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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16430196 times)
horseplayer
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« Reply #68610 on: February 15, 2014, 05:23:51 PM »

Have no view on the politics side of things


Kmac certainly sounds like he has done a hell of a lot more work than i have and presumably the bookies on this and so his opinion should be respected
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McGlashan
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« Reply #68611 on: February 15, 2014, 05:24:34 PM »

A bit of common sense please. Nothing like a coin flip and yes has an awful lot to do to get close. Odds look about right to me.

With all due respect your opinion is probably based on that of the Unionist media and very non-biased BBC.

I am on the ground and have been campaigning all over the country.  And believe me its much closer than what has been reported.  



Are there any turn out % estimates for the referendum?

edit:  http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/scottish-independence/referendum-turnout

mid point is 1/2 on for >65%, surely it's a lock to top the 64% who voted at the last general election.
« Last Edit: February 15, 2014, 05:33:02 PM by McGlashan » Logged
horseplayer
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« Reply #68612 on: February 15, 2014, 05:25:53 PM »

If anyone wants to watch the 5.30

http://www.dmi.ae/dubairacing/live.asp

excellent link
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Mark_Porter
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« Reply #68613 on: February 15, 2014, 05:30:59 PM »

City-Chelsea just started so get those £10's on at Laddies while you can.
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sonour
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« Reply #68614 on: February 15, 2014, 05:31:39 PM »

If anyone wants to watch the 5.30

http://www.dmi.ae/dubairacing/live.asp

excellent link

Thanks. Much better than watching the odds on Betfair.
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Kmac84
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« Reply #68615 on: February 15, 2014, 05:34:01 PM »

A bit of common sense please. Nothing like a coin flip and yes has an awful lot to do to get close. Odds look about right to me.

With all due respect your opinion is probably based on that of the Unionist media and very non-biased BBC.

I am on the ground and have been campaigning all over the country.  And believe me its much closer than what has been reported. 





Are there any turn out % estimates for the referendum?


Somewhere between 70 - 75% is what we are expecting but I think that is also close to the bookies favourite, I haven't checked that market in a while.
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tikay
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« Reply #68616 on: February 15, 2014, 05:34:40 PM »

well done Russian slider & Dubai.

We won?

Fred had a winner?

BOOM, we got out of it. *

* Almost.
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tikay
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« Reply #68617 on: February 15, 2014, 05:37:33 PM »



BOOM x 2.

Ladbrokes allowed me £1 on Brazil @ 7/1.

Brazil to win the World Cup, £1 @ 7/1, Ladbrokes.


Your bet has been accepted! Thank you and good luck!

Bet time: 15/02/2014 - 17:22
Total Stake £ 1.00


BET PLACED
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Marky147
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« Reply #68618 on: February 15, 2014, 05:38:27 PM »

Horsey's dynamic duo to get out of it for the day then!
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Tal
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« Reply #68619 on: February 15, 2014, 05:39:32 PM »

Have no view on the politics side of things


Kmac certainly sounds like he has done a hell of a lot more work than i have and presumably the bookies on this and so his opinion should be respected

As should Ant's on Palace, mine on Spurs and Tighty's on the Dallas Mavericks Cowboys.

6/1 sounds big. It could well be really close, but it is surely really difficult to come at this with a viewpoint that is both very well informed and completely impartial.

Kmac sounds like he comes from a position where he knows about the huge sociopolitical and socioeconomic challenges the independence campaign has to overcome. If so many of the inner cities want change, will they want it hard enough to turn up and vote for it? Will they believe that change will actually mean change? Does the SNP have the answers for a better Scotland?

People have trouble voting for real change. How many people change bank accounts, even though they know they could get a better interest rate? People don't shop in different supermarkets or drink in different pubs if they can help it. People choose a political party for life, rather than on issues. It was hard enough getting folk to stop voting for Susanna in strictly.

Getting Xs on the ballot paper is going to be difficult, irrespective of whether it is in the country's and its people's best interests.

It is hugely complicated but might well be closer than 7/2. I happily say I don't have a Scooby, but I would think very few do.
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Tonji
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« Reply #68620 on: February 15, 2014, 05:48:19 PM »

We have Bode Miller tomorrow in Super G @ 22/1 now generally 6/1, but drifting.

Soft snow conditions not in his favour. Bib draw later, with early starters having an advantage. Course setting will be also crucial, but won't be known until an hour or so before the start.

A few possible options as savers later depending on the draw.



A couple of racers I had in mind as savers got unfavourable bib draws.

But Bode Miller has got a few breaks. The start time has been brought an hour ahead to allow for the snow to hold up in colder conditions. He's drawn bib #13, a decent early start & crucially should get course info from teammate Ligety who starts bib #9.

The US Ski team is getting some stick from their home media. Hopefully Miller can answer the critics.

USA USA!

 
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« Reply #68621 on: February 15, 2014, 05:48:42 PM »

As a coda, I do just want to add that I don't have any views on whether Fred or anyone else should bet on this Scottish vote. I don't want to come across as being negative so sorry if that is how I have
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« Reply #68622 on: February 15, 2014, 05:49:34 PM »

Saver second

Main bet basically pulled up which is very unusual looks to have gone wrong Sad

A small loss on the race overall
« Last Edit: February 15, 2014, 05:52:13 PM by horseplayer » Logged
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« Reply #68623 on: February 15, 2014, 05:58:18 PM »

Bad result and play from the curlers. However China 2 down with 1 to go and Sweden 1 down 1 to go. Could yet be a decent day.

Sandy
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tikay
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« Reply #68624 on: February 15, 2014, 06:08:38 PM »

Saver second

Main bet basically pulled up which is very unusual looks to have gone wrong Sad

A small loss on the race overall

No worries John, been that sort of day, but the saver averted serious damage, so not so bad.
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