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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 15138018 times)
Chompy
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« Reply #86745 on: September 11, 2014, 10:56:52 AM »

Also, there's little chance Edele will beat Fat Dee in CBB, so suggest we lay £20 @ 5 Edele, limit the damage a bit.
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« Reply #86746 on: September 11, 2014, 11:02:52 AM »

7 declared for the Irish Champion including two 100/1+ rags

Betway who wont lay anyone a bet are still 3 places for whatever reasons and still havent realised half their list wont run

If you can just back something that runs each way with them and you have a good bet

To save betway some work here are the 7 runners :

Al Kazeem, Mukhadram, Trading Leather, Alkasser, Australia, Kingfisher & The Grey Gatsby
« Last Edit: September 11, 2014, 11:04:35 AM by horseplayer » Logged
TightEnd
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« Reply #86747 on: September 11, 2014, 11:12:53 AM »

There are 14 declared for the Ledger, including Kingston Hill, but there's not going to be any rain and it must be a short price that Varian takes him out again.

At the moment Scuy and BMU (not mentioning the Irish rofflers) are stilll not NRNB.

Feels like a good spot to angle shoot Victor imo.

If we have enough in the 'exchanges' to lay some off, £100EW on each of Snow Sky, Romsdal and Windshear @ 5/1, 6/1 and 8/1 would seem like a decent move.

no go on this at the moment, not funded for the back part.
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Chompy
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« Reply #86748 on: September 11, 2014, 11:14:20 AM »

Thx horsey, just got £50EW on Al Kazeem at 16/1, three places, oi oi!

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« Reply #86749 on: September 11, 2014, 11:16:12 AM »

Also, there's little chance Edele will beat Fat Dee in CBB, so suggest we lay £20 @ 5 Edele, limit the damage a bit.

Lay (Bet Against)    Backer's odds    Backer's stake    Your liability
Celebrity Big Brother 14
Edele Lynch Top Female    5    £19.00    

£1 unmatched

we have £30 on Edele, so this lays off 2/3 of it
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« Reply #86750 on: September 11, 2014, 11:21:39 AM »

Big question arises how the hell does Chompy still have a betway account?

No problem
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« Reply #86751 on: September 11, 2014, 11:22:52 AM »

7 declared for the Irish Champion including two 100/1+ rags

Betway who wont lay anyone a bet are still 3 places for whatever reasons and still havent realised half their list wont run

If you can just back something that runs each way with them and you have a good bet

To save betway some work here are the 7 runners :

Al Kazeem, Mukhadram, Trading Leather, Alkasser, Australia, Kingfisher & The Grey Gatsby


I love it when "the first part of" a plan comes together.
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« Reply #86752 on: September 11, 2014, 11:24:46 AM »

There are 14 declared for the Ledger, including Kingston Hill, but there's not going to be any rain and it must be a short price that Varian takes him out again.

At the moment Scuy and BMU (not mentioning the Irish rofflers) are stilll not NRNB.

Feels like a good spot to angle shoot Victor imo.

If we have enough in the 'exchanges' to lay some off, £100EW on each of Snow Sky, Romsdal and Windshear @ 5/1, 6/1 and 8/1 would seem like a decent move.

Currently good to soft on half the track, going stick 7 which is soft side of good.  Though it is going to be sunny, it is more nice autumn day rather than scorchio (pay me Hills!). This is a classic, so must make it more likely he runs?  Doesn't feel 50/50 to me.

I don't know any watering plans.
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« Reply #86753 on: September 11, 2014, 11:26:45 AM »

7 declared for the Irish Champion including two 100/1+ rags

Betway who wont lay anyone a bet are still 3 places for whatever reasons and still havent realised half their list wont run

If you can just back something that runs each way with them and you have a good bet

To save betway some work here are the 7 runners :

Al Kazeem, Mukhadram, Trading Leather, Alkasser, Australia, Kingfisher & The Grey Gatsby


I love it when "the first part of" a plan comes together.

OiOi.  Was 25/1 with Ladbrokes when I mentioned it, not that anybody could get on.   
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #86754 on: September 11, 2014, 11:30:07 AM »

There are 14 declared for the Ledger, including Kingston Hill, but there's not going to be any rain and it must be a short price that Varian takes him out again.

At the moment Scuy and BMU (not mentioning the Irish rofflers) are stilll not NRNB.

Feels like a good spot to angle shoot Victor imo.

If we have enough in the 'exchanges' to lay some off, £100EW on each of Snow Sky, Romsdal and Windshear @ 5/1, 6/1 and 8/1 would seem like a decent move.

Currently good to soft on half the track, going stick 7 which is soft side of good.  Though it is going to be sunny, it is more nice autumn day rather than scorchio (pay me Hills!). This is a classic, so must make it more likely he runs?  Doesn't feel 50/50 to me.

I don't know any watering plans.

You'd hope so, but was taken out of the Irish Derby on the day.

The round course is definitely slower than the straight course but it's likely to be heading towards good to firm by Saturday, and Rodger may not risk him.
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« Reply #86755 on: September 11, 2014, 11:30:48 AM »

There are 14 declared for the Ledger, including Kingston Hill, but there's not going to be any rain and it must be a short price that Varian takes him out again.

At the moment Scuy and BMU (not mentioning the Irish rofflers) are stilll not NRNB.

Feels like a good spot to angle shoot Victor imo.

If we have enough in the 'exchanges' to lay some off, £100EW on each of Snow Sky, Romsdal and Windshear @ 5/1, 6/1 and 8/1 would seem like a decent move.

Wouldn't want to leave out Forever Now either if you went down this route.

Chompy,
Genuine question - I don't know how to assess the chances of them watering if needed to get good ground. I know they've said that after the rain last weekend they'll leave it and it will be what it will be (forecast to be good). If it looked to come up Gd to firm and KH wasn't going to run do you think there is still zero chance of them watering?
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« Reply #86756 on: September 11, 2014, 11:34:21 AM »

They'll want him to run I'd imagine, so the 'Going Good; watering to maintain' number could easily spring up tomorrow evening.

They absolutely shouldn't though. Watering drying out slow ground usually makes it ride dead.
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« Reply #86757 on: September 11, 2014, 11:43:47 AM »

They'll want him to run I'd imagine, so the 'Going Good; watering to maintain' number could easily spring up tomorrow evening.

They absolutely shouldn't though. Watering drying out slow ground usually makes it ride dead.

I've always been fascinated by weird dialects & peculiar construction of sentences, this is an abso beaut, Fen-speak at its very best. Tal will love that.

Some very strange folk out there.
« Last Edit: September 11, 2014, 11:51:07 AM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #86758 on: September 11, 2014, 01:07:28 PM »

They'll want him to run I'd imagine, so the 'Going Good; watering to maintain' number could easily spring up tomorrow evening.

They absolutely shouldn't though. Watering drying out slow ground usually makes it ride dead.

I've always been fascinated by weird dialects & peculiar construction of sentences, this is an abso beaut, Fen-speak at its very best. Tal will love that.

Some very strange folk out there.

In a small musical interlude you should try it in French, including words you have made up in an attempt to impress the ladies.

Foux du fafa

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EuXdhow3uqQ

Over to Tal.
« Last Edit: September 11, 2014, 01:10:27 PM by bobby1 » Logged

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« Reply #86759 on: September 11, 2014, 01:21:25 PM »

 
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