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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16426917 times)
Tal
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« Reply #39405 on: April 28, 2013, 11:48:02 AM »

Silly question: "reverse our position" means lay for more than £150, so we have an active lay of Ar5ena1?

Yes.  The whole idea is that Arsenal were bound to start too short.  Now they look too short so we should lay.

Right ho. Thanks
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Dubai
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« Reply #39406 on: April 28, 2013, 11:52:05 AM »

Lay £175@2.14

If someone else wants to lay further then that's fine. I got no idea of Utd team news and maybe market does, plus I backed Spurs yesterday and got punished for my sins by a dreadful performance so not sinning on the day of the sabbath
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« Reply #39407 on: April 28, 2013, 12:49:17 PM »

2.08 now. Think i said few days ago they would start 2.1 or 2.34 not inbetween
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tikay
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« Reply #39408 on: April 28, 2013, 12:53:20 PM »

2.08 now. Think i said few days ago they would start 2.1 or 2.34 not inbetween

You said exactly that, though not on the Sabbath.
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tikay
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« Reply #39409 on: April 28, 2013, 12:55:09 PM »

Lay £175@2.14

If someone else wants to lay further then that's fine. I got no idea of Utd team news and maybe market does, plus I backed Spurs yesterday and got punished for my sins by a dreadful performance so not sinning on the day of the sabbath

Done! (2.1).


Errors & Misclicks excepted, very nice.

ON


LAY Arsenal, £175 @ 2.1, Betfair

ON
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« Reply #39410 on: April 28, 2013, 12:58:51 PM »

I can totally understand why people would want to Fred to reverse position and lay Arsenal. But Im not being the one to book it

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tikay
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« Reply #39411 on: April 28, 2013, 01:18:46 PM »

I can totally understand why people would want to Fred to reverse position and lay Arsenal. But Im not being the one to book it



I'm so gonna make a fool of myself now, but I thought that was the whole idea? Or am I misunderstanding the terminology?
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« Reply #39412 on: April 28, 2013, 01:21:46 PM »

We have closed our position. Reversing it would be laying Arsenal so they became a loss for us, ie laying £250@2.1
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tikay
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« Reply #39413 on: April 28, 2013, 01:26:02 PM »

We have closed our position. Reversing it would be laying Arsenal so they became a loss for us, ie laying £250@2.1

Oh I see, ta.

Don't wanna do that, am happy with where we are.
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« Reply #39414 on: April 28, 2013, 01:27:36 PM »

Basically you had 3 main options. Let the 6/4 ride which is fine, lay Arsenal and reverse the position which I can also see is fine or close out the position for profit either way. All 3 options are fine IMO and you have the lowest variance one.

6/4 probably too big, 11/10 probably too low. You've backed when was value and laid when it wasn't.

If you thought arsenal should be 23/20 when taking the 6/4 you might have £150@6/4 and only lay £90@2.1 as clearly in your opinion the 6/4 back was better value the the 11/10 lay when you make them 23/20
« Last Edit: April 28, 2013, 01:29:11 PM by Dubai » Logged
tikay
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« Reply #39415 on: April 28, 2013, 01:30:10 PM »


I am a nit.
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« Reply #39416 on: April 28, 2013, 01:31:47 PM »

Basically you had 3 main options. Let the 6/4 ride which is fine, lay Arsenal and reverse the position which I can also see is fine or close out the position for profit either way. All 3 options are fine IMO and you have the lowest variance one.

6/4 probably too big, 11/10 probably too low. You've backed when was value and laid when it wasn't.

If you thought arsenal should be 23/20 when taking the 6/4 you might have £150@6/4 and only lay £90@2.1 as clearly in your opinion the 6/4 back was better value the the 11/10 lay when you make them 23/20

This feels right but I can understand. Fantastic spot Dubai.
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Dubai
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« Reply #39417 on: April 28, 2013, 01:32:25 PM »

Bear in mind it's more likely the 6/4 was a wrong price than the current one so once you've done the hard work and taken the early price and read the market right, then it's pretty hard to do much wrong after anyway
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« Reply #39418 on: April 28, 2013, 02:08:19 PM »

Corals are 6/5 Arsenal in Shops
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« Reply #39419 on: April 28, 2013, 02:11:44 PM »

If only Blatch were here to tell exactly the right thing to do.
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