Tips for Tikay

[The Camel]

Palace Sunderland and Newcastle per the Racing post premier league table in today's edition.  Pretty sure i read it right.  Literally no one saying Newcastle apart from ant has got me doubting my own eyes now.  I don't have the paper to hand.  Palace and Sunderland were def there.  I will get the figures from the Saturday RP and put them on here.  There have been so few draws this season the vast majority of teams are in profit over the season.  Hard to believe the firm's have made much on the EPL this season you would think, especially with the two mental saturday's when every jolly won.

Looking at the results from early in the season away wins at spuds and manure must have helped massively for Newcastle.  So much for the 'worse team ever in the epl'.  Yet another guide as to how good a season Newcastle have had against the spread to use an american saying!

Newcastle and Palace had fewest draws in the league, so got their points from wins.

Sunderland got the two biggest priced wins of the season? Def 2 of top 5.

Interesting to see who performed best on Asian Handicap.

[exstream]

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-goalscorer-w-o-suarez

Top goalscorer market without Suarez.

Sturridge is rightfully? a very short 1/6.

The next 2 in the market are what interest me, Toure 8/1, Aguero 10/1.

Each way is top 2, 1/3 odds.

Man City have 9 games remaining, those of which include weak teams such as Arsenal, Sunderland, West Brom, Crystal Palace, Aston Villa, West Ham. Tougher games are Everton, Liverpool and Southampton,

Liverpool have 7 games remaining, they are Tottenham, West Ham, Man City, Norwich, Chelsea, Crystal Palace and Newcastle.

I think it seems ok to take on Sturridge in this spot, maybe betting both Toure and Aguero, or selecting one of them to take advantage of what look generous each way terms.

If selecting one, note that Aguero is injured for this weekends game vs Arsenal.
Toure plays every game, Aguero will possibly have to rotate with Negredo and Dzeko when he is fully fit anyway.

Toure has the big game experience and has done this before, surely he will have some more goals in him.
Liverpool/Sturridge haven't been in this position for a long time/ever, will they crack under the pressure?

If I have worked it out correctly and if you bet both, should either win, very good.
If Sturridge wins and Toure finishes second, you will lose a very small amount.
If Sturridge wins and Aguero finishes second, you will win a small amount.

Thoughts?

Another goal for Toure, looking good. Hope he can somehow catch Sturridge though.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-10-finish

Stoke have 3 remaining away games of 7 fixtures, Chelsea, Cardiff and West Brom. They face Hull, Newcastle, Tottenham and Fulham at home.

Aston Villa have 5 remaining away games of 8 fixtures, Man U, Crystal Palace, Swansea, Man City, Tottenham. They face Fulham, Southampton and Hull at home.

Stoke already lead Aston Villa by 3 points, although Villa do have a game in hand.

Stoke play 3 teams ahead of them in the table, 2 of them are at home.

Aston Villa play 4 teams ahead of them in the table, 1 at home.

Stoke are as low as 4/6 but a very nice 7/5 with Cral.

Of course, nothing the bookies don't already know I guess, but one standout price, I've had a bet.

Sewn up.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/spain/la-liga-primera/spanish-la-liga-primera/winner

http://espnfc.com/tables/_/league/esp.1/spanish-primera-division?cc=5739

The odds look so wrong to me. All 3 teams look so strong. Athletico Madrid are 8/1 to win the league. Barcelona play Real Madrid on Sunday. A Barcelona win or draw is going to blow things wide open and fresh off a 7-0 win with a Messi hatrick, Barcelona will go into the game confident.

1/3 on Real to win the league looks so short.

Real doomed.
Athletico slight favourites against Barcelona who are evens. Going to be close.

Any love for Brendan Rogers at 8/1 in this?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/lma-manager-of-the-year

Looked so good for a long time, now Pulis is big favourite

It all looked so good for a while.

[Marky147]

Forget the league, Diego... and get that Champions League won, son!

[Rubbish2407]

I'm sorry guys but Photobucket is down for routine maintenance again. Only thing I can post is this.



Is there another site I can use for photo's other than Photobucket?

[exstream]

May be old. Enjoyed it.

[millidonk]

Came to post that Arsenal bid. Abs incred.

[horseplayer]

imageshack rubbish?

missing the galleries always great stuff

[BigAdz]

Wayne Rooney eat your heart out...Magic.

[tikay]

After YOU. (x 4).

[horseplayer]

Good find Tikay

You should have a book coming to ur hq if you are there today

[tikay]

Good find Tikay

You should have a book coming to ur hq if you are there today

Thanks John, not here yet, but the scuy internal mail is slower than a slow thing. We share mail trays with the Oddschecker boys, & they all look a bit shifty to me, so I'll keep an eye out. 

[arbboy]

I have an outstanding bet on Sweden to win last night's first Eurovision semi....any ideas who won? Presume Chomps is to blame?

Semi-final results not revealed until after Saturday's final. That's the way it's done, apart from that time they revealed the results on Greek TV too soon. Sure we'll all never forget that moment.

Would suggest you're in good shape with Armenia taking a driff since. Somewhere around 60% going to the river.

Sounds good, in Chompy we trust (how are MK Dons doing?)

Any idea why I've got an outstanding bet on Carlos Acuna to be Championship top scorer at 25/1? Don't even know who he plays for!

You got tucked up there Mr K..........


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Javier_Acu%C3%B1a

FFS, Watford, can't even blame Chompy for that. Must be one of our Watford experts, are they our least fave team on Fred?

Just watched Kevin Durant get his MVP trophy, what a speech, personally thanked every member of his team, tears the lot. They 'need' to win game 2 tonight anyway, having lost game 1 v the Clips at home and therefore lost home court advantage before the go to LA for games 3 and 4. OKC will be in a great place for this game, and there's also the thought that when a team wins the first of the two away games to start a series that they're happy that it's job done, they'll go home with the advantage, and game 2 doesn't really matter. I'm big on OKC tonight, BMU seem to have -3 for those that can, -5.5 looks fine too, expecting a massive OKC performance.

What says u argueboy?

Great shout Jeff on OKC.  Clippers pretty much played like they were happy going home 1-1 for the whole 2nd half.  OKC's intensity/effort level for the whole game was just at a different level probably to do with the emotional KD speech and the crowd really getting into it.

Pacers and OKC both won at home last night to tie their respective series' at 1-1.  Miami and SA Spurs both play their game 2's tonight at home and try to extend their lead to 2-0.

[Marky147]

Forgot about that, cheers Jeff!

[arbboy]

Forgot about that, cheers Jeff!

So many winning betting slips lying around for you marky! It's a tough life knowing where they all are!

[arbboy]

Forgot the darts last week when there were two draws.

Recommend 3 £30 bets on the following draws.

Lewis v Thornton 4/1 general http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/adrian-lewis-v-robert-thornton/winner

Taylor v Wright 5/1 bet365 http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/phil-taylor-v-peter-wright/winner

MVG v Barney 4/1general http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/raymond-van-barneveld-v-michael-van-gerwen/winner