Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

17 runners, 7/1 the field? What price two nons horsey? Evens at best with me. Butter go 17/2. Prefer win only tbh.

think you are right

even thought i typed 17 i was thinking 19

revert to £30 win bmu price fine imo if paddy no good

[tikay]

17 runners, 7/1 the field? What price two nons horsey? Evens at best with me. Butter go 17/2. Prefer win only tbh.

think you are right

even thought i typed 17 i was thinking 19

revert to £30 win bmu price fine imo if paddy no good

I just tried to get on with PP, & took the MAX they permitted, £4 EW.

I'll now revert to BMU, & stick £25 WIN on.

[tikay]

4.30 notts tommorow FANTASY GLADIATOR Paddy are 8/1 to big

suggest £30 each eway nice each way race with the 17 runners and 4 places

Reasoning (brief)

Did best of those held up last time at Kempton on a meeting were very little made up any ground

John Quinn in excellent form after a quietish season

Conditions fine

Personally make him a 11/2-6/1 shot

Thanks horsey.

Based on the exchanges above, £4 EW with PP @ 8/1, & £25 WIN with BMU @ 17/2. Will do the paperwork later, or in the morning.

BETS PLACED

[bobby1]

Just an update on our NFL passing yards bets Tony.

It isn't quite going to plan tho all three of our guys are currently in the top 5.

Peyton Manning is putting up tremendous numbers and leads comfortably at the moment, we have a big game coming this week tho as part of the reasoning we don't have him was the Denver schedule was pretty soft and they wouldn't have to put up big numbers in some of the games. This weekend they are over 26 point favs so if it goes badly for us he might put up a lot of yards but there is a chance he puts up 200 odd yards into the 3rd quarter and is resting up for the rest of the game if Denver are winning comfortably.

Our guys are going ok, Brees is in 2nd and passing a lot tho the Saints D is looking solid so not so many total shootouts. Matt Ryan is in third but it is very much duck on water for him at the mo as the stats are ok but he has lost a top class wr to injuries he just cannot shake off. The pass catching RB that we hoped made a big difference is out injured and will probably remain out for a few more games. They are losing games which is the one good thing for us as he is having to force it a little at the mo.

Edit, he looks like being without both his top wr, one of them possibly for the season after injury in last nights game.

We got unlucky and the ran well late on with Stafford last week as his top wr missed the game which was a big blow, tho Stafford managed a respectable total it was mainly in garbage time. Still it saved us from a v bad week.

The good news is that we still have the fact our guys will be playing home games in domes when the weather gets tricky later in the year which 5 of the current top 9 won't be doing. Romo will be a danger to us too

One thing to note too is Green Bay have already had their bye week so Aaron Rodgers has played one game less than our guys so he is a 300 yards game away from a top 4 spot in the list.

Current numbers are here.Cheers

[Ant040689]

Any love for my bet Tikay? Not even sure you have seen it?

[tikay]

Any love for my bet Tikay? Not even sure you have seen it?

There has been zero feedback from anyone, Ant, & I've been a bit busy today.

I'll bump it now, & see if anyone comments.

I can't really back regular football stuff without some help from the lads, every time I do I get it all wrong!

My question would have been - "why is this value, beyond what the bookies think"? The price needs to be around 15% wrong to make it a bet.

Anyway, let us see what they say, but thanks anyway.

[tikay]

Port Vale to beat Rochdale in the Football League Trophy at evens - http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/football-league-trophy/port-vale-v-rochdale/winner

Vale are a league above Rochdale. Vale have scored in all of their last 13 home games, Rochdale have only won 1 away game in 7 against the worst side in the football league Accrington Stanley and they failed to score in 5 of those seven games.

When Port Vale played in the first round against Bury they maintained 10 of the 11 starters for their next league match, which shows how seriously they take the competition while Rochdale had a bye into the second round, so we cannot see if they are going to be maintaining most of their 11 under Keith Hill.

Apparently under a rule you cannot make more than 5 changes from your last league game which made the Swindon boss upset here http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/24444395 Perhaps Keith Hill is thinking along the same lines as his team are delicately poised just outside the playoffs.

Think it is a decent bet and suggest whatever you are comfortable with putting on for it. £30 maybe?

BUMPED.

Any views anyone, please?

[bobby1]

bet it.

[Ant040689]

Looks like a good fade, Vale are down 0-1 into the 60th minute.

[Chompy]

Poshies never out of second gear to beat the Bees tbh

Now around 4/1 for silverware. Valoooooo!

[Snowball]

Darts
B365 ool with Connie Finnan 180s.
11/10 over 1.5, suggest you take whatever they give you, I wouldn't go any lower than 10/11

[redarmi]

Poshies never out of second gear to beat the Bees tbh

Now around 4/1 for silverware. Valoooooo!

Given your initial comments and the fact Wolves are now out do you think the 4-1 would represent value?

[horseplayer]

Coral seem a bit slow reacting to the Cardiff news

Mackay still 20/1 with them for next to go for those who havent heard

http://www.walesonline.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/cardiff-city-boss-malky-mackays-6158805#.UlR-bmt4mbE.twitter

Notes on above :

Iain Moody suspended by madcap owner Vincent Tan

Moody by Mackays own admission responsible for majority of his signings both at watford and at cardiff

"Among the City stars Moody was responsible for bringing to the club have been England international Steven Caulker, Chilean midfield warrior Gary Medel, French right-back Kevin Theophile-Catherine and £8million Dane Andreas Cornelius. He also helped Mackay snap up the likes of Fraizer Campbell, Jordon Mutch and Kim Bo-Kyung."

23-year-old Kazakhstani  Alisher Apsalyamov has taken over (been shadowing Moody for a few weeks) according to his own profile on social media has no football background whatsoever

I find it hard to believe Mackay will walk from a premiership job but this ontop of the continuing non payment of promised bonuses to players from last season it is starting to indicate Tan might want him gone anyway.

Have had a very small bet at 20/1

[tikay]

Darts
B365 ool with Connie Finnan 180s.
11/10 over 1.5, suggest you take whatever they give you, I wouldn't go any lower than 10/11

They would not give me much.........but we took that.

Thanks Snowy. If this comes in, I'll be rich beyond my wildest dreams.

Details in the morning.

BET PLACED

[horseplayer]

think the 20/1 went literally as i got the post up