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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16451368 times)
tikay
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« Reply #33825 on: March 14, 2013, 10:55:13 AM »

Works out 80pence better per £100 to lay Williams on bf Smiley Also the market was only 101.8% to back and 98.2% to lay, you probably would have got matched @2.62/2.64 for small money if you put it up.

The pennies add up

Now you tell me.....

Who'd have thunk? Dubai, King Nit.

PS - Where did you get those %'s from, are they somewhere on Betty, or did you work them out yourself?
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« Reply #33826 on: March 14, 2013, 10:58:44 AM »

Just been having a look at the latest League 1 market. With 8/9 games left of the season (10 for Sheff U), and looking at the run ins of all the teams up there, fancy a bit of a banzai bet on Bournemouth at 25/1 on betfair. Reasoning :- Games aainst top 10 teams left are
Doncaster 2 home and 2 away
Sheff Utd   2 home and 2 away
Brentford  2 home and 3 away
Swindon   2 home and 3 away
Yeovil       2 home and 1 away
Tranmere  1 home and 3 away
Bournemouth 1 home and 1 away

Bournemouths away game is at Tranmere last game of the season, and all their remaining games look very winnable. Next 4 games all against bottom teams.

Think the table is going to be very tight going into last 3 games




Really hope you're right! ...tbh I'm happy with a play off spot now Smiley

The problem is we still have two key defenders out, and although we have stopped the rot of 5 losses, with a 1-0 (penalty) win ...I'm not sure we have regained the confidence/spirit we had before.
However 25/1 does seem out of line with the majority of bookies,so maybe a small sweat is justified.
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tikay
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« Reply #33827 on: March 14, 2013, 11:10:10 AM »

Just been having a look at the latest League 1 market. With 8/9 games left of the season (10 for Sheff U), and looking at the run ins of all the teams up there, fancy a bit of a banzai bet on Bournemouth at 25/1 on betfair. Reasoning :- Games aainst top 10 teams left are
Doncaster 2 home and 2 away
Sheff Utd   2 home and 2 away
Brentford  2 home and 3 away
Swindon   2 home and 3 away
Yeovil       2 home and 1 away
Tranmere  1 home and 3 away
Bournemouth 1 home and 1 away

Bournemouths away game is at Tranmere last game of the season, and all their remaining games look very winnable. Next 4 games all against bottom teams.

Think the table is going to be very tight going into last 3 games



Thanks biggle.

Anyone else got a view on this? ripple's view slightly discounted, he is a Cherries fan. Wink
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« Reply #33828 on: March 14, 2013, 11:18:25 AM »

Just been having a look at the latest League 1 market. With 8/9 games left of the season (10 for Sheff U), and looking at the run ins of all the teams up there, fancy a bit of a banzai bet on Bournemouth at 25/1 on betfair. Reasoning :- Games aainst top 10 teams left are
Doncaster 2 home and 2 away
Sheff Utd   2 home and 2 away
Brentford  2 home and 3 away
Swindon   2 home and 3 away
Yeovil       2 home and 1 away
Tranmere  1 home and 3 away
Bournemouth 1 home and 1 away

Bournemouths away game is at Tranmere last game of the season, and all their remaining games look very winnable. Next 4 games all against bottom teams.

Think the table is going to be very tight going into last 3 games



Thanks biggle.

Anyone else got a view on this? ripple's view slightly discounted, he is a Cherries fan. Wink

considering i am already on for a decent sum top 6 and winner i am biased to

i speak to 3 people who go regularly who keep telling me they are playing really well but just not getting the results
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« Reply #33829 on: March 14, 2013, 11:20:25 AM »

Just been having a look at the latest League 1 market. With 8/9 games left of the season (10 for Sheff U), and looking at the run ins of all the teams up there, fancy a bit of a banzai bet on Bournemouth at 25/1 on betfair. Reasoning :- Games aainst top 10 teams left are
Doncaster 2 home and 2 away
Sheff Utd   2 home and 2 away
Brentford  2 home and 3 away
Swindon   2 home and 3 away
Yeovil       2 home and 1 away
Tranmere  1 home and 3 away
Bournemouth 1 home and 1 away

Bournemouths away game is at Tranmere last game of the season, and all their remaining games look very winnable. Next 4 games all against bottom teams.

Think the table is going to be very tight going into last 3 games



Thanks biggle.

Anyone else got a view on this? ripple's view slightly discounted, he is a Cherries fan. Wink
Its Biggle a doncaster fan, (My uncle.)

I've been looking to get something onto Bournemouth for a while and their run of form turned awful. Don't feel too qualified to help out here. Is way ool though.
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« Reply #33830 on: March 14, 2013, 11:24:34 AM »

Thread has Doncaster and Walsall to go up already

Not sure another, in a very tight heat frankly (play offs are going to be unfathomably difficult to pick a winner in this) is portfolio optimisation.

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« Reply #33831 on: March 14, 2013, 11:39:54 AM »

Betfair has even money Trott and Compton for Top English bat in the 3 test series

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/new-zealand-v-england/test-series/new-zealand-england-tests/top-england-batsman

I'm with Hector, Trott is a 4/6 shot here

- Good chance England only bat once in this game
- One more test to come, so two innings max, at Auckland which is the best pitch in NZ, and where Trott can reasonably be expected not to fail any more than any other player is likely to
- Trott is not out, and level with Compton at the moment

So any runs he scores today makes it tougher for anyone to overtake him

Can't see how Trott is evens in this.
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tikay
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« Reply #33832 on: March 14, 2013, 11:43:52 AM »

Betfair has even money Trott and Compton for Top English bat in the 3 test series

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/new-zealand-v-england/test-series/new-zealand-england-tests/top-england-batsman

I'm with Hector, Trott is a 4/6 shot here

- Good chance England only bat once in this game
- One more test to come, so two innings max, at Auckland which is the best pitch in NZ, and where Trott can reasonably be expected not to fail any more than any other player is likely to
- Trott is not out, and level with Compton at the moment

So any runs he scores today makes it tougher for anyone to overtake him

Can't see how Trott is evens in this.


Suggesting a press?
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« Reply #33833 on: March 14, 2013, 11:46:01 AM »

Betfair has even money Trott and Compton for Top English bat in the 3 test series

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/new-zealand-v-england/test-series/new-zealand-england-tests/top-england-batsman

I'm with Hector, Trott is a 4/6 shot here

- Good chance England only bat once in this game
- One more test to come, so two innings max, at Auckland which is the best pitch in NZ, and where Trott can reasonably be expected not to fail any more than any other player is likely to
- Trott is not out, and level with Compton at the moment

So any runs he scores today makes it tougher for anyone to overtake him

Can't see how Trott is evens in this.


Suggesting a press?

More canvassing opinion at this stage.

Tempted though

Downsides?

- He gets out very early today, so is at worst level with Compton
- England bat again and he fails
- He fails twice in Auckland

I would suggest all of those three happening is fairly unlikely 
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« Reply #33834 on: March 14, 2013, 11:47:49 AM »

Morning Mr T.

Here are the current scores in the top tallish batter markets as of close of play on day 1 of the 2nd test.

Cook          143
Compton     217
Trott          218
Pietersen      30
Bell              50
Root             4

Feel free to check out my new cricket tipping site    www.battingemporium.co.uk

I would make Trott about 4/6 now.

Please let me not be the only one who clicked that link, I thought it was to our friend Mr Beevers.....

Looks to me that Trott is almost freerolling now, and a good knock today will be great for the bet.

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tikay
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« Reply #33835 on: March 14, 2013, 11:50:16 AM »

Betfair has even money Trott and Compton for Top English bat in the 3 test series

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/new-zealand-v-england/test-series/new-zealand-england-tests/top-england-batsman

I'm with Hector, Trott is a 4/6 shot here

- Good chance England only bat once in this game
- One more test to come, so two innings max, at Auckland which is the best pitch in NZ, and where Trott can reasonably be expected not to fail any more than any other player is likely to
- Trott is not out, and level with Compton at the moment

So any runs he scores today makes it tougher for anyone to overtake him

Can't see how Trott is evens in this.


Suggesting a press?

More canvassing opinion at this stage.

Tempted though

Downsides?

- He gets out very early today, so is at worst level with Compton
- England bat again and he fails
- He fails twice in Auckland

I would suggest all of those three happening is fairly unlikely 

Agree, the problem (I think....) is that there is almost no liquidity at all on Betfair for the Market.
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« Reply #33836 on: March 14, 2013, 12:17:26 PM »

Reve De Sivola to win PRIORITY PRICE @ 8/1

with hills

only a tenner max but is a no brainer for reasons already discussed
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tikay
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« Reply #33837 on: March 14, 2013, 12:20:38 PM »

Reve De Sivola to win PRIORITY PRICE @ 8/1

with hills

only a tenner max but is a no brainer for reasons already discussed

Excellent, & I managed to be there in time, thanks.

We have £10 @ 8/1, Reve De Sivola, World Hurdle, down to FRED.

ON

14 Mar 2013 - Reve De Sivola to win the World Hurdle 3:20 Chelt - PRIORITY PRICE 14/3/13 - Limited Availability

Reve De Sivola to win PRIORITY PRICE @ 8/1

Stake : £10.00
Estimated Returns : £90.00Transaction Reference:O/0457483/0000321/F
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« Reply #33838 on: March 14, 2013, 12:21:06 PM »

gone now

that was good timing
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tikay
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« Reply #33839 on: March 14, 2013, 12:22:30 PM »

gone now

that was good timing

Blimey, I cut that fine!

Good spot, thanks.
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