Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

http://sports.coral.co.uk/football/football-specials/player-specials/mario-balotelli-specials-1965679.html

Its not going to be any bigger than this anywhere

Mario to be sent off at ANY point this season 9/4.

I am a massive fan but this is to big, one red card last season in Italy, two in England the season before that and one the previous season here.

It looks like this also covers Europe, having a quick think i wouldnt want to lay much bigger than evens?

Suggest £50

Guess we can assume the bet stands even if he does not sign for Liverpool?

[horseplayer]

http://sports.coral.co.uk/football/football-specials/player-specials/mario-balotelli-specials-1965679.html

Its not going to be any bigger than this anywhere

Mario to be sent off at ANY point this season 9/4.

I am a massive fan but this is to big, one red card last season in Italy, two in England the season before that and one the previous season here.

It looks like this also covers Europe, having a quick think i wouldnt want to lay much bigger than evens?

Suggest £50

Guess we can assume the bet stands even if he does not sign for Liverpool?

Would not be sure, either way its still to big i think whatever league he is in.

[DungBeetle]

Seems 11/8 Raonic most aces may be closer to a bet than I thought since he likely wins this if he completes 4 matches?
http://2013.usopen.org/en_US/scores/extrastats/index.html?promo=subnav

Trying to work out if Raonic is value or not.  

Raonic last year got 6.9 aces per set, Isner 5.9.

So the calculation is likely to be the odds on Raonic winning his first 3 matches + odds of Isner failing to win 4 matches.  Think 11/8 probably in the right ball park assuming both guys are heavy favs in the early rounds?

[horseplayer]

Tikay thought you would like this

From Ryan Moores betfair preview (always a good read)

"14:30 York - Estimate

First things first, I don't think that she was suited by Goodwood last time, going downhill there on fast ground was not ideal. But I suspected that there was more to it than that at the time. I wasn't happy with her going down as she was nervous and nearly buried me at the start, which she has never done before. So we got her checked out, and we found out that she was in season, something that isn't always apparent unless you test for it. And that would explain a lot in the race itself as we were pestered throughout by Brown Panther, as the colt must have smelt a bit of love in the air."

[DungBeetle]

Magath now out to 4-1 to be next champ manager sacked.  Sannino taking training this morning and story seems to have lost a bit of traction (although he is still evens).

4-1 is probably a bet given the hard run of fixtures Fulham have in the next few games?

[Tal]

Tikay thought you would like this

From Ryan Moores betfair preview (always a good read)

"14:30 York - Estimate

First things first, I don't think that she was suited by Goodwood last time, going downhill there on fast ground was not ideal. But I suspected that there was more to it than that at the time. I wasn't happy with her going down as she was nervous and nearly buried me at the start, which she has never done before. So we got her checked out, and we found out that she was in season, something that isn't always apparent unless you test for it. And that would explain a lot in the race itself as we were pestered throughout by Brown Panther, as the colt must have smelt a bit of love in the air."

With excuses like that, he'd be good in F1

[tikay]

Tikay thought you would like this

From Ryan Moores betfair preview (always a good read)

"14:30 York - Estimate

First things first, I don't think that she was suited by Goodwood last time, going downhill there on fast ground was not ideal. But I suspected that there was more to it than that at the time. I wasn't happy with her going down as she was nervous and nearly buried me at the start, which she has never done before. So we got her checked out, and we found out that she was in season, something that isn't always apparent unless you test for it. And that would explain a lot in the race itself as we were pestered throughout by Brown Panther, as the colt must have smelt a bit of love in the air."

Very good.

Back in the day, I was a regular at all the London dog tracks, 6 nights (+ two afternoons, + Saturday morning @ Hackney), & this was one of the little things we looked for, as many dogs would not go past a bitch once they caught that scent. Studying "Last Season Dates" was quite a preoccupation.

I'd like to say my cunning plan worked......     

[horseplayer]

Koral now go evens

seems about right

[TightEnd]

Recommendations - with justification:

Betfair
Race Winner: Nico Rosberg @ 12/5 - £5, don't accept lower than 11/5. As per usual, the race is really only between Hamilton & Rosberg. Anything above evens is good value so 12/5 is great if you can get it. 11/5 is worth taking also.

Paddy Power
Top 6 Finish: Sergio Perez @ 4/1 - £5. It's quite possible that the Mercedes powered cars could lock out the top eight places on a track like Spa where power is so important. Even if this isn't the case, Force India will have an advantage because of their engine, and that should propel them forward. 4/1 is a crazy price on Perez to reach to the 6!

William Hill
Top 6 Finish: Jenson Button @ 2/1 - £5. Same reasons as Sergio Perez really. I do feel like Jenson Button has an edge given his experience and given how crazy races at Belgium can be - that's the only reason why I would recommend this at 2/1 - hold off on this bet until after today's practice sessions though - let me see what happens today.

Dual Forecast: Bottas & Rosberg @ 20/1 - £1. If Hamilton retires, this is the most likely result. I can't help but feel 20/1 is too high. Bottas & Hamilton is 10/1 - don't really understand why they would have a 10/1 difference between Hamilton retiring and Rosberg retiring. Value!

Nico Rosberg Winner    3.26    £5.00    
£11.28
Ref: 40361211981M Matched: 10:58 22-Aug-14

I can't get 2/1 Button, 13/8 best

can't get more than 100/30 Perez

22 Aug 2014 - Belgian F1 Grand Prix - Dual Forecast - Dual Forecast

Rosberg/Bottas @ 18/1

Stake : £5.00 (minimum bet size)
Estimated Returns : £
95.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001087/F


fluid markets now FP1, FP2,FP3 are on us

you'll need to advise further

[TightEnd]

 F1 Belgium Grand Prix F1 Belgium Grand Prix
22-08-2014 13:00
Top 6 Finish
S Perez @ 4/1
Your Bets

Win
Single: S Perez @ 4/1
1 line at £2.59 per line
Total stake for this bet: £2.59
Potential returns: £12.95
No: O/23146337/0000484


paddy power, ergo limited

[TightEnd]

 F1 Belgium Grand Prix F1 Belgium Grand Prix
22-08-2014 13:00
Top 6 Finish
J Button @ 15/8 (close enough)
Your Bets

Win
Single: J Button @ 15/8
1 line at £5.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £5.00
Potential returns: £14.38
No: O/23146337/0000485

Total stake: £5.00
Free bets voucher: £0.00
Total Cost: £5.00

[Tal]

£5 at 4/1 and they offer you half. Magnificent.

[scotty2hatty]

The 4/1 red hair looks a great bet to me tbh.

[Chompy]

TfT at its best this morning, aside from the half-dozen or so mentions of those Irish rofflers.

4/1 Magath bootage, and 4/1 Mario hairage both cracking bets imo.

[TightEnd]

TfT at its best this morning, aside from the half-dozen or so mentions of those Irish rofflers.

4/1 Magath bootage, and 4/1 Mario hairage both cracking bets imo.

You will be pleased to know that the Roffler account balance is now zero (having taken a lumpo out a while ago when it no longer became possible to bet in more than a fiver with them). No need to re-deposit, we'll add them to the boylesports
heap

Click to see full-size image.

is now 5/2

Maybelline, maybelline not.



is also 5/2 now, so that price has also gone

behind Sannino and ahead of Chocksaway at Leeds at 8-1

I could make the Leeds case at 8-1...could go through 4-5 managers this season