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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16424042 times)
Tal
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« Reply #36420 on: April 04, 2013, 11:13:37 AM »

Where are Channing and Shallow at today?

Some incred each way action at Aintree today.

Perhaps they've both passed out with excitement.

Even I spotted the Silvanaco/First Lieutenant and the New One/Grandouet races as great e/w heats

I fear the worst for tikay's blood pressure come about midday, I must admit

If Geraghty is Henderson's number one why has he picked Tanks for that in the 16.15 and not Kid Cassidy?

I noticed this. Assumed it's owner's choice and/or AP had ridden him before?

Otherwise, choosing the 20/1 shot is odd.
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tikay
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« Reply #36421 on: April 04, 2013, 11:13:56 AM »

Henderson and Geraghty both think Grandouet (3.05) will stay 2m4f.

I strongly disagree. There's not many horses that race as keenly as he does over 2m that get the extra half-mile. He's too much of a fizzbomb imo.

He's place layable at around 1.97, so recommend £50 lay @ that price on Betty.

If you're around while the race is on, stick up another £100 @ 1.3 IR.

This'll test your Betty skills.



That is a very firmly stated opinion, but lol @ me getting this properly on.

Hope you come through for us Chomps, we could use a boost.

I have done the first PLACE LAY, & will monitor be on Betty during the race for the 1.3 thing. Jeez, scary stuff!

We have PLACE LAID Grandouet, 3.05 Aintree, £50 @ 1.97, Betfair.

ON

GB / Aint 4th Apr / 15:05 To Be Placed  Grandouet Lay 26226401534 04-Apr-13
10:54  C 1.97 49.63
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TightEnd
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« Reply #36422 on: April 04, 2013, 11:15:51 AM »

Where are Channing and Shallow at today?

Some incred each way action at Aintree today.

Perhaps they've both passed out with excitement.

Even I spotted the Silvanaco/First Lieutenant and the New One/Grandouet races as great e/w heats

I fear the worst for tikay's blood pressure come about midday, I must admit

Bet 365 1/4 odds a place all races at Aintree.

Done a couple thanks

Find the New One, Grandouet, Zarkandar race very tough

any views on an e/w option in that?

Zarkander and Countrywide Flame seem obvious.  I think First Lieutenant in the 2.30 is a must too.  All best prices and quarter the odds first 3 at bet365 (sorry tikay)

Problem was, I had Oscar Whiskey in the first 3 too

So that makes five horses I saw in the first three, and counting.....
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TheChipPrince
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« Reply #36423 on: April 04, 2013, 11:16:14 AM »

Just seen that Macclesfield have sacked their manager. Currently 8th in Conf, 12 points behind play offs.

Whoops. I think. Or maybe un-whoops, & it was what we needed.

yeah bet is dead, but most 50-80/1 do die  Cheesy

Havent won in 4 since bet was placed, needed 3 wins from them, at time though bet was value
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« Reply #36424 on: April 04, 2013, 11:16:35 AM »

Where are Channing and Shallow at today?

Some incred each way action at Aintree today.

Perhaps they've both passed out with excitement.

Even I spotted the Silvanaco/First Lieutenant and the New One/Grandouet races as great e/w heats

I fear the worst for tikay's blood pressure come about midday, I must admit

If Geraghty is Henderson's number one why has he picked Tanks for that in the 16.15 and not Kid Cassidy?

I noticed this. Assumed it's owner's choice and/or AP had ridden him before?

Otherwise, choosing the 20/1 shot is odd.

Kid Cassidy is a JP horse

AP contracted to ride JPs nags
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tikay
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« Reply #36425 on: April 04, 2013, 11:16:38 AM »

Prophete de Guye 2.45 at Taunton.  £25 e/w at 8/1.  Only 4 horses in the race, and you get a fifth the first 3.   I could probably have put all 4 up.

I went with corals, boylesports refused me.  

It is a thin market omn betfair, but you are beating betfair on the win part and beating it by a margin on the place part.



Done, thanks!

We have £25 EW @ 8/1, Corals, Prophete de Guye, 2.45 Taunton

ON


SingleID:O/1597594/0000058Prophete De Guye8/12:45 Taunton - 04/04/2013Each Way
Stake £50.00
Estimated Return:£290.00
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tikay
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« Reply #36426 on: April 04, 2013, 11:19:22 AM »

Where are Channing and Shallow at today?

Some incred each way action at Aintree today.

Perhaps they've both passed out with excitement.

Even I spotted the Silvanaco/First Lieutenant and the New One/Grandouet races as great e/w heats

I fear the worst for tikay's blood pressure come about midday, I must admit

Bet 365 1/4 odds a place all races at Aintree.

Done a couple thanks

Find the New One, Grandouet, Zarkandar race very tough

any views on an e/w option in that?

Zarkander and Countrywide Flame seem obvious.  I think First Lieutenant in the 2.30 is a must too.  All best prices and quarter the odds first 3 at bet365 (sorry tikay)

No worries, especially if others can get on, I don't mind sitting out for an orbit. It'll give me time to draw breath & prepare for my first In-Running Place Lay thingie. There'll be computers, lappies, i-Pads everywhere. And fat fingers. 
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bobby1
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« Reply #36427 on: April 04, 2013, 11:19:46 AM »

Henderson and Geraghty both think Grandouet (3.05) will stay 2m4f.

I strongly disagree. There's not many horses that race as keenly as he does over 2m that get the extra half-mile. He's too much of a fizzbomb imo.

He's place layable at around 1.97, so recommend £50 lay @ that price on Betty.

If you're around while the race is on, stick up another £100 @ 1.3 IR.

This'll test your Betty skills.

French breds have a terrible win record in this race.( 1 from 28)

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« Reply #36428 on: April 04, 2013, 11:20:18 AM »

Where are Channing and Shallow at today?

Some incred each way action at Aintree today.

Perhaps they've both passed out with excitement.

Even I spotted the Silvanaco/First Lieutenant and the New One/Grandouet races as great e/w heats

I fear the worst for tikay's blood pressure come about midday, I must admit

Bet 365 1/4 odds a place all races at Aintree.

Done a couple thanks

Find the New One, Grandouet, Zarkandar race very tough

any views on an e/w option in that?

Zarkander and Countrywide Flame seem obvious.  I think First Lieutenant in the 2.30 is a must too.  All best prices and quarter the odds first 3 at bet365 (sorry tikay)

Problem was, I had Oscar Whiskey in the first 3 too

So that makes five horses I saw in the first three, and counting.....

I think you can back my two and Oscar Whisky.  You beat betfair on two of them and get the great place terms too.  What is there not to like?
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #36429 on: April 04, 2013, 11:20:27 AM »

The 2.30 looks a great each way play race with b365, so Fred cant get on. So dont mind putting it up, without the pressure of Tikay passing out Smiley

S Conti appears priced up as tho he finished a really good second in the Gold Cup when the reality is he fell 3 out, which is so so far out at Cheltenham.

Just looks a horse you have to take on at the prices.

Doesnt really matter who you pick to back ew @1/4 top3 from the next 5 in betting as b365 are best price all of them, and even matching betfair price on First Lietenant, QDLR and Giant Bolster, so you should probably be betting all of these ew with b365
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« Reply #36430 on: April 04, 2013, 11:24:33 AM »

Where are Channing and Shallow at today?

Some incred each way action at Aintree today.

Perhaps they've both passed out with excitement.

Even I spotted the Silvanaco/First Lieutenant and the New One/Grandouet races as great e/w heats

I fear the worst for tikay's blood pressure come about midday, I must admit

Bet 365 1/4 odds a place all races at Aintree.

Done a couple thanks

Find the New One, Grandouet, Zarkandar race very tough

any views on an e/w option in that?

Zarkander and Countrywide Flame seem obvious.  I think First Lieutenant in the 2.30 is a must too.  All best prices and quarter the odds first 3 at bet365 (sorry tikay)

No worries, especially if others can get on, I don't mind sitting out for an orbit. It'll give me time to draw breath & prepare for my first In-Running Place Lay thingie. There'll be computers, lappies, i-Pads everywhere. And fat fingers. 

I am not sure I understood chompy.  Surely you can just put the place lay up at 1.3 and say you want it left in running?  Surely far less likely to go wrong if you just do that?
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« Reply #36431 on: April 04, 2013, 11:25:40 AM »

I backed Wayward Prince each way in that race on Tuesday, runs better here, ground right, needs to find a lot on the book but was beaten by 10+ by the fav earlier in the year and beat QDLR when needed to find a lot on the book that day here earlier in the year. I've seen worse each way bets than this even tho it is a little shorter now.
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« Reply #36432 on: April 04, 2013, 11:26:37 AM »

Where are Channing and Shallow at today?

Some incred each way action at Aintree today.

Perhaps they've both passed out with excitement.

Even I spotted the Silvanaco/First Lieutenant and the New One/Grandouet races as great e/w heats

I fear the worst for tikay's blood pressure come about midday, I must admit

Bet 365 1/4 odds a place all races at Aintree.

Done a couple thanks

Find the New One, Grandouet, Zarkandar race very tough

any views on an e/w option in that?

Zarkander and Countrywide Flame seem obvious.  I think First Lieutenant in the 2.30 is a must too.  All best prices and quarter the odds first 3 at bet365 (sorry tikay)

No worries, especially if others can get on, I don't mind sitting out for an orbit. It'll give me time to draw breath & prepare for my first In-Running Place Lay thingie. There'll be computers, lappies, i-Pads everywhere. And fat fingers. 

I am not sure I understood chompy.  Surely you can just put the place lay up at 1.3 and say you want it left in running?  Surely far less likely to go wrong if you just do that?

If you & Chomps tell me the best strategy, I'll do it. Use short words please.
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« Reply #36433 on: April 04, 2013, 11:26:47 AM »

go to the place book Tony and put your lay in then tick keep and the bet will stay live when they are off.
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Tal
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« Reply #36434 on: April 04, 2013, 11:27:06 AM »

Where are Channing and Shallow at today?

Some incred each way action at Aintree today.

Perhaps they've both passed out with excitement.

Even I spotted the Silvanaco/First Lieutenant and the New One/Grandouet races as great e/w heats

I fear the worst for tikay's blood pressure come about midday, I must admit

If Geraghty is Henderson's number one why has he picked Tanks for that in the 16.15 and not Kid Cassidy?

I noticed this. Assumed it's owner's choice and/or AP had ridden him before?

Otherwise, choosing the 20/1 shot is odd.

Kid Cassidy is a JP horse

AP contracted to ride JPs nags

I'm taking that to be I was right.

Chalking that up in the win column.
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