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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13437169 times)
tikay
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« Reply #32460 on: March 05, 2013, 06:03:06 PM »

My thinking could be wrong but Lewis will have to win a fair few GP's to win the championship wouldn't he?  He's currently 11's to win the Aussie GP and I'm guessing he's going to be about that for the rest of them, surely a more +EV bet than betting him at 11's for a year long bet would be to back him each race ?  Mind, if he starts winning the odds will start dropping but his car won't be better than the Red Bull and McLaren's for a while.

Though I agree, with you I think your last sentence is the wrong way round.  As far as I recall, Mercedes have faded from the start in the last two seasons.  I am also not convinced he is any less unpopular than some of his rivals for SPOTY.

So we should back him to win the Australian GP at 12/1 with Boylesports.  It is the only firm laying 12s, and beats betfair, and though a lot of pre season testing doesn't mean much, Mercedes were fastest at the last test.

Suggest putting it on the nose, Hamilton isn't an each way kind of guy and fifth the odds first three doesn't seem much of a price.

£25 on the nose on Lewis Hamilton to win the Australian GP tikay, lets get this Formula 1 column in to the positive.
 

Done!

I'll respond to the Hamilton/SPOTY stuff tomorrow, rather busy right now, but my personal view is that Mr Hamilton is not as well liked as some may think, he has become way too corporate & seems to be a sing when he is winning type. A bit of humility always helps with the greast British public.

Anyway, let's get F1 in the blue column for now.

We have £25 WIN @ 12/1, Boylesports, Lewis MardyBum Hamilton to win the Aussie GP.

ON

Bet ref: 74/72 Hamilton, Lewis @ 12/1
Australian Grand Prix
Outright Betting
Total stake £25.00
Estimated return £325.00
Full stake £25.00
Full estimated return £325.00
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aaron1867
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« Reply #32461 on: March 05, 2013, 06:43:28 PM »

for those would care/can get on hills doing another priority price at 6.30pm tonight on tonights game

It's an awful PP.

I would have thought they would have given us much more value than that.

The offer is RVP & Ronaldo both to score tonight is 5/1.
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« Reply #32462 on: March 05, 2013, 06:53:12 PM »

No rooney for United.  Think RvP has to be value to score first and score at 6.6 and 2.36 respectively on the machine.
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« Reply #32463 on: March 05, 2013, 07:02:01 PM »

No rooney for United.  Think RvP has to be value to score first and score at 6.6 and 2.36 respectively on the machine.

Wow - on bench or picked a knock up. Actually shocked if former
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redarmi
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« Reply #32464 on: March 05, 2013, 07:02:39 PM »

Yep on bench.
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Tal
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« Reply #32465 on: March 05, 2013, 07:03:40 PM »

Dropping Rooney is going to be one of those Fergie moments, I suspect, where he gets slated, only for the player drafted in to be man of the match.

Forgive my slightly sardonic tone, but part of me has enjoyed the latest stream of Giggs love, if only for the fact it has now been limited to him being a model pro on the pitch and at Carrington.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
aaron1867
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« Reply #32466 on: March 05, 2013, 07:04:48 PM »

I'm betting on trebles as nothing really stands out for me.

Only thing that stands out for me is Port Vale at home to Bradford at 5/4. Bradford must be knackered now, not really looked into stats really, just putting out there.
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Tal
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« Reply #32467 on: March 05, 2013, 07:05:28 PM »

Have a £2 fun bet on 2-2.

Depending on the order of events, this might coincide with a Mourinho touchline charge.

Is it ET or do away goals kick in after 90?
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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« Reply #32468 on: March 05, 2013, 07:07:22 PM »

surprised but when did rooney last really control or influence a champions league game?

i honestly cant remember
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Tal
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« Reply #32469 on: March 05, 2013, 07:08:19 PM »

surprised but when did rooney last really control or influence a champions league game?

i honestly cant remember

It's as much that he can play on the right and make Ronaldo think about what's behind him for me.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
aaron1867
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« Reply #32470 on: March 05, 2013, 07:08:54 PM »

When you compare benches, just shows how good Madrid are.

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rfgqqabc
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« Reply #32471 on: March 05, 2013, 07:18:44 PM »

Tikay use your corner expertise to see if Bluesq Over 11 corners in the Man U game at 5/6. Spin go 12-12.5

Over 10 corners @ evens in the Dortmund game too Spin 10.5-11

2nd bet is with bet£3.65
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« Reply #32472 on: March 05, 2013, 07:28:45 PM »

Thoughts on Man U price now re 365 offer ?
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« Reply #32473 on: March 05, 2013, 07:30:51 PM »

Is the 365 offer a refund on your in play bet if it loses  opposed to getting a free bet to the same stake of your pre match bet?
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« Reply #32474 on: March 05, 2013, 07:33:06 PM »

Is the 365 offer a refund on your in play bet if it loses  opposed to getting a free bet to the same stake of your pre match bet?

It's a refund of the bet m8
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