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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13441964 times)
Nico29
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« Reply #34875 on: March 22, 2013, 12:37:30 PM »

Recommend £150ew Rooney first goal 9/4 b365.

Lose ~1.8% win bet
Win ~12% each part

Tikay will be able to get about a tenner on mate, still obv worth a bet tho.
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Dubai
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« Reply #34876 on: March 22, 2013, 12:39:03 PM »

Will most likely be putting up similar bets on Wellbeck, Walcott and Lampard all with PP- waiting for markets to settle as even tho i know its +ev i have to prove to the boss Smiley
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Nico29
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« Reply #34877 on: March 22, 2013, 12:39:41 PM »

The last time San Marino scored in a competitive match was 2008

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_San_Marino_national_football_team_results

They have scored a single goal in 4 of 42 competitive games since 2005. Two of those goals were in 2005

2/9 both teams don't score at Bet365 is one of the prices of the year, isn't it?

right price has to be 1/10 or so looking at the history

Absolute belter of a bet, gives us 0-0 as a runner too.

Edit-Obviously don't consider nil nil as much of a runner,just like being given freerolls.

Am now heavily involved in England to win to nil, both teams not to score, England only to score-all pretty much versions of same bet-thankfully allowing me to pile more on.

Still think San Marino@1/100 not to score 3 goals is one of the value bets of all time.

I guess problem is tying up huge percentages off roll so you cant get on lesser, yet still great value spots-where we can make more percentage wise.

Tricky decisions, rooney@9-4 ew really excites me, time to get some troops rallied to get on!!!
« Last Edit: March 22, 2013, 12:50:30 PM by Nico29 » Logged
hector62
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« Reply #34878 on: March 22, 2013, 12:41:09 PM »

Afternoon Mr T.

Warrington v Huddersfield rugby league tonight. Huddersfield did us a favour by smashing Leeds a couple of weeks ago. This is a close game and the weather will help us tonight as Warrington like to play an expansive game and keep the ball alive which with cold hands and tootsies is not easy. Huddersfield have beaten Leeds and St Helens away as well as beating Wigan at home. The 5/2 is too big, it should be more like 7/4.

Suggest £25 Huddersfield to beat Warington @ 5/2 with Boyles, Paddy,Ladbrokes or Coral.

I was going to tip Wakefield to beat Leeds tonight but snow has caused it to be cancelled. It is rearranged for Sunday so back that one as well, if it goes ahead.
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tikay
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« Reply #34879 on: March 22, 2013, 12:44:06 PM »

Recommend £150ew Rooney first goal 9/4 b365.

Lose ~1.8% win bet
Win ~12% each part

Just checked.

Bet365 will allow me £5.39 EW.
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« Reply #34880 on: March 22, 2013, 12:45:05 PM »

They arent gonna like my acca then if you tried

Gotta give action to get action- Trigg said it ages ago, we miss these massive +ev bets by not taking neutral ev punts earlier in thread with same bookmaker
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« Reply #34881 on: March 22, 2013, 12:49:22 PM »

Montenegro -1 on the h/c at 7/4 tonight PP

£25 win

Montenegro a serious team, that I have followed quite a bit in betting terms through this Qual group and the Euro one and a while ago thread had them in a bet at my request

Top of England's group with 10 pts out of 12, 12 goals for, 2 against. Drew away in Poland, beat Ukraine away

Jovetic and Vucinic class players going forward in this team

Moldova 2 goals scored in 4 games

a serious price for a team that has to win these games to stand any chance of pipping England to the group win
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« Reply #34882 on: March 22, 2013, 12:50:49 PM »

If there is a ever a bet Fred should have it is the San Marino under 2.5 goals bet.  Simply a ridiculous price.
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« Reply #34883 on: March 22, 2013, 12:51:28 PM »

Afternoon Mr T.

Warrington v Huddersfield rugby league tonight. Huddersfield did us a favour by smashing Leeds a couple of weeks ago. This is a close game and the weather will help us tonight as Warrington like to play an expansive game and keep the ball alive which with cold hands and tootsies is not easy. Huddersfield have beaten Leeds and St Helens away as well as beating Wigan at home. The 5/2 is too big, it should be more like 7/4.

Suggest £25 Huddersfield to beat Warington @ 5/2 with Boyles, Paddy,Ladbrokes or Coral.

I was going to tip Wakefield to beat Leeds tonight but snow has caused it to be cancelled. It is rearranged for Sunday so back that one as well, if it goes ahead.

I noticed you can get Huddersfield +10 @ Evens with Corals. Surely this is a bet for the nittier types?
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tikay
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« Reply #34884 on: March 22, 2013, 12:56:08 PM »

Afternoon Mr T.

Warrington v Huddersfield rugby league tonight. Huddersfield did us a favour by smashing Leeds a couple of weeks ago. This is a close game and the weather will help us tonight as Warrington like to play an expansive game and keep the ball alive which with cold hands and tootsies is not easy. Huddersfield have beaten Leeds and St Helens away as well as beating Wigan at home. The 5/2 is too big, it should be more like 7/4.

Suggest £25 Huddersfield to beat Warington @ 5/2 with Boyles, Paddy,Ladbrokes or Coral.

I was going to tip Wakefield to beat Leeds tonight but snow has caused it to be cancelled. It is rearranged for Sunday so back that one as well, if it goes ahead.

Thanks hector.

Betfair go 3.7, & though it is not all Matched yet, I have gone with them.  £17.21 matched so far, & at worst, that'll do.

Wakefield v Leeds on Sunday, we can get 3/1 at present. Is that an acceptable price? I really need to do it today if we plan to do it, as I may not have time over the weekend.

For now......

Huddersfield to beat Warrington, £17.21 @ 3.7, with £7.79 @ 3.7 with Betfair waiting to be matched.

ON

Back (Bet For) Odds Stake Profit
Warrington v Huddersfield
Huddersfield GiantsMatch Odds    3.7 £7.79 £21.03
Partially Matched
Ref: 25968517222 Submitted: 12:35 22-Mar-13
At In-Play  Cancel  Keep 
Placed (matched) Order by Matched Date  Back (Bet For) Odds Stake Profit
Warrington v Huddersfield
Huddersfield GiantsMatch Odds    3.7 £17.21 £46.47
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« Reply #34885 on: March 22, 2013, 12:59:10 PM »

Afternoon Mr T.

Warrington v Huddersfield rugby league tonight. Huddersfield did us a favour by smashing Leeds a couple of weeks ago. This is a close game and the weather will help us tonight as Warrington like to play an expansive game and keep the ball alive which with cold hands and tootsies is not easy. Huddersfield have beaten Leeds and St Helens away as well as beating Wigan at home. The 5/2 is too big, it should be more like 7/4.

Suggest £25 Huddersfield to beat Warington @ 5/2 with Boyles, Paddy,Ladbrokes or Coral.

I was going to tip Wakefield to beat Leeds tonight but snow has caused it to be cancelled. It is rearranged for Sunday so back that one as well, if it goes ahead.



would love to Hector, but I have £100,000 tied up in the England game to win £3.76 Grin        #lovingthemadness
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tikay
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« Reply #34886 on: March 22, 2013, 01:05:11 PM »

Afternoon Mr T.

Warrington v Huddersfield rugby league tonight. Huddersfield did us a favour by smashing Leeds a couple of weeks ago. This is a close game and the weather will help us tonight as Warrington like to play an expansive game and keep the ball alive which with cold hands and tootsies is not easy. Huddersfield have beaten Leeds and St Helens away as well as beating Wigan at home. The 5/2 is too big, it should be more like 7/4.

Suggest £25 Huddersfield to beat Warington @ 5/2 with Boyles, Paddy,Ladbrokes or Coral.

I was going to tip Wakefield to beat Leeds tonight but snow has caused it to be cancelled. It is rearranged for Sunday so back that one as well, if it goes ahead.

Thanks hector.

Betfair go 3.7, & though it is not all Matched yet, I have gone with them.  £17.21 matched so far, & at worst, that'll do.

Wakefield v Leeds on Sunday, we can get 3/1 at present. Is that an acceptable price? I really need to do it today if we plan to do it, as I may not have time over the weekend.

For now......

Huddersfield to beat Warrington, £17.21 @ 3.7, with £7.79 @ 3.7 with Betfair waiting to be matched.

ON

Back (Bet For) Odds Stake Profit
Warrington v Huddersfield
Huddersfield GiantsMatch Odds    3.7 £7.79 £21.03
Partially Matched
Ref: 25968517222 Submitted: 12:35 22-Mar-13
At In-Play  Cancel  Keep 
Placed (matched) Order by Matched Date  Back (Bet For) Odds Stake Profit
Warrington v Huddersfield
Huddersfield GiantsMatch Odds    3.7 £17.21 £46.47


Now ALL MATCHED, £25 @ 3.7.

ON
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hector62
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« Reply #34887 on: March 22, 2013, 01:06:39 PM »

I make Wakefield no bigger than 2-1 shots so 3-1 is good.
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tikay
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« Reply #34888 on: March 22, 2013, 01:14:42 PM »

Montenegro -1 on the h/c at 7/4 tonight PP

£25 win

Montenegro a serious team, that I have followed quite a bit in betting terms through this Qual group and the Euro one and a while ago thread had them in a bet at my request

Top of England's group with 10 pts out of 12, 12 goals for, 2 against. Drew away in Poland, beat Ukraine away

Jovetic and Vucinic class players going forward in this team

Moldova 2 goals scored in 4 games

a serious price for a team that has to win these games to stand any chance of pipping England to the group win

Thanks Rich. We can do slightly better at Paddy Power, but they restricted me to £22.63, so for simplicity stake, we had £20.

We have £20 @ 9/5, Paddy Power, Montenegro (-1) over Moldova.

ON

World Cup Qualifiers Moldova v Montenegro
22-03-2013 19:30
Handicap Betting
Montenegro (-1.0) @ 9/5
 
Your Bets Win
Single: Montenegro (-1.0) @ 9/5
1 line at £20.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £20.00
Potential returns: £56.00
No: O/23146337/0000277

 
Total stake: £20.00
Free bets voucher: £0.00
Total Cost: £20.00
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tikay
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« Reply #34889 on: March 22, 2013, 01:18:26 PM »

I make Wakefield no bigger than 2-1 shots so 3-1 is good.

Done.

We have £25 @ 3/1, BetVictor, Wakefield to beat Leeds, Sunday.

ON

You have successfully placed 1 bet(s)
Total possible returns 100.00
Bet Receipt
Single Selections
Wakefield v Leeds
Wakefield
(To Win Match)
Odds:  3/1
Stake:  25.00
Possible Return:  100.00
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