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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16481129 times)
horseplayer
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« Reply #34710 on: March 20, 2013, 03:43:13 PM »

Okies, the price has gone from yesterday, but I'm still gonna float this one up, get some other opinions.

Tote/Baldfred have a market on how many UK Classic winners Aidan O'Brien has in 2013.

9/4 Two
5/2 Three
3 One
9/2 None
9 Four
40 Five

I backed none yesterday at 8/1. They then cut it to 6/1 and someone has obviously had another look at the market since and trimmed again to 9/2.

I'm still inclined to think this is big, though, as I wouldn't want to lay over 2/1.

To put this into context, in four of the last six years Aidan has had zero winners.

This looks a big over-reaction to last season, when he had the machine that is Camelot, as well as a couple of big-priced winners in the two fillies' races.

The 2000 Guineas has an 11/4 favourite in Dawn Appraoach, but he isn't O'Brien's. It's then 8/1 bar.

In the 1000 Guineas it's 8/1 the field.

Kingsbarns is his main hope for the Derby and is 4/1 favourite, but the Derby is way off, while in the Oaks it's 12/1 the field.

For the life of me I can't see how these Tote prices make sense.

Looks a clever spot Mr W, though it grieves to get on at 9/2 when 8/1 was available yesterday.

8-1 was a crackerjack of a price

9-2 still looks a bit to big
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Killerkilsby
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« Reply #34711 on: March 20, 2013, 03:50:34 PM »

Pm sent.
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Chompy
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« Reply #34712 on: March 20, 2013, 03:50:44 PM »

8/1...£3.61 max

I also think Aidan is an awful price to win the British Trainers' Championship. He couldn't hold on from Johnny G last season, despite four Classic winners.

Hannon's chance will largely depend on how good his 2yos are, and nobody knows that at the moment.

I'd have thought Gosden was a fair price at 8/1 to follow up. Any thoughts anyone?
« Last Edit: March 20, 2013, 03:56:28 PM by Chompy » Logged

"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
Killerkilsby
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« Reply #34713 on: March 20, 2013, 04:06:54 PM »

All done chompy :-)
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Killerkilsby
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« Reply #34714 on: March 20, 2013, 04:09:39 PM »

Interestingly enough they gave me another £25 on my limit so put an extra bit on for myself, then the price has completly disappeared
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BigAdz
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« Reply #34715 on: March 20, 2013, 04:11:48 PM »

Anyone recall that 6 Nations treble we put on with Bwin?

Anyone had the match bonus for losing bet paid yet?

Was told I had to wait til 6 N finished and now they just ignore emails.

I wonder how some of these companies ever keep any custom.
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
Doobs
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« Reply #34716 on: March 20, 2013, 04:16:27 PM »

Interestingly enough they gave me another £25 on my limit so put an extra bit on for myself, then the price has completly disappeared

True.  Now quoting no price at all. 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
BigAdz
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« Reply #34717 on: March 20, 2013, 04:39:25 PM »

WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOHOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Must have mentioned James.

£500 extra from Sid, ty!!
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Bad Beat
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« Reply #34718 on: March 20, 2013, 04:55:24 PM »

Today is also the tenth anniversary of the start of the Iraq War.

The awarding of a posthumous Victoria Cross to Lance Corporal James Ashworth this week reminds us of the courage and sacrifice that all who serve in our armed forces are still making to defend our country.

We will exempt our military from changes to progression pay.



...inspired!
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BigAdz
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« Reply #34719 on: March 20, 2013, 04:57:44 PM »

TY Neil.

I feel a little donation coming on to Help for Heroes, methinks.

N1 George.
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Bad Beat
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« Reply #34720 on: March 20, 2013, 05:01:02 PM »

 Nice one. Well done.

 I don't know about hard-working families but it was hard-working young punters roaming around London this morning.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #34721 on: March 20, 2013, 05:04:15 PM »

WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOHOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Must have mentioned James.

£500 extra from Sid, ty!!

strange ways how to make money volume 333

well done sir
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BigAdz
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« Reply #34722 on: March 20, 2013, 05:10:13 PM »

Was hoping some mug MP called James got a namecheck, just shows eh......
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ripple11
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« Reply #34723 on: March 20, 2013, 05:38:59 PM »

Re Budget speech : Stan James are doing 100/1 on the words "Stan" and "James"

A fiver on, .....hoping he quotes some economist/Treasury bod with "James" in his name lol


 disco
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BigAdz
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« Reply #34724 on: March 20, 2013, 05:42:54 PM »

Ah Mr Ripple,it was you I have to thank.

Always liked Ripples!
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
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