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exstream
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« Reply #74595 on: April 16, 2014, 06:33:36 PM » |
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Mulhuzz completely clueless
Best to do opposite of what he says
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Omm
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« Reply #74596 on: April 16, 2014, 06:35:30 PM » |
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For this bet it's kind of irrel how good Kingman might be or whether we fancy him.
John Gosden will run the horse where he sees fit and is more likely to swerve a Classic than most others if he thinks the ground is too fast. Fast ground, and the prospect of hitting fast ground coming out of the dip, means there will be some opposition to him on the day even if he does run.
Also, Listen O'Brien's wonderhorse is unlikely to go off bigger than 3/1 imo, so there's not huge scope for Kingman to shorten dramatically from his current price. All things being equal obv.
If we lay £500 @ 2.5 and Kingman doesn't run we win £500.
If we lay £500 @ 2.5 and he does run, we can back him back on the day.
Of course it's racing and anything can happen. It could rain, Australia could do a leg and Kingman could start 4/6. Them's the gambles.
understood thanks BF isn't funded for that amount, so over to tikay. Would you feel comfortable doing it on your account Tighty? If so then why not? I'm sure Tikay wouldn't mind sharing the official commitment with you. You could take all the winners....... Oh that would leave him the losers. (There is a serious bit in there somewhere) |
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Nico29
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« Reply #74597 on: April 16, 2014, 06:36:38 PM » |
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Cheers Dave.
Great post about the history of the prices there.
Wish i'd waited before I got on!
Getting my excuses in early.
Really don't understand why Silva is so large to score anytime tonight still though.
3.6 on machine.
He really has looked ultra sharp last couple of games i've seen and I think I would not want to lay more than 6-4 anytime on him tonight.
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Nico29
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« Reply #74598 on: April 16, 2014, 06:43:03 PM » |
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Got a feeling Aguero might start on bench with 1.8 anytime freely available on machine.
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Dubai
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« Reply #74599 on: April 16, 2014, 06:47:25 PM » |
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Against Man U at home Munich started
Robben
Ribery
Muller
Gotze
Mandzukic
If they all started tonight- bet 365 would be betting to 117% just on them 5. Without taking into account the other 5 outfield players for Munich, Munich subs and the 14% or so time the opposition score first
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Dubai
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« Reply #74600 on: April 16, 2014, 06:49:26 PM » |
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Place parts are obv decent on some of them but no way can you overcome betting to that sort of % when they share the goals out so much.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #74601 on: April 16, 2014, 06:51:25 PM » |
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tbf i said they share the goals out / rotate a lot
However this is different to recent league games they want to put this to bed tonight
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horseplayer
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« Reply #74602 on: April 16, 2014, 06:52:38 PM » |
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Raeder - Lahm, J. Boateng, Dante, Alaba - Schweinsteiger - Robben, T. Kroos, T. Müller, Ribéry - Mandzukic
full strength
very much so
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horseplayer
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« Reply #74603 on: April 16, 2014, 06:57:12 PM » |
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personally think Mm at 12/5 and TM at 100/3 make a lot of sense
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Tal
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« Reply #74604 on: April 16, 2014, 06:57:53 PM » |
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While you're here, Dubai...Half time full time reverse bet in El Clasico Cuppo?
25/1 Real then Barca
28/1 Barca then Real.
Two evenly matched sides (without Winky) and goals expected. Prices with BMU.
I'm having a Bobby1-esque dirty look at Man City half time/Sunderland full time at 170 on betty. I wouldn't want to be backing Citeh if things get tough today. Obv that's just personal degeneracy, rather than a recommend.
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« Last Edit: April 16, 2014, 07:00:48 PM by Tal »
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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arbboy
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« Reply #74605 on: April 16, 2014, 06:58:21 PM » |
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anyone who likes buying money someone is looking for £393 at 1000/1 on everton winning the league on the machine.
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Dubai
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« Reply #74606 on: April 16, 2014, 06:59:27 PM » |
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personally think Mm at 12/5 and TM at 100/3 make a lot of sense
I'l lay thread both of these if cant get on with 365. Shallow bookmakers don't turn down custom |
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Nico29
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« Reply #74607 on: April 16, 2014, 07:00:27 PM » |
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Is Kroos def starting?
Ive just bet him anytime at 6.0 on betfair.
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Chompy
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« Reply #74608 on: April 16, 2014, 07:00:40 PM » |
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You gonna be tieing up £393,000 for a few weeks arbboy?
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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horseplayer
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« Reply #74609 on: April 16, 2014, 07:00:55 PM » |
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team is confirmed Nico presume he is sitting in a very deep holding/playmaker role again tonight without Rafinha at full back
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