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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16465998 times)
Ant040689
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« Reply #65775 on: January 18, 2014, 12:55:32 PM »



I love the passion from Mido there, shame about the crassness. Smiley
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horseplayer
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« Reply #65776 on: January 18, 2014, 12:57:02 PM »

plus it does not actually make any sense
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BigAdz
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« Reply #65777 on: January 18, 2014, 01:03:16 PM »

Horsey, how many people do you actually follow on twitter?!

Your house must echo to the sound of constant pinging!!!
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
Ant040689
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« Reply #65778 on: January 18, 2014, 01:06:07 PM »

plus it does not actually make any sense

The intent was there. If he had a better grasp of the language he could have linked in the types of chicken he could get from KFC, with his future endeavours with this person's mum. Now I am just as bad.
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« Reply #65779 on: January 18, 2014, 01:20:06 PM »

Apologies in advance for the crassness of language but I believe the optimum line would have been...

"Incorrect. I can also be found in your mum's box. Often with greasy KFC coated fingers".

Apologies again.
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Allez!!
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« Reply #65780 on: January 18, 2014, 01:26:35 PM »

When I got up at around 3am on old man duties Mr Karlberg was a shot clear. I awake to find he is in 5th, 3 shots back going into the last round.

In with a shout!!

Yes, pretty sick - managed to birdie 17, 18 would have been good. Shows how wrong it was that still 12/1 to 16/1 with worse place terms.

The odds compiler did literally fall asleep yesterday lolol when our man birdied last two

Time to run good now
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sonour
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« Reply #65781 on: January 18, 2014, 01:27:06 PM »

The NFL Conference games are tomorrow night

in a rarity, the four pre-season favourites have made the last four and two corking games await, albeit likely to be different in style

I wouldn't claim there are any inefficiencies in Seattle -3.5 Denver -5.5, and am reluctant to put any sub markets up formally (Overs Moreno rushing yards and Overs Kaepernick rushing yards if you want them)

In Seattle two top notch defenses meet in a huge rivalry with the 49ers. I really like the 49ers to pull off the upset at 6/4. Hot at the right time, Kaepernick has his weapons back to make the offense more threatening and just quietly, Wilson and the Seahawks have been struggling on offense. They haven’t scored more than 27 points in any of their last five games. During that time, Russell Wilson has surpassed the 200-yard mark just once

In Denver its Manning v Brady again. This line has fluctuated wildly all week from -6.5 to -4 and back most of the way again. Unusally the public want the dog here, and went for the Patriots at +6.5. Anything can happen, and going against Brady and Belicheck isn't normally a route to the bank but this is a very different Patriots team. No real top class receiving options and a smash mouth running team

Denver has one of the best offenses seen for a long time, lots of running back options, plenty of receivers and of course Manning. Moreno at RB could have a massive game again, as shorn of Wilfork at Nose Tackle teams run on the Patriots, once they do, and the defense has to counter, Manning will fillet that defense in any one of 5 or 6 different ways

I like Denver and the 49ers here

Denver game points forecast to be 55, Seattle game points one of the all time low quotes at 39 - The Seahawks limit opposition to 14.4 points per game and the 49ers to 17.0 points per outing.






49ers now 2.68 with Bet365
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sonour
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« Reply #65782 on: January 18, 2014, 01:33:36 PM »

Afternoon Mr T.

I am blaming the BBC's weather page for the dismal tip yesterday. However today there is a decent bet to be had in the Heineken cup. We have Toulon having to go to Scotland to play Glasgow. Toulon have already qualified and should be playing to get a home fixture in the next phase. However at long odds on they are not to be trusted to perform in the cold and wet. This is from the BBC website

The home club say that extra work had been done on the surface following a couple of recent postponements because of a waterlogged pitch.
"A review of the pitch took place this afternoon and it was deemed playable," they stated.
Glasgow must win to have a slim chance of qualifying for the Amlin Cup.


Ideal for opposing the CESMs.

Suggest £20 on Glasgow @ 13/5 with Betvictor

Thank you Hector. Now 4.2 on Betfair.
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Ant040689
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« Reply #65783 on: January 18, 2014, 01:36:44 PM »

Apologies in advance for the crassness of language but I believe the optimum line would have been...

"Incorrect. I can also be found in your mum's box. Often with greasy KFC coated fingers".

Apologies again.

You win, lol. So immature, but what u gonna do?
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sonour
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« Reply #65784 on: January 18, 2014, 01:49:26 PM »

Cheers Horsey.

Quick question to Sonour and anyone else like Doobs, Camel etc. who understands the Ladbrokes promotion.

If you haven't got £2k spare to bet 80 odd markets and I can't be the only one in that boat surely, what markets should I be looking to exploit?

I'm thinking 1-0 - 5-0 Chelsea, 1-0 and 2-0 Man Utd and first goalscorer bets. Is there any others I should definitely be on?

Thanks in advance for any answers.

Morning. You basically want to be on selections where the Ladbrokes price is as close as possible to the Betfair price. This, in theory, minimises the EV you are sacrificing by betting in an overround market. The offer should theoretically kick in around 50% of the time you have a losing bet, comfortably erasing the small piece of value pie you have to Lads by having the bet itself.

If picking and choosing be biased in favour of selections that don't involve both teams scoring for obvious reasons. If you get through those the next tranche is the goals markets, where you should play the unders.


@Keith.... Maybe, though I know the cashier in the shop, had a lengthy discussion with he and colleague before playing, and the bets went through after both management and security called the shop. They obviously realise they have dropped a massive bollard, but not sure they can really do much if one plays so 'considerately' within their terms.

I don't understand why Ladbrokes are top price on 0-0 and Chelsea to win 1-0 and 2-0.
These correct scores are what all the arbers are betting on.
My guess is it is better for Ladbrokes if both teams score than for any of those scores to land.
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tikay
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« Reply #65785 on: January 18, 2014, 01:50:32 PM »


I only just heard that Terry Biddlecombe passed away recently, & was buried yesterday.

He & Henrietta seemed a very odd couple to me, but very happy together, I gather.

RIP Terry, a true giant of the game, & a man who saw some ups & downs in a full life.
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« Reply #65786 on: January 18, 2014, 01:51:43 PM »

Hills mobile £25 Mickie at 6/4 in the next at Ascot.  It was 11/10 this morning which even I couldn't bet.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #65787 on: January 18, 2014, 01:54:19 PM »

Hills mobile £25 Mickie at 6/4 in the next at Ascot.  It was 11/10 this morning which even I couldn't bet.

Thanks, done, @ 6/4, Guaranteed Price. Hope he goes on heavy ground!

BET PLACED
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tikay
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« Reply #65788 on: January 18, 2014, 02:09:15 PM »

Hills mobile £25 Mickie at 6/4 in the next at Ascot.  It was 11/10 this morning which even I couldn't bet.

Thanks, done, @ 6/4, Guaranteed Price. Hope he goes on heavy ground!

BET PLACED

No good for Fred, but a great race to watch.
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« Reply #65789 on: January 18, 2014, 02:14:41 PM »

Clause 15 of Ladbrokes T and cs makes me very nervous about doing multiple bets/shops

Ladbrokes reserves the right to restrict bonuses to individual customers at its discretion.

Fred is probably going to swerve that Ladbrokes Offer.

My Account is semi-restricted already, & I don't want to destroy it completely. I just don't have time to do a Shop Run, either, though if The Bandit wants to pop & see me, I'm sure he'll do as he is told, once he has done his jobs for sonour......


Kind thanks to the long-serving blonde who wrote to me overnight, & offered to go to a Ladbrokes shop for me & do the 93 bet thing. Very kind of him, but a bit much to ask. If he writes like he speaks, the Staff will never be able to decipher the slips.


Since you've clearly outed me...

Huh what, I meant I'd do it online, you've got blidey legs.
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