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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16427353 times)
Marky147
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« Reply #39375 on: April 27, 2013, 10:14:56 PM »

Anything else you like? I also tipped up Bisping decision and Davis decision but Nelson is my main bet.

Make you right on both of those, Bisping might be taking home a new car too if the bet is on Cheesy
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Marky147
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« Reply #39376 on: April 27, 2013, 10:30:38 PM »

Haralabos Voulgaris ‏@haralabob 55s

Free NBA playoff play for the followers i bet the LAC@MEM G total over 177

this guy is basketball god, bet it blind imo £55

Got there a bit too late, and the in running line was already up to 190 Grin
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BigAdz
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« Reply #39377 on: April 27, 2013, 11:03:05 PM »

Tal

I think you should take my line mate and just observe from the wings. Chuck in the odd comment/piss take, but leave the recommends to the pros.
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Marky147
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« Reply #39378 on: April 28, 2013, 04:43:49 AM »

We got really unlucky there Scotty, another 10 seconds in the 1st round and Miller gets the stoppage Sad

Roy Nelson might just be my favourite MMA fighter of all time though, and thanks to Paddy Power for not restricting me on UFC!
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« Reply #39379 on: April 28, 2013, 08:03:08 AM »

Recommend £150 or more if u want  Arsenal to beat Man U @6/4 boyles, Betfred

We will be laying this back nearer the time once either market overreacts to the the fact United (most likely) will have already won the league and its a must win for Arsenal. Expecting silly short prices on Arsenal if Utd win tonight ie sub 2.2

They are already 2.42/2.44 on bf and market will only go one way if Utd win as it always overestimates the "nothing to play for" factor. If the market goes the other way if they don't win tonight we will also trade out for a loss if need be.

Bump, currently 2.26/2.28
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #39380 on: April 28, 2013, 09:28:12 AM »

Recommend £150 or more if u want  Arsenal to beat Man U @6/4 boyles, Betfred

We will be laying this back nearer the time once either market overreacts to the the fact United (most likely) will have already won the league and its a must win for Arsenal. Expecting silly short prices on Arsenal if Utd win tonight ie sub 2.2

They are already 2.42/2.44 on bf and market will only go one way if Utd win as it always overestimates the "nothing to play for" factor. If the market goes the other way if they don't win tonight we will also trade out for a loss if need be.

Bump, currently 2.26/2.28

Ooh, thanks for the reminder.
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tikay
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« Reply #39381 on: April 28, 2013, 09:35:14 AM »

Recommend £150 or more if u want  Arsenal to beat Man U @6/4 boyles, Betfred

We will be laying this back nearer the time
once either market overreacts to the the fact United (most likely) will have already won the league and its a must win for Arsenal. Expecting silly short prices on Arsenal if Utd win tonight ie sub 2.2

They are already 2.42/2.44 on bf and market will only go one way if Utd win as it always overestimates the "nothing to play for" factor. If the market goes the other way if they don't win tonight we will also trade out for a loss if need be.

Morning.

Should we now lay this off? Think that was the original plan.

As of right now (0915).....Arsenal are 2.12 to back, 2.14 to lay.

So that seems a good locked in profit if we lay, as originally planned.

Shall I do it, yes, no?

Our bet is £150 @ 6/4, BetFred.

Must say, what a great spot this was. Perfectly anticipated.

Congrats to Eso Kral for at last finding us a winner.
« Last Edit: April 28, 2013, 09:39:21 AM by tikay » Logged

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tikay
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« Reply #39382 on: April 28, 2013, 09:36:20 AM »


Official Correction

Apologies, it was Dubai that gave us the Arsenal coup, not Eso Kral.
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tikay
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« Reply #39383 on: April 28, 2013, 09:48:17 AM »


In the two UFC bets that Scotty gave us, which took place overnight, we scored 1-1.


The speculative "Miller 1st round", £10 @ 6/1, looked home, but then went wrong & he ended up beaten in the 3rd.

Nelson (£20 @ 23/10) got home in grand style though for a nice profit on the two combined.
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tikay
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« Reply #39384 on: April 28, 2013, 09:51:15 AM »


Premier League Relegation

We have QPR @ 8/5.

Bookies are no longer quoting QPR.

This, Camel & Andrew excepted, we like.
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« Reply #39385 on: April 28, 2013, 10:03:12 AM »


Championship Promotion.


We have a thumping £300 @ 9/2 for Brighton to be promoted, the original plan being to lay around half off, I believe.

Brighton are currently 5/2 to be promoted, 11/4 in a few spots.

On Betfair, they are 3.8 to be Promoted, 3.85 to lay.

Time to execute the plan?
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« Reply #39386 on: April 28, 2013, 10:12:07 AM »

I would hold fire on the Brighton lay for now. They have the potential to get a bit shorter and it's unlikely they'll get any bigger imo.

If Hull get knocked out of second and Palace continue to struggle their way into the top six - they still have two games left - Brighton could go sub 3.5.

For these bets-to-trade, you defo want to be getting more on. With Arsenal for example, if you'd had £1000 @ 6/4, you'd now be able to lay it all back for a pleasing freebie.

Or, you could lay back £800 @ 2.14, effectively leaving yourself £200 @ just under 3/1.
« Last Edit: April 28, 2013, 10:17:53 AM by Chompy » Logged

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tikay
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« Reply #39387 on: April 28, 2013, 10:16:06 AM »

I would hold fire on the Brighton lay for now. They have the potential to get a bit shorter and it's unlikely they'll get any bigger imo.

If Hull get knocked out of second and Palace continue to struggle their way into the top six - they still have two games left - Brighton could go sub 3.5.

Thanks Chompy.

We need to hear Camel's view of course, but yes, even if they do drift a bit, we can still get out with a tidy profit, & there is just as much chance the price will tighten.

I just don't want to forget to execute the Lay, which was the plan all along for half of the bet. The profit sitting there also tempts me somewhat, I confess......
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tikay
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« Reply #39388 on: April 28, 2013, 10:17:58 AM »


Daily Report @ 1120, Sunday April 28th   

LOSS on Month = £1,366.39

Outstanding bets £1,821.50



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=23

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« Reply #39389 on: April 28, 2013, 10:18:48 AM »

Brighton wolves, isn't it, last game.

Biggie for fred
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