giving everyone £50 each after all.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
The Camel
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Under my tree, being a troll.
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #30100 on:
February 13, 2013, 05:14:54 PM »
Quote from: The Camel on February 13, 2013, 05:10:06 PM
Quote from: EvilPie on February 13, 2013, 05:03:45 PM
How bad are rule 4 s? I've been hit by a few and obviously hate them but are they actually fair?
I've never even tried to work it out but I guess someone has.
Usually slightly in favour of the bookies but occasionally massively in the punters favour.
A five horse race where they bet 1/5, 4/1, 100/1, 100/1, 100/1.
If the 1/5 shot gets withdrawn you'd effectively get Evens about the 4/1 chance, when it should be about 1/6!
Btw, been following racing too many years, and only seen this dream scenario twice that I can remember.
Once it was a 3 horse race where they were betting 1/8, 10/1, 10/1
The 1/8 shot got withdrawn meaning they were effectively betting 5/2 each of two in a match race
«
Last Edit: February 13, 2013, 05:19:14 PM by The Camel
»
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
BigAdz
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Posts: 8152
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #30101 on:
February 13, 2013, 05:30:28 PM »
Quote from: horseplayer on February 13, 2013, 04:39:25 PM
Quote from: BigAdz on February 13, 2013, 04:38:00 PM
Blimey Pat Millman must be even worse than his brother. Never seen Robbie Fitz outride anyone!
UL Camel, another good spot
nothing wrong with the ride
when dld gets that pace to chase he rarely does not win
Best agree to disagree, had the forecast and saver on DLD, so not talking through pocket. Millman just seemed to flap about to me. All about opinions
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horseplayer
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Posts: 10601
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #30102 on:
February 13, 2013, 05:57:44 PM »
Quote from: BigAdz on February 13, 2013, 05:30:28 PM
Quote from: horseplayer on February 13, 2013, 04:39:25 PM
Quote from: BigAdz on February 13, 2013, 04:38:00 PM
Blimey Pat Millman must be even worse than his brother. Never seen Robbie Fitz outride anyone!
UL Camel, another good spot
nothing wrong with the ride
when dld gets that pace to chase he rarely does not win
Best agree to disagree, had the forecast and saver on DLD, so not talking through pocket. Millman just seemed to flap about to me. All about opinions
well done
please dont aftertime though were possible
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crown
Sr. Member
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Posts: 308
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #30103 on:
February 13, 2013, 06:22:03 PM »
Ladbrokes special offer
B Geraghty Top Cheltenham Jockey 3/1
Max £25 offer available until 7pm
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redarmi
Hero Member
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Posts: 5232
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #30104 on:
February 13, 2013, 07:00:41 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on February 13, 2013, 02:07:07 PM
I don't see why SAF will be guaranteeing goals. Its a first leg, he needs to bunker down and play on the counter. All the "it won't finish 0-0" is for Mourinho's benefit. Just watch him double Ronaldo and ask Real's other players to beat him. They might, of course.
Guess he knew the lineup - very much an overs lineup.....not sure I like the MU bet quite as much now but LOVE the overs.
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