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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16372378 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #37320 on: April 12, 2013, 11:34:11 AM »

The market looks priced fine to me, Dortmund arguably a touch underrated but can't see how Munich at 13/5 is some sort of rick. And they aren't really third in, they are basically the same price as Madrid, so joint 2nd favs, which once again looks fine, unless I'm missing something??

No not missing anything I was just asking for opinions

I thought 13-5 was high, and think they are probably the best team left.

Avoid Barca and 13-5 is a good price I think

If you think they should be sub 2-1 then you should be recommending Tikay have half of Kelly so 5% or £250 or so

I know.

Paddy Power go 11/4 but I am just told

11/4 Bayern? Yes please


in before tikay. Go Away?
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tikay
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« Reply #37321 on: April 12, 2013, 11:35:36 AM »


FFS, Bankroll terrorist itt.
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« Reply #37322 on: April 12, 2013, 11:36:11 AM »

I'd be astonished if a team chances of winning the Champions league when in the semi final were mispriced by more than 2-3% either way. So would be super astonished if Munich chances were underrepresented by 7-13% as u both suggested. Especially given the teams left, seems a really easy market for odds compilers to price up.

I was using 11/4 on the Kelly calculator btw and using 11/4 in %s above
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tikay
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« Reply #37323 on: April 12, 2013, 11:36:51 AM »

I'd be astonished if a team chances of winning the Champions league when in the semi final were mispriced by more than 2-3% either way. So would be super astonished if Munich chances were underrepresented by 7-13% as u both suggested. Especially given the teams left, seems a really easy market for odds compilers to price up.

I was using 11/4 on the Kelly calculator btw and using 11/4 in %s above

Better.

£1 ew Max.
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« Reply #37324 on: April 12, 2013, 11:36:56 AM »

looks about right to me

i still have a slight doubt about bayern in the real big games when the pressure is on

i also cant believe that a market as liquid as this is now can be wrong by such a big percentage
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« Reply #37325 on: April 12, 2013, 11:39:08 AM »

fair points obv, we know nothing the odds compilers don't, and very liquid market
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« Reply #37326 on: April 12, 2013, 11:43:35 AM »

Bayern v Barca

Ooooohhh.
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« Reply #37327 on: April 12, 2013, 11:44:28 AM »

Bayern v Barca

Ooooohhh.

Ha!

NOW price it up........
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« Reply #37328 on: April 12, 2013, 11:46:00 AM »

Real Madrid 6/4
Barca 2/1
Bayern 11/4
Dortmund 3/1

:-)

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« Reply #37329 on: April 12, 2013, 11:48:52 AM »

At least Dick Turpin wore a mask. Might as well bring back the 9% tax on top of that book Smiley
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« Reply #37330 on: April 12, 2013, 11:59:28 AM »

Real Madrid 6/4
Barca 2/1
Bayern 11/4
Dortmund 3/1

:-)


125% in a four-horse race? Are you Mel Cullinan in disguise?
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« Reply #37331 on: April 12, 2013, 12:00:40 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/champions-league/champions-league/winner

Broadly, 2/1 the top two, 11/4 Bayern, 6/1 Dortmund.
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« Reply #37332 on: April 12, 2013, 12:02:26 PM »

Its 3.2 eo2 4.0 8.0
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« Reply #37333 on: April 12, 2013, 12:03:49 PM »

Mr T.

In the IPL today Delhi Dare Devils play Sunrisers Hyderabad. Delhi are yet to win a game and there are doubts about whether Sehwag will be fit for today. Hyderabad are a new franchise and have won 2 of their 3 games and look solid but not spectacular but do have Dale Steyn leading the bowling attack. Delhi are priced as favourites at 1-2 and the 13/8 we can get for Hyderabad is too high. I think what we have here is the IPL equivalent of the  Liverpool affect.

Hectors betting criteria suggests a cup cake on Sunrisers Hyderabad.

Suggest £20 Sunrisers @ 13/8 with Betfred.
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« Reply #37334 on: April 12, 2013, 12:08:48 PM »

Mr T.

In the IPL today Delhi Dare Devils play Sunrisers Hyderabad. Delhi are yet to win a game and there are doubts about whether Sehwag will be fit for today. Hyderabad are a new franchise and have won 2 of their 3 games and look solid but not spectacular but do have Dale Steyn leading the bowling attack. Delhi are priced as favourites at 1-2 and the 13/8 we can get for Hyderabad is too high. I think what we have here is the IPL equivalent of the  Liverpool affect.

Hectors betting criteria suggests a cup cake on Sunrisers Hyderabad.

Suggest £20 Sunrisers @ 13/8 with Betfred.

Superb!

We have One Cupcake on the Sunrisers Hydrebad.

£20 @ 13/8, Betfred, Sunrisers Hydrebad to beat Delhi Daredevils.

ON

Market Selection Price Hcp
Delhi Daredevils v Sunrisers Hyderabad
Match Prices
 Sunrisers Hyderabad 13/8 
Total stake £ 20.00
Estimated return £ 52.50

Full stake £ 20.00
Full estimated return £ 52.50
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