Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

No zero about formula one but presume Tighty you have spotted this story?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula-one/27129980

[tikay]

Further to Tighty's Darlin' O Dublin bet recommend, I think I've found another way to get with my fellow citizen.
No snooker expert but was surprised to see Ken at evens for Highest Break in Match market when I intuitively made him the better break builder of the 2.

http://www.oddschecker.com/snooker/world-championship/alan-mcmanus-v-ken-doherty/who-will-make-highest-break

So I looked up their respective stats on cuetracker.net (great site, wish all sports had such easily accessible stats banks).
http://www.cuetracker.net/pages/players.php?ID=73&season=2013/2014
http://www.cuetracker.net/pages/players.php?ID=38&season=2013/2014

And I found Ken over his career has made a century every 24.64 frames, while Angles McTrousers has only made one every 37.22 frames.
Same story in Season 2013-24. Ken one every 25.45 and McT one every 36.82.
Ken 325 career centuries v McT's 176.

Tighty has already made good case for Ken arguably being match fav on form, backed up by a few regs' views. So we're no less worried about his current form than McT's.
My only concern is KenDo seems to be spending the week in the BBC studio instead of on the practise baize, but I'm still happy to recommend:

Highest break in match: Ken Doherty £40 @ evens (3sicks6 / ladbr0k€$).

Thoughts?

i wrote yesterday stuff that supported this..doherty 6 50 breaks in round 1, McManus 3. mcmanus 3 breaks over 50 in beating williams over 18 frames in final Q.

instinctively i like the bet (probably more than i like the doherty win bet but was unaware of it) but bobby1 was more positive on mcmanus and wrote last night to advise that good professional judges he speaks to all had mcmanus as a worthy favourite for this, which surprised me, but i doubt i do snooker in the depth he does

that doesn't mean doherty won't hit the highest break though

tikay?

I really like the facts as presented by KP.

bobby wrote to me helpfully & more generally on the match, & the view by good judges that McManus should be favourite, but I think his view was he could go with either at the right price. i.e., if McManus was sub 5/6, Kendo was a better value bet.

I'd like that we went with KP here, (for the Highest Break), it all seems to fit, but let's give it an hour & see if bobby or other snooker experts chime in. I'll get on @ Midday if I hear nothing to the contrary.

[TightEnd]

Do we think Selby is worthy favourite today against Carter?  Preferred Carter's first round performance and proven Crucible performer.

I like Carter at 6/4.

wrote it up yesterday.....http://www.betpal.com/snooker-world-championship-betting-pick-of-the-second-round-matches

[TightEnd]

No zero about formula one but presume Tighty you have spotted this story?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula-one/27129980

the other teams are catching up, but slowly. We are about to hit the European season where the rate of development will accelerate - teams get back to factory quicker, can make changes more readily

Mercedes need to harvest as many points as possible whilst they have a competitive advantage in the power unit. Minimising the risk of losing points via mid race scraps makes sense.

As, most likely, Hamilton will usually outqualify Rosberg on superior one lap speed, it follows that more often than not he will be ahead in races, and more likely be the main beneficiary of effectively having a protector behind him

marginal, but good news for hamilton

[horseplayer]

Chompys horse is now a best price 4/6

Mine is now 2/1 and shorter in places and heading one way it seems

[tikay]

Do we think Selby is worthy favourite today against Carter?  Preferred Carter's first round performance and proven Crucible performer.

I like Carter at 6/4.

wrote it up yesterday.....http://www.betpal.com/snooker-world-championship-betting-pick-of-the-second-round-matches

Is that one of those you rule yourself out of doing, as you did a write-up?

[TightEnd]

Without checking oddschecker

what price would you make Stoke at home to Tottenham this weekend?

Stoke 10th, Spurs 6th

relevant opta stuff

Opta Facts

Spurs have conceded a total of 11 goals in their last three Premier League away games.

Tottenham Hotspur have failed to score in three of their last four away games.

Stoke have won their last four Premier League home games, three of them ending 1-0 to the Potters. They have never won five home games in a row in the Premier League.

Only two teams (Liverpool and Palace) are on longer current unbeaten runs than Tottenham (three games).

Tottenham have come from behind to win a league-high 17 points from losing positions this season while Stoke have the second best total (15)


thank you

[TightEnd]

Do we think Selby is worthy favourite today against Carter?  Preferred Carter's first round performance and proven Crucible performer.

I like Carter at 6/4.

wrote it up yesterday.....http://www.betpal.com/snooker-world-championship-betting-pick-of-the-second-round-matches

Is that one of those you rule yourself out of doing, as you did a write-up?

yes, but we are already on Carter e/w so have a relevant interest already

[kpnuts]

Do we think Selby is worthy favourite today against Carter?  Preferred Carter's first round performance and proven Crucible performer.

I like Carter at 6/4.

wrote it up yesterday.....http://www.betpal.com/snooker-world-championship-betting-pick-of-the-second-round-matches

Is that one of those you rule yourself out of doing, as you did a write-up?

The BettingEmporium.com man likes Carter here too. Put him up this morning +2.5 frames @ 10/11 and he's 4 from 5 in WC bets so far, so I guess that's an endorsement.

[TightEnd]

Another one

Villa...no form, no Benteke, etc etc are at Swansea, a point above them

what price should Villa be?

no oddschecking, thanks!

[horseplayer]

4's?

[Tal]

Click to see full-size image.

Can't wait for the first autobiography.

In all seriousness, to whatever extent he contributed to his own downfall, what a horrible few months he must have had.

[horseplayer]

http://www.oddschecker.com/snooker/world-championship/mark-davis-v-dominic-dale/handicaps

Just after watching the session last night and a snooker layman

Is Davis +5.5 on the handicap worth a look? Cant play as badly i would hope

Any views

[sonour]

Joke Choral have Music Master at 7/4 for the 3.10 Warwick tomo.

No idea why, as I wouldn't want to lay odds against.

Recommend £60 win @ 7/4. Glglgl getting on.

Cheers Chompy

2.75 into 1.71 now.

Fantastic Chompy, thank you.

[Junior Senior]

4's?

I would say should be shorter but 4 could be available.  I am presuming tighty feels there is value n the stoke price