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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 14883098 times)
DungBeetle
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81540 on:
June 27, 2014, 12:17:33 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on June 27, 2014, 11:58:23 AM
sorry, up against it a bit with stuff
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/mens/kevin-anderson-v-fabio-fognini/winner
just started
i can get 3.85 fognini betfair Dung
£20 or so?
Hi Tighty
Badbeat seems to like it also, so yes I think we can have £20. Don't think they have kicked off yet unless the wimbledon scoreboard is up to tricks so we can still get on.
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DungBeetle
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81541 on:
June 27, 2014, 12:21:56 PM »
Quote from: luther101 on June 26, 2014, 04:28:24 PM
Early one for next season's Championship: winner .... Watford 18/1, to be promoted 13/2 @ B365.
Vydra's just been re-signed and along with: Ex-Spur's goalie Heurelho Gomes, former Premier League defenders Gabriel Tamas and Craig Cathcart plus Lloyd Dyer from Tighty's Champs it looks like they're going for it.
Also, there's rumours that Don Pozzo's 'gonna make you an offer you can't refuse' to Roberto Di Matteo, with present incumbent Sannino being installed as the new Udinese manager.
Thoughts Dung?
Hi Luther. I'm bullish player wise but I think Sannino still is a question mark. As far as I know Udinese have appointed (or are close to appointing) someone, so I think Sannino will be the boss for the upcoming season.
Obviously the thing that puts me off is how utterly certain I was that we were going to win the league last season, after recruiting Angella, Faraoni and Fabbrini!
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81542 on:
June 27, 2014, 12:23:30 PM »
Quote from: DungBeetle on June 27, 2014, 12:17:33 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on June 27, 2014, 11:58:23 AM
sorry, up against it a bit with stuff
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/mens/kevin-anderson-v-fabio-fognini/winner
just started
i can get 3.85 fognini betfair Dung
£20 or so?
Hi Tighty
Badbeat seems to like it also, so yes I think we can have £20. Don't think they have kicked off yet unless the wimbledon scoreboard is up to tricks so we can still get on.
Third Round Matches / Anderson v Fognini / Match Odds Fabio Fognini Back
38747147472 27-Jun-14 11.59 4.00 20.00 4.00 27-Jun-14
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arbboy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81543 on:
June 27, 2014, 12:27:47 PM »
Think we should be backing Argies ew at 4/1 with most firms. 1/2 odds 1,2. So we are getting 2/1 the place and its trading under 6/4 on bf. We have to give up a bit of ev on the win part which is 5.4 on the exchange but we are getting more +ev from the place than we lose on the win. Thoughts welcome. It's getting that time when the ew terms are about to change to 1/3 1,2 and the draw is heavily softer towards the argies side so this looks a solid ew bet.
«
Last Edit: June 27, 2014, 12:29:28 PM by arbboy
»
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horseplayer
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81544 on:
June 27, 2014, 01:42:02 PM »
shaw changed his twitter bio to man united player
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Ironside
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #81545 on:
June 27, 2014, 02:15:58 PM »
Went through about an hour ago
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81546 on:
June 27, 2014, 02:32:46 PM »
stupid question time
fognini is nuts. fruitcake. unreliable
but leading anderson 2-1 in sets
he is trading at 1.5, and we backed at 4.0 -£20
the betfair cash out option currently offers £55+
i assume this must be very ice-creamy, such is the amount they advertise cash out options etc etc
whats the "theory" behind why it is bad to do so? presumably the cash out offer has a margin built in for betfair to provide it?
why wouldn't you just do the lay back yourself and save the margin?
in which case, why do people use cash out buttons?
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arbboy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81547 on:
June 27, 2014, 02:34:51 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on June 27, 2014, 02:32:46 PM
stupid question time
fognini is nuts. fruitcake. unreliable
but leading anderson 2-1 in sets
he is trading at 1.5, and we backed at 4.0 -£20
the betfair cash out option currently offers £55+
i assume this must be very ice-creamy, such is the amount they advertise cash out options etc etc
whats the "theory" behind why it is bad to do so? presumably the cash out offer has a margin built in for betfair to provide it?
why wouldn't you just do the lay back yourself and save the margin?
in which case, why do people use cash out buttons?
They don't understand the concept of laying and/or the maths behind it and betfair developed software to make it simple by clicking one button for them to do it with no thought and charge them a premium for the convenience. Extrabet (the old ig index fixed odds arm which is no longer did exactly the same thing 8 years ago) so it's not a new concept.
No idea why extrabet closed as it was for years the only fixed odds firm i routinely lost to as an arber over a big sample.
«
Last Edit: June 27, 2014, 02:45:01 PM by arbboy
»
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arbboy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81548 on:
June 27, 2014, 02:46:04 PM »
The mug double 'to qualfiy' on today's 2 WC games looks value
Brazil 3/10 and Col 4/7 both with coral. Both are shorter on the machine in tight markets with good volume. Recommend £50 double.
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81549 on:
June 27, 2014, 02:51:43 PM »
less talk, more action, for me
Fognini's brain is his major weakness. one man tennis tilt machine
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81550 on:
June 27, 2014, 02:54:19 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on June 27, 2014, 02:46:04 PM
The mug double 'to qualfiy' on today's 2 WC games looks value
Brazil 3/10 and Col 4/7 both with coral. Both are shorter on the machine in tight markets with good volume. Recommend £50 double.
these games are tomorrow
i thought we were coming to the conclusion that colombia were over-popular, and uruguay might be value with sentiment so bad post suarez?
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arbboy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81551 on:
June 27, 2014, 02:56:14 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on June 27, 2014, 02:54:19 PM
Quote from: arbboy on June 27, 2014, 02:46:04 PM
The mug double 'to qualfiy' on today's 2 WC games looks value
Brazil 3/10 and Col 4/7 both with coral. Both are shorter on the machine in tight markets with good volume. Recommend £50 double.
these games are tomorrow
i thought we were coming to the conclusion that colombia were over-popular, and uruguay might be value with sentiment so bad post suarez?
I am just playing with numbers and have bet it myself quite big so just putting it up there like i do all my bets when the price doesn't disappear once i am on.
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81552 on:
June 27, 2014, 03:08:40 PM »
even money plus a bit double
to qualify
Brazil3/10Brazil v Chile - 28/06/2014
Colombia4/7Colombia v Uruguay - 28/06/2014
1 bets @ £50.00
Stake £50.00
Estimated Return:£102.14
Total Stake: £50.00
Potential Return: £102.14
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I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
DungBeetle
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81553 on:
June 27, 2014, 03:49:11 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on June 27, 2014, 02:51:43 PM
less talk, more action, for me
Fognini's brain is his major weakness. one man tennis tilt machine
Sigh Foggy
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81554 on:
June 27, 2014, 04:01:51 PM »
Quote from: DungBeetle on June 27, 2014, 03:49:11 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on June 27, 2014, 02:51:43 PM
less talk, more action, for me
Fognini's brain is his major weakness. one man tennis tilt machine
Sigh Foggy
We have had a bit of a result in Wozniacki's quarter though
Li Na the number 2 seed has just been dumped out by Strychova, who plays Wozniacki in the last 16 next
In this quarter the winners of Kvitova v Venus and Peng v Davis (both unseeded) play
We have 9-1 Wozniacki to win this quarter
she is currently 2/1 second favourite behind Kvitova
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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