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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16569024 times)
Nico29
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« Reply #76920 on: May 08, 2014, 12:51:46 PM »

I see boyles go 5/6 any tied match.

Seems dece.

Thoughts Arbboy?

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/premier-league-darts-week-14-specials/tied-match
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arbboy
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« Reply #76921 on: May 08, 2014, 01:02:50 PM »

Only 4 games tonight instead of the usual 5.  I will just do the maths and let you know before you steam in.  Nice spot Dom

Doing the acca of all 4 draws to not be a draw comes to just under 11/8 using 4/1 4/1 4/1 and 5/1 as the base of the draw prices. Take the inverse of those as a 4 way acca ( 1.25x 1.25 x 1.25 x 1.2) comes to 2.35 (roughly 11/8).  Therefore the inverse of that is the price there is a draw is 8/11.  However we are assuming the real draw prices are actually shorter than those listed from previous discussion if we assume the real prices are 7/2 7/2 4/1 and 9/2 given we have backed 3 of the draws which look value then the same calc comes out at (1.285 x 1.285 x 1.25 x 1.22) = 2.5 or 6/4 which makes a draw tongiht in any game a 4/6 shot.  Victor go 4/6

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/premier-league-darts-week-14-specials/any-drawn-match

5/6 looks a bet to me.  Pretty sure fred can't get on at boyles though.  If we can would recommend £60 at 5/6

« Last Edit: May 08, 2014, 01:12:02 PM by arbboy » Logged
Nico29
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« Reply #76922 on: May 08, 2014, 01:05:48 PM »

Only 4 games tonight instead of the usual 5.  I will just do the maths and let you know before you steam in.

Sorry m8 mega lazy of me, I should be able to do it myself.

Am multi tabling currently and just couldn't decide whether to do your bet or that one, or both even.

Quite liked having the extra match in the 5/6 bet, but obv can't win the jackpot like with the 3 singles.
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Marky147
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« Reply #76923 on: May 08, 2014, 01:10:50 PM »

Forgot about that, cheers Jeff!

So many winning betting slips lying around for you marky! It's a tough life knowing where they all are!

Haha, if only that were the case Smiley


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arbboy
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« Reply #76924 on: May 08, 2014, 01:14:36 PM »

wow didnt take boyles long to go 8/13 on that.  How much did you have on dom?  I was just phoning my boyles man to get me on and it was 8/13 already.  Maybe the boyles 'loltraders' have logged onto blonde for a level 1 odds comp lesson.  If so morning guys.  You really should be able to work out the price of a draw in a match without just sticking a pin in and saying 'that seems about right' rofl
« Last Edit: May 08, 2014, 01:20:10 PM by arbboy » Logged
Nico29
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« Reply #76925 on: May 08, 2014, 01:19:31 PM »

wow didnt take boyles long to go 8/13 on that.  How much did you have on dom?  I was just phoning my boyles man to get me on and it was 8/13 already.  Maybe the boyles 'loltraders' have logged onto blonde for a level 1 odds comp lesson.  If so morning guys.

Didn't back it as was waiting for math.

Prob schoolboy error to have put the link up as some1 else either weighed in b4 me or boyles indeed have a mole!
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Nico29
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« Reply #76926 on: May 08, 2014, 01:20:59 PM »

Only 4 games tonight instead of the usual 5.  I will just do the maths and let you know before you steam in.  Nice spot Dom

Doing the acca of all 4 draws to not be a draw comes to just under 11/8 using 4/1 4/1 4/1 and 5/1 as the base of the draw prices. Take the inverse of those as a 4 way acca ( 1.25x 1.25 x 1.25 x 1.2) comes to 2.35 (roughly 11/8).  Therefore the inverse of that is the price there is a draw is 8/11.  However we are assuming the real draw prices are actually shorter than those listed from previous discussion if we assume the real prices are 7/2 7/2 4/1 and 9/2 given we have backed 3 of the draws which look value then the same calc comes out at (1.285 x 1.285 x 1.25 x 1.22) = 2.5 or 6/4 which makes a draw tongiht in any game a 4/6 shot.  Victor go 4/6

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/premier-league-darts-week-14-specials/any-drawn-match

5/6 looks a bet to me.  Pretty sure fred can't get on at boyles though.  If we can would recommend £60 at 5/6



Thanks for this tho mate.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #76927 on: May 08, 2014, 01:28:11 PM »

Daily Report

Loss on Month £478.64


Outstanding Bets £2928.01

Free Bets £25 Betfred


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=24

A loss of £30 yesterday

- There were goalscorers in Sunderland-West Brom  -£10



- Almagro lost to Murray 6-4 in the third -£20


In longer term positions

Manchester City's 4-0 win over Aston Villa went a long way towards securing the Liverpool lay, as long as City get a point against West Ham on Sunday



Gareth Bale did not play for Real against Valladolid. He has 14 league goals in 26 la liga matches and with two games to play we need less than 18 goals to secure the bet. Presumably he'll be save for the Champions league final too, which helps

In the NBA Play offs Oklahoma City beat the Clippers 112-101 to tie that series at 1-1

 Click to see full-size image.


In the MLB Kansas Cty and Baltimore both won but so did our short the Yankees

Our best bet here continues to be the Orioles to win the AL East, currently

Baltimore   17   14   .548   
NY Yankees18   15   .545   
Boston   17   17   .500   
Toronto   17   17   .500   
Tampa Bay   15   19    .441
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By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Rubbish2407
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« Reply #76928 on: May 08, 2014, 02:22:17 PM »

Better late than never.

Could another slip up be possible?



0-0 at half time and Villa were doing well.

A Dzeko second half brace was enough.



Guys name does my Edin!

And then Yaya does this.



Surely the best player in the Premiership?

Not a photo of Armageddon.



Just Galatasaray winning the Turkish Cup.

Talking of winners.

 Click to see full-size image.


Horsey tipped up Suegioo to win the Chester Cup at 16/1 on the Horse Racing thread.

Westbrook went mental with a triple double last night.



KD chipped in with 32 points.

TPC Sawgrass starts today.



Fred's on Cabrera, any other suggestions?

This Man thinks Manchester United are the biggest club in the World?



Somebody tell him their not even the biggest club in Manchester please.

Who is this and why is she in the news?

 Click to see full-size image.


Later.
« Last Edit: May 08, 2014, 02:31:11 PM by Rubbish2407 » Logged

"The Full Eso Kral": To back every possible outcome in an event and lose whatever happens.
Keith Hawkins 10/01/2014
bunnydas8888
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« Reply #76929 on: May 08, 2014, 02:39:49 PM »

Quote
Who is this and why is she in the news?

 Click to see full-size image.


Later.

I can't remember her name, but she is the first women to be head coach at a French league club?
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Rubbish2407
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« Reply #76930 on: May 08, 2014, 02:51:26 PM »

Quote
Who is this and why is she in the news?

 Click to see full-size image.


Later.

I can't remember her name, but she is the first women to be head coach at a French league club?

Nice one. Her name is Helena Costa and she takes over at Clermont Foot.

Welcome to the thread Bunny, any tips for us?
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"The Full Eso Kral": To back every possible outcome in an event and lose whatever happens.
Keith Hawkins 10/01/2014
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« Reply #76931 on: May 08, 2014, 02:53:36 PM »

I think I was the one credited with mardy bum for SPOTY, I'm normally around here quite often on my phone and as such don't post too much though.
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bunnydas8888
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« Reply #76932 on: May 08, 2014, 02:57:48 PM »

Also, on the point of Helena, I vaguely remember reading the story the other day and at the bottom of the article they mentioned that she wasn't the first woman coach in Europe (I think).  That accolade went to another lady who took charge of an Italian? team and she got the sack after only 2 games!
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TightEnd
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« Reply #76933 on: May 08, 2014, 03:25:15 PM »

Forgot the darts last week when there were two draws.

Recommend 3 £30 bets on the following draws.

Lewis v Thornton 4/1 general http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/adrian-lewis-v-robert-thornton/winner

Taylor v Wright 5/1 bet365 http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/phil-taylor-v-peter-wright/winner

MVG v Barney 4/1general http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/raymond-van-barneveld-v-michael-van-gerwen/winner

5/1 had gone

Your bet has been placed with William Hill.
Thank you and good luck! Print Receipt
Single

08 May 2014 - Adrian Lewis v Robert Thornton - Match Betting

Draw @ 4/1

Stake : £30.00
[undefined]

Estimated Returns : £
150.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0000946/F
Single

08 May 2014 - Phil Taylor v Peter Wright - Match Betting

Draw @ 9/2

Stake : £30.00
[undefined]

Estimated Returns : £
165.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0000947/F
Single

08 May 2014 - Raymond van Barneveld v Michael van Gerwen - Match Betting

Draw @ 4/1

Stake : £30.00
[undefined]

Estimated Returns : £
150.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0000948/F
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By the way, I'm leaving out today
arbboy
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« Reply #76934 on: May 08, 2014, 03:29:36 PM »

Better late than never.

Could another slip up be possible?



0-0 at half time and Villa were doing well.

A Dzeko second half brace was enough.



Guys name does my Edin!

And then Yaya does this.



Surely the best player in the Premiership?

Not a photo of Armageddon.



Just Galatasaray winning the Turkish Cup.

Talking of winners.

 Click to see full-size image.


Horsey tipped up Suegioo to win the Chester Cup at 16/1 on the Horse Racing thread.

Westbrook went mental with a triple double last night.



KD chipped in with 32 points.

TPC Sawgrass starts today.



Fred's on Cabrera, any other suggestions?

This Man thinks Manchester United are the biggest club in the World?



Somebody tell him their not even the biggest club in Manchester please.

Who is this and why is she in the news?

 Click to see full-size image.


Later.

Westbrook's triple double shouldn't have been a TD.  They gifted him his 10th assist which wasn't an assist at all.  Steve Kerr the TNT comm wasn't very happy about it at all.  Westbrook and Durant were very close to being the first 2 players ever on the same team in the same to record a triple double in NBA history.  Think that's why they did this to try and create history.  KD ended up 1 assist shy of a TD as well.  It was a great effort by OKC's big 2.  This is going to be an awesome series.
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