Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

Derby v Forest

5 red cards in last six meetings

12/5 a red with hills looks fair but ref is Michael Naylor who only one red this season and averages 3 yellows a game.

From what i can tell not taken charge of many/any games this important though.

Any views?

Would probably leave it if ref looks a bit placid.
Think Forest are a bet around 3/1.
Still missing Reid & on a bad run, but Derby have struggled lately, and the fact it's a derby narrows whatever gap there is.

Thanks

Red card usually 4/1 in a "normal game" so even at best price with hills looks priced in especially with ref.

[Marky147]

Obviously not many but i would be amazed if the difference was that stark with any other striker even over 7 games.

Anyway i have read on here a lot how bad Remy is so was not sure he was regarded as a main striker.,

only from one poster. He obviously makes the team. Proper goal-scorer

Agreed. I think most people rate Remy quite highly, and it's just Pads who despises him

[Doobs]

OK Lisa, thanks, the two "£25 Free Bet if 2nd" horses, with WH Mobile are on.

3.15 Lingfield, Ertijaal, £25 @ 5/4, Guaranteed Price

3.50 Lingfield, Grandeur, £25 @ 7/4, Guaranteed Price.



22 Mar 14 / 10:40

Stake

3:15 Lingfield – Ertijaal @ Guaranteed Price (5/4)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000894/F



22 Mar 14 / 10:40

Stake

3:50 Lingfield – Grandeur @ Guaranteed Price (7/4)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000895/F


BET PLACED

These are the two I backed.  Have thought a bit more about this during the week, and think a good compromise is to just stick to free bets between about 6/1 and 10/1.  You don't lose much on the value of the free bet, and the variance should be lower.  People just don't get that having 33/1 failures is just kind of standard.  I think this is more in the spirit of the thread than starting to arb.  Any further discussion should be on the other thread though.  As I said before pros and cons get lost in here.

[tikay]

30% of Cardiff City’s goals have come from headers, the highest proportion of any team in the top division

Liverpool have conceded the highest proportion of headed goals (23%)

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

Stephen Caulker has 4 goals this season in 30 games. They are shown above.  3 were headers. 2 were in the one game v Fulham recently, admittedly

I have had modest success in anytime goalscorer markets against Liverpool playing away at big prices with big lumps against Simon "shot stopper but I don't command my six yard box at corners" Mignolet

Recommendation £5 Caulker anytime Cardiff v Liverpool 16-1 8EIGHT8/Unicyclebet or 14-1 Bet3six5 if you have to

Thanks.

No idea how you find these quirky stats, Rich.

We are on, with 365, £5 @ 14/1

BET PLACED

[tikay]

In the Silly Cricket, the Sri Lanka Biffers beat South Africa.

That's good for us, right?

[Tal]

Now, can England's pyjama team be marginally less shambolic than the penny-pinching woolwich bus-parkers?

[Doobs]

Now, can England's pyjama team be marginally less shambolic than the penny-pinching woolwich bus-parkers?

Who had 1.25?

[Tal]

Now, can England's pyjama team be marginally less shambolic than the penny-pinching woolwich bus-parkers?

Who had 1.25?

Took us 93 minutes to be 4-0 down and down to ten men at Stamford Bridge

[JaffaCake]

NB Brocklebank looks big at 14s with BMU also in the 5.00.

Is 12/1 big enough?

Best I can get now.

Let me know, please.

13/1 Betfair for peanuts, but someone may lay it.

Thanks.

I'm not sure if Adz was suggesting Win or EW.

The race is 11 runners, one fifth odds.


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/lingfield/17:00/winner

Morning All

Happy Wenger Day to one and all!

E/w, upped in trip, best play safe.

TY

Roffle.

Anyone who watches Newastle regularly will tell u Remy is our best player and main goal threat. Still, it's Palace at home right?

[tikay]

Now, can England's pyjama team be marginally less shambolic than the penny-pinching woolwich bus-parkers?

Well, England are 1-1 after 3 balls......

[BigAdz]

Now, can England's pyjama team be marginally less shambolic than the penny-pinching woolwich bus-parkers?

Who had 1.25?

Took us 93 minutes to be 4-0 down and down to ten men at Stamford Bridge

1000 and out. Here's hoping!!

[Karabiner]

Now, can England's pyjama team be marginally less shambolic than the penny-pinching woolwich bus-parkers?

Who had 1.25?

Took us 93 minutes to be 4-0 down and down to ten men at Stamford Bridge

1000 and out. Here's hoping!!

Such a one-trick pony.

[BigAdz]

And your stance to keep Wenger is what? Two tricks?

Keep the faith Ralph, we may keep it below 10.

[arbboy]

And your stance to keep Wenger is what? Two tricks?

Keep the faith Ralph, we may keep it below 10.

4th place is locked up another good season for the ars running right up to their rating.  Maybe swop Sherwood for Wenger in the summer?

[hector62]

Afternoon Mr T.

I think that Huddersfield will be too strong for the CESM's today. Over half of the French team are unavailable and they are down to the bare bones. They may be able to defend for the first half but I expect Huddersfield to win the 2nd half by more than 6 points.

£20 Huddersfield -6 points @ evens with Ladbrokes.

http://www.ladbrokes.com/lbr_sports?action=go_sgl_external&popup=1&ev_oc_id=362793224&lp_num=1&lp_den=1


Ths link may take you to the correct page.