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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13446809 times)
Tonibell
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« Reply #87045 on: September 15, 2014, 06:11:30 PM »

It's extraordinary how much ev they are giving away on the  'Braveheart' money. I thought the whole point of being a huge listed bookmaker was that you can stand these sort of bets but they're acting like a spit-and-sawdust LBO passing on its multiples for commission. Worth remembering next time they announce falling profits.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #87046 on: September 15, 2014, 07:56:17 PM »

Very small interest in the game tonight

Aaron Cresswell fgs

I am hoping West Ham realise Noble isnt actually that special at them and lets him have a go, was going to leave him but then saw he was 80/1 on the machine if he gets on some free kicks then thats a big price

Worth a fiver imo
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Shrimper1
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« Reply #87047 on: September 15, 2014, 08:01:04 PM »

Back again, and going to make the same recommendation of Jack Payne fiirst goalscorer for Southend's visit to Cheltenham at 21-1 with vee cee.

Couple of half chances on saturday at 0-0 but to be fair never looked likely to break the dedlock.

The books are still pricing him incorectly imo. For example our holding midfielder Deegan who barely crossed the halfway line on saturday is priced at 16-1 best.

Again 365 have the right idea keeping him short at 10-1, and couple of others have already cut him to 12-1.

This wouldnt be quite as strong as saturday as Southend are only in for the first goal about 48% of the time compared to around 52% at the weekend, and Brownn actually switched to a 4-2 -3 -1 from the diamond which he is likely to persist with, where Payne didnt have quite the same free role playing as the middle of the attacking 3.


However, all things considered it is still good value and i cannot see any way Payne is bigger than a 14-1 shot max.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #87048 on: September 15, 2014, 08:06:28 PM »

nice post

good luck
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horseplayer
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« Reply #87049 on: September 15, 2014, 08:14:36 PM »

Not a big fan of Mo Diame but as said when he signed always seems livelier in sky games plus he appears to be playing very advanced tonight

AGain a small bet 2+ 100/1 on the machine
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sonour
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« Reply #87050 on: September 15, 2014, 08:20:41 PM »

Dimaryius Thomas 49 yards

IOU £27.50 Lisa, to get the September slate up & running.

Thanks for helping us with this.

Did you receive the August money?

Received, thank you.

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horseplayer
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« Reply #87051 on: September 15, 2014, 09:46:03 PM »

one more please
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pleno1
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« Reply #87052 on: September 15, 2014, 09:46:20 PM »

Hollllllld.
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Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of  fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
tikay
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« Reply #87053 on: September 16, 2014, 08:06:16 AM »

Back again, and going to make the same recommendation of Jack Payne fiirst goalscorer for Southend's visit to Cheltenham at 21-1 with vee cee.

Couple of half chances on saturday at 0-0 but to be fair never looked likely to break the dedlock.

The books are still pricing him incorectly imo. For example our holding midfielder Deegan who barely crossed the halfway line on saturday is priced at 16-1 best.

Again 365 have the right idea keeping him short at 10-1, and couple of others have already cut him to 12-1.

This wouldnt be quite as strong as saturday as Southend are only in for the first goal about 48% of the time compared to around 52% at the weekend, and Brownn actually switched to a 4-2 -3 -1 from the diamond which he is likely to persist with, where Payne didnt have quite the same free role playing as the middle of the attacking 3.


However, all things considered it is still good value and i cannot see any way Payne is bigger than a 14-1 shot max.

Good to see you here Shrimper Man, & like your thoughtful approach.

Post more. Wink

Presumably you well remember Gavin Tomlin? Most of us here know his Dad very well, "RastaFish", who has quite a reputation amongst poker players. If he ever watched Gavin play, you'd have heard Rasta, he is "quite loud".
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
horseplayer
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« Reply #87054 on: September 16, 2014, 08:13:09 AM »

Ul with Ertz Tal/Reds

these 1st td are certainly going close enough

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horseplayer
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« Reply #87055 on: September 16, 2014, 08:18:44 AM »

Liked three markets in the Leverkusen game tonight yesterday all three prices have gone away Sad

Was going to suggest a lumpy bet on them to qualify at 8/11 thats gone overnight.

Ahem
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Tal
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« Reply #87056 on: September 16, 2014, 08:25:00 AM »

Ul with Ertz Tal/Reds

these 1st td are certainly going close enough



Didn't see the game (have to sleep sometime) but report says he dropped a pass near the endzone, due to a poor throw. Still managed 86 yards, having caught four of the six balls thrown his way.

Hylton had 11 targets for 65 yards, but the Colts ran the ball more than expected, possibly owing to them getting so far ahead early.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
horseplayer
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« Reply #87057 on: September 16, 2014, 08:28:14 AM »

Anybody who watched the SkyPoker.com/Tv Champions League thingy show will have heard this but i do like Kiessling as a scorer this year especially in this group.

Personally i will be playing him in all markets tonight (fgs,any (saver), 2+ and even hat trick (Dreamer) Monaco have started awfully and this is the best time to play them. Leverkusen are just all out attack this season and could score a bagful tonight.

Fwiw the markets i liked originally were :

Over 2.5 goals (moved odds against to odds on)

Over 2+, Over 3+, Over 4+ Leverkusen goals (koral cut all 3 yesterday, might stick change up on the machine later though this match has very low liquidity at present)

And Bayer to win (moved yesterday as well)
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jakally
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« Reply #87058 on: September 16, 2014, 08:31:51 AM »

Championship tomorrow.

What do you think about these two....

Cardiff 8/5 at home to Middlesborough

Looks big to me, Cardiff haven't set the Championship on fire but still have some quality players at this level.

Rotherham 12/5 at Bolton

Bolton were awful on Saturday and managed a draw at home to Wednesday who had 24 shots on goal and should have won. Rotherham are a motivated, well run outfit currently.

I'd appreciate your views.

Depends whether you believe that Cardiff are a lot better than they've shown so far.
They should be, but not confident enough to put money behind it.

I like Middlesbrough, and don't think they are particularly overrated (think someone else thought they were).

Rotherham are probably a bet (even at 13/10 which is best price now).
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horseplayer
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« Reply #87059 on: September 16, 2014, 08:34:34 AM »

Dont like the way Dougie Freedman keeps saying Bolton are nearly there after every game and reading around the fans want rid (a while ago tbh)

Not sure i am massively excited about Rotherham at 13/10 though, looks about right now to me.

Agree re 'Boro i have been quite impressed with them so far, Cardiff have used 30 players already certainly have a very good squad but not sure OGS knows what his best 16 is yet alone 11 yet
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