Tips for Tikay

[moonandback]

Havent done a Duke update for awhile they have played 5 games since my last post we beat 2 poor teams easily (army & furman) 2 ok teams comfortably (temple & stanford) last night we played #2 wisconsin in madison and led by tyus jones 22 points won 80 -70 this was a really good win against a team expected to contend for the title.

[tikay]

Havent done a Duke update for awhile they have played 5 games since my last post we beat 2 poor teams easily (army & furman) 2 ok teams comfortably (temple & stanford) last night we played #2 wisconsin in madison and led by tyus jones 22 points won 80 -70 this was a really good win against a team expected to contend for the title.

5 on the bounce?

Good work Moony, keep the Updates coming please.

There is just so much in the "book" now, it's too much for Tighty, so these Updates on specialist stuff (ditto ArgueBoy with the NBA & Tonji with the snow stuff) all help.

At this stage of the season, we don't need updates on every game of course, that can wait until the sharp end of the season.

When does the season end, by the bye?

[Karabiner]

Skybet has been acquired by CVC for ~£800M.

Must be nice for anyone who's been instrumental in their growth over the last ten years and presumably has share-options in the company.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Loss on Month £50-00

Outstanding Bets £3941-21

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=33

No bets completed yesterday

Our one Premier League position in action was Southampton, who lost to a late Alexis Sanchez goal (not great news, again, for the Welbeck top Arsenal scorer bet)

A tougher run of fixtures for Southampton is coinciding with a spate of injuries, especially in midfield

Click to see full-size image.

Two more goals for the peerless Aguero



and the Premier League goalscoring table:

14 - Sergio Aguero 11 - Diego Costa 9 - Alexis Sanchez 7 - Saido Berahino, Charlie Austin

Rooney has 5, and all eyes on his knee scan which needs to be encouraging for our e/w bet to flicker through the winter

Chelsea won again

Click to see full-size image.

they are now 7/1 to go through the season unbeaten, and 1/4 for the title (Man C 4/1, 25/1 bar). One of the better Chelsea teams, of which there have been several good ones in the last decade, it has to be said

City released their results yesterday. here are the current reported wage bills of the big boys

Click to see full-size image.

Meanwhile in the racing post there is a feature on restricting accounts. If I wanted to put a punters perspective perhaps i wouldn't choose this man, as they did

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

I know that Fred doesn't like to tie money up for long periods and neither do I TBH but I do think you should have a small interest here:

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/when-will-david-cameron-cease-to-be-prime-minister

2015 has to be favourite unless they are short for a majority but 5/2 is way too big for 2016 or over. 2014 at 10/1 can be disregarded. I think it's more like a 60/40 and some good judges who know more about politics than me agree with me.

Would be reccing £100 if we could bet on credit. In the circumstances I recc a modest £20 at 5/2.

2014 should be 100/1+ surely?  What on earth can happen in the next three weeks leading up to xmas for him to get fired?  I assume in a hung parliement where the tories had the most seats (this is currently a flip between labour and tories who wins the most seats) he would be virtually certain to remain PM under a new coalition where the tories won the most seats.  Therefore are we not getting 5/2 about a coin flip effectively in simple terms?  Looks a cracking bet if this is the case.

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/most-seats

Given Cameron is evens to be PM after the next election generally surely there can't be much difference in that happening in May 2015 to him holding onto the PM role for another 7 months.

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/prime-minister-after-general-election

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/when-will-david-cameron-cease-to-be-prime-minister

now 15/8 from 5/2

up to you whether i proceed

[tikay]

Skybet has been acquired by CVC for ~£800M.

Must be nice for anyone who's been instrumental in their growth over the last ten years and presumably has share-options in the company.

Would be nice if I could tick either of those two boxes, Ralph. Preferably the latter.

[JoeBeevers]

I know that Fred doesn't like to tie money up for long periods and neither do I TBH but I do think you should have a small interest here:

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/when-will-david-cameron-cease-to-be-prime-minister

2015 has to be favourite unless they are short for a majority but 5/2 is way too big for 2016 or over. 2014 at 10/1 can be disregarded. I think it's more like a 60/40 and some good judges who know more about politics than me agree with me.

Would be reccing £100 if we could bet on credit. In the circumstances I recc a modest £20 at 5/2.

2014 should be 100/1+ surely?  What on earth can happen in the next three weeks leading up to xmas for him to get fired?  I assume in a hung parliement where the tories had the most seats (this is currently a flip between labour and tories who wins the most seats) he would be virtually certain to remain PM under a new coalition where the tories won the most seats.  Therefore are we not getting 5/2 about a coin flip effectively in simple terms?  Looks a cracking bet if this is the case.

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/most-seats

Given Cameron is evens to be PM after the next election generally surely there can't be much difference in that happening in May 2015 to him holding onto the PM role for another 7 months.

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/prime-minister-after-general-election

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/when-will-david-cameron-cease-to-be-prime-minister

now 15/8 from 5/2

up to you whether i proceed

Still good value at the price. £20 is fine.

[TightEnd]

31 Dec 2014 - When Will David Cameron Leave The Post Of Prime Minister? - Coalition Specials

2016 Or Later @ 15/8

Stake : £20.00
Estimated Returns : £
57.40
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001141/F
Total Stake : £20.00

[arbboy]

Havent done a Duke update for awhile they have played 5 games since my last post we beat 2 poor teams easily (army & furman) 2 ok teams comfortably (temple & stanford) last night we played #2 wisconsin in madison and led by tyus jones 22 points won 80 -70 this was a really good win against a team expected to contend for the title.

Watched the back end of the game last night.  They closed out the win in very impressive circumstances on the road to a real contender.   They would be a clear 2nd fav to me behind the obvious favs Kentucky.

[TightEnd]

The weekly basketball round up

NBA - Rookie of the Year 2014/15   Nerlens Noel   10/1   40            
NBA Rookie of the year wiggins   7.0   20            
NBA Rookie of the year   parker 3.0   40   
nba rookie of the year   wiggins   7.0   80   
NBA Rookie of the Year   Jabari Parker 3.5   50   

The latest rookie of the year ranking that i saw have parker 1, wiggins 2 and noel 4

http://www.nba.com/magic/gallery/ranking-rookie-year-candidates-11/11/14

we look very well placed indeed

         
nba championship   cavaliers   9/2   50            
NBA Championship   Cavaliers   7/2   100   £50 e/w 1/2 1,2

The Cavs have won 4 in a row to climb to 2nd in the central with a 9-7 record, behind Chicago

NBA - Atlantic Division 2014/15    Toronto Raptors   5/6   100   
NBA Championship   Toronto Raptors   66/1   20   £10 e/w 1/2 1,2

The Raptors are 15-4 and leading the Atlantic division by a long way
         
NBA - Southwest Division 2014/15    Dallas Mavericks   10/1   10

the southwest is the toughest division in the NBA. The Mavs are 15-5 yet third in a division with 4 teams over 70% win rates
            
NBA - Southwest Division 2014/15    San Antonio Spurs   1.83   60   

In the same division, at 13-5 the Surs are 4th behind memphis, houston and dallas
         
NBA Championship   Chicago Bulls   8/1   40   £20 e/w 1/2 1,2

the Bulls lead the Central ahead of the Cavs with a 12-7 record

NBA Championship   LA Clippers   12/1   40   £20 e/w 1/2 1,2

the Clippers are 2nd in the Pacific with a 13-5 record

nba season most assists   Rajan Rondo   5/2   200   £100 e/w 1/5 1,2,3 (£80 e/w sonour)

He leads as per this table with 10.9 assists per game

http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/assists/sort/avgAssists/year/2015/seasontype/2

NCAA Basketball   Duke   10/1   5            
NCAA Basketball   Duke   10/1   5            
NCAA Basketball   Duke   10   10   

Duke are unbeaten after 8 games

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/schedule/_/id/150/duke-blue-devils   

Okafor was talked about in the recommendation..he's top of the team stats

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/stats/_/id/150/duke-blue-devils
      
NBA Northwestern division   Portland Trailblazers   10/11   55   

Portland are 5 games clear in the Northwest division, at 14-4   
      
NBA MVP   A Davies   6/1   30      

this article

http://www.nba.com/2014/news/features/sekou_smith/11/28/week-4-kia-race-to-the-mvp/index.html

has him number 2 in mvp candidates

      

[tikay]

The weekly basketball round up

NBA - Rookie of the Year 2014/15   Nerlens Noel   10/1   40            
NBA Rookie of the year wiggins   7.0   20            
NBA Rookie of the year   parker 3.0   40   
nba rookie of the year   wiggins   7.0   80   
NBA Rookie of the Year   Jabari Parker 3.5   50   

The latest rookie of the year ranking that i saw have parker 1, wiggins 2 and noel 4

http://www.nba.com/magic/gallery/ranking-rookie-year-candidates-11/11/14

we look very well placed indeed

         
nba championship   cavaliers   9/2   50            
NBA Championship   Cavaliers   7/2   100   £50 e/w 1/2 1,2

The Cavs have won 4 in a row to climb to 2nd in the central with a 9-7 record, behind Chicago

NBA - Atlantic Division 2014/15    Toronto Raptors   5/6   100   
NBA Championship   Toronto Raptors   66/1   20   £10 e/w 1/2 1,2

The Raptors are 15-4 and leading the Atlantic division by a long way
         
NBA - Southwest Division 2014/15    Dallas Mavericks   10/1   10

the southwest is the toughest division in the NBA. The Mavs are 15-5 yet third in a division with 4 teams over 70% win rates
            
NBA - Southwest Division 2014/15    San Antonio Spurs   1.83   60   

In the same division, at 13-5 the Surs are 4th behind memphis, houston and dallas
         
NBA Championship   Chicago Bulls   8/1   40   £20 e/w 1/2 1,2

the Bulls lead the Central ahead of the Cavs with a 12-7 record

NBA Championship   LA Clippers   12/1   40   £20 e/w 1/2 1,2

the Clippers are 2nd in the Pacific with a 13-5 record

nba season most assists   Rajan Rondo   5/2   200   £100 e/w 1/5 1,2,3 (£80 e/w sonour)

He leads as per this table with 10.9 assists per game

http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/assists/sort/avgAssists/year/2015/seasontype/2

NCAA Basketball   Duke   10/1   5            
NCAA Basketball   Duke   10/1   5            
NCAA Basketball   Duke   10   10   

Duke are unbeaten after 8 games

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/schedule/_/id/150/duke-blue-devils   

Okafor was talked about in the recommendation..he's top of the team stats

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/stats/_/id/150/duke-blue-devils
      
NBA Northwestern division   Portland Trailblazers   10/11   55   

Portland are 5 games clear in the Northwest division, at 14-4   
      
NBA MVP   A Davies   6/1   30      

this article

http://www.nba.com/2014/news/features/sekou_smith/11/28/week-4-kia-race-to-the-mvp/index.html

has him number 2 in mvp candidates

      

That's an amazing book we have, hope plenty of others got on.

[Chompy]

Kyle Lowry ranges between 66-1 and 90-1 for MVP. Should we be interested NBA experts (and thesicilian)?

[arbboy]

Kyle Lowry ranges between 66-1 and 90-1 for MVP. Should we be interested NBA experts (and thesicilian)?

no not even the best player on his team imo.  Toronto would have to win at least 60 games imo for him to have a chance.   They have had a very easy schedule so far in the weakest Division/conference by a mile.  Looks a big price and he is a stat sheet filler and looks impressive esp as Toronto's main scorer is out injured for 6 weeks.  If the MVP was going to be awarded to someone like this Davis will be much further ahead in the queue as he is an all rounder and plays both ends of the floor to an elite level as well as playing in the toughest division in the NBA.

The Raptor's schedule is attached below and they have all the brutal games to come. They haven't faced hardly any of the West powerhouse's at all yet (none of them at all on the road). They face Lebron and the Cavs twice in the next week and the 6 game road trip over xmas and New year is as brutal as they come (including 2nd night of a back to back in Denver which is the easiest game on paper of the whole trip but the toughest altitude wise on no rest).

http://espn.go.com/nba/team/schedule/_/name/tor/toronto-raptors

Don't want to sound negative about something i put up as a max bet but it was to win their division predominately which barring a miracle from the Net's looks weighed in.

[celtic]

Feel free to enter this. 😀

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=64608.30

[Tal]

Bolton might have Gudjohnsen and Heskey up front soon. What year do the board think this is?