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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16144164 times)
peejaytwo
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« Reply #98625 on: April 09, 2015, 10:50:18 AM »

The 2.15 at Aintree is a decent ew thievery race but gets better with the quarter odds concession. 10/1 Devilment at Joke Coral would be good for those that can and in the shops i wouldn't ask for more than £20ew.
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« Reply #98626 on: April 09, 2015, 10:55:33 AM »

Don't forget WH are money back if 2nd, so would be best to get some picks in the value races. I like Bristol De Mai quite a bit, not particularly against the favourite, but is surely overpriced now the fav is short. EVS yesterday for the fav.

Not quite sure if to go with hargam or BDM, but devilment also surely not a bad shout with the offer too.

Devilment 10-1 quarter odds >>>> 8-1 fifth odds with offer
Likewise BDM 8-1 quarter odds >> 7-1 fifth odds with offer

Don't know how far you want to go on this race such as this as it is obvious to the bookies.  Note what peejay2 says.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #98627 on: April 09, 2015, 12:02:36 PM »

The 2.15 at Aintree is a decent ew thievery race but gets better with the quarter odds concession. 10/1 Devilment at Joke Coral would be good for those that can and in the shops i wouldn't ask for more than £20ew.

Shops are 1/5 only Sad
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TightEnd
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« Reply #98628 on: April 09, 2015, 12:08:45 PM »

Can someone do £15 e/w Intense Tango 2.15 Aintree Bet365 for us please?

i am trying to be careful, spread three each way bets around rather than do one outlet for three bets in an obvious e/w race

thanks in advance
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Marky147
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« Reply #98629 on: April 09, 2015, 12:14:13 PM »

Can someone do £15 e/w Intense Tango 2.15 Aintree Bet365 for us please?

i am trying to be careful, spread three each way bets around rather than do one outlet for three bets in an obvious e/w race

thanks in advance

Done
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« Reply #98630 on: April 09, 2015, 12:14:27 PM »

Betfred

£15.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
2m 1f Juv Hurdle
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2,3    Bristol De Mai    15/2    
Total stake   £ 30.00
Estimated return   £ 170.63
Full stake   £ 30.00
Full estimated return   £ 170.63

taking 17/2 1/4 rather than 8/1 1/5



Corals, a 50% restriction on Devilment at 10-1

09/04/2015 11:35AM
Single
Each Way
£ 15.00
2 x £ 7.50

i got a bit more on at 365, again a 50-60% restriction

1    
Devilment
   2.15 Aintree (RACE 2)
Win and Each Way    09/04/2015    10/1
   3 Places
1/4 Odds    To Run
Unit Stake 3.00  EW Single    Stake 6.00
4. Devilment - 2:15 Aintree - Win or Each Way @ 10/1
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TightEnd
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« Reply #98631 on: April 09, 2015, 12:15:38 PM »

Can someone do £15 e/w Intense Tango 2.15 Aintree Bet365 for us please?

i am trying to be careful, spread three each way bets around rather than do one outlet for three bets in an obvious e/w race

thanks in advance

Done

thanks

so we have covered Rob and Jakally's e/w's in that



Is Hargam something for the WH offer? 8/11, 8-1 bar......
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peejaytwo
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« Reply #98632 on: April 09, 2015, 12:16:35 PM »

The 2.15 at Aintree is a decent ew thievery race but gets better with the quarter odds concession. 10/1 Devilment at Joke Coral would be good for those that can and in the shops i wouldn't ask for more than £20ew.

Shops are 1/5 only Sad

Not surprised with these, just hoped oddschecker was correct. Saved me a trip tho so thx for the help.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #98633 on: April 09, 2015, 12:16:59 PM »

As we all know Augusta is a "form horse" course, with clear correlation of historic form compensating for current momentum and form. A few players are always worth of consideration; Couples, Scott, Cabrera etc always mentioned.

My preference is for the eternal bridesmaid Lee Westwood. Since 2009 and his second coming he's become imo a course specialist. His form reads 30/11/43/2/11/3/8/7 - been battling with best way to play him all week. 13/8 Coral Top 20 looks ok, although I am leaning towards 50/1 Ew bfsb 7 places.  His 2015 form is solid if not spectacular - he's in good nick, 5 top 20s from 7 starts and one missed cut latest which probably impacts proce slightly.

The problem with later is his obvious inability win a major making the win part -Ev when backable at 60/1 on machine but the old romantic in me doesn't think he hasn't got a major in him.

Reccomend

£50 Top 20 at 13/8 Corals
£10ew BFSB at 50/1 7 places


man alive, Shaun.

Westwood?! on those greens?

i'll throw it open. i think play starts at 12.45pm. views for or against through the morning please

His putting has been good so far this season.

2012 – Ranked 175th on tour for strokes gained putting
2013 – Ranked 168th on tour for strokes gained putting
2014 – Ranked 65th on tour for strokes gained putting
2015 – Ranked 28th on tour for strokes gained putting (after 7 events)

Looks like an improving picture.

I know we got 15/8 last year on the top 20 for Westwood, no one has been that silly this year. I had a small interest on the outright.


thank you

any more Westwood thoughts before i decide what to do?
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« Reply #98634 on: April 09, 2015, 12:20:09 PM »

Adz mentioned that he might have something for the Foxhunters?


secondly in Honey glazed Parsnip at least they aren't sprouts Pete's race...looks another good e/w heat. anyone want to put another one up?


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Tonji
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« Reply #98635 on: April 09, 2015, 12:23:18 PM »

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Paris-Roubaix on Sunday.



http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/one-day-classics/paris-roubaix/winner

Just a prompt really for CWS & nell if they have any thoughts?

I've Vanmarcke from earlier in the season when he was looking like the Classics rider to beat, but after Flanders not so sure, & price has drifted.

Wiggins has been tipped up by a few Pros in the peloton, Boonen & Paulini have both mentioned he is the favourite. Certainly this is his season's goal & training has been geared for here. Certainly can't see it if it rains, dry though, just maybe he ends his road career with a win in the toughest Classic?




paris - roubaix looks difficult. i couldn't have wiggins,  would love to see it but compared to the main favourites his classics experience and palmares is limited. kristoff in ridiculous form, strong show coming 2nd in msr, 2 stages win in tour of de panne and pb in the time trail, then won tour of flanders, 11/2 is tight for cycling but he couldnt be in better form. normally would only consider than price for a cancellera or boonen, times have changed though. is there going to be rain about? if so, stannard 33's, mudlark :-)

Latest forecast is dry & warm. Dustbowl!

Can't disagree with Kristoff, just have some doubts that P-R is not ideal for him. Previous results are DNF DNF 57 9 DNF. The race is all about positioning for each pave sector until the final 50km where the strongest fight it out, dont think Katusha have the team to do this, Paulini is not so comfortable here, I think.

Agree with Jacky Durand re how Wiggins can only win if he can tactically ride a perfect final:

Quote
“It’s a less explosive race that Flanders, sure, but if Wiggins wants to win Roubaix, he’s still going to have to have to show some explosiveness, maybe at the Carrefour de l’Arbre, because there are some riders he just has to get rid of,” Durand says. “If he ends up in a sprint in the velodrome, then I think he’s likely to come up against two or three riders who are quicker than him. I know he knows the track well, but this isn’t an individual pursuit and well, the Roubaix velodrome isn’t really a track – it’s still more of a sprint for road riders.”

8/1 Wiggins too short to get involved, but would love to see him smash this race apart & time trial to victory.

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« Reply #98636 on: April 09, 2015, 12:34:08 PM »

Can someone do £15 e/w Intense Tango 2.15 Aintree Bet365 for us please?

i am trying to be careful, spread three each way bets around rather than do one outlet for three bets in an obvious e/w race

thanks in advance

Done

thanks

so we have covered Rob and Jakally's e/w's in that



Is Hargam something for the WH offer? 8/11, 8-1 bar......

Should do, yes.  National and masters will give plenty of options for any free bet too
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« Reply #98637 on: April 09, 2015, 12:47:52 PM »

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Paris-Roubaix on Sunday.



http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/one-day-classics/paris-roubaix/winner

Just a prompt really for CWS & nell if they have any thoughts?

I've Vanmarcke from earlier in the season when he was looking like the Classics rider to beat, but after Flanders not so sure, & price has drifted.

Wiggins has been tipped up by a few Pros in the peloton, Boonen & Paulini have both mentioned he is the favourite. Certainly this is his season's goal & training has been geared for here. Certainly can't see it if it rains, dry though, just maybe he ends his road career with a win in the toughest Classic?




paris - roubaix looks difficult. i couldn't have wiggins,  would love to see it but compared to the main favourites his classics experience and palmares is limited. kristoff in ridiculous form, strong show coming 2nd in msr, 2 stages win in tour of de panne and pb in the time trail, then won tour of flanders, 11/2 is tight for cycling but he couldnt be in better form. normally would only consider than price for a cancellera or boonen, times have changed though. is there going to be rain about? if so, stannard 33's, mudlark :-)

Latest forecast is dry & warm. Dustbowl!

Can't disagree with Kristoff, just have some doubts that P-R is not ideal for him. Previous results are DNF DNF 57 9 DNF. The race is all about positioning for each pave sector until the final 50km where the strongest fight it out, dont think Katusha have the team to do this, Paulini is not so comfortable here, I think.

Agree with Jacky Durand re how Wiggins can only win if he can tactically ride a perfect final:

Quote
“It’s a less explosive race that Flanders, sure, but if Wiggins wants to win Roubaix, he’s still going to have to have to show some explosiveness, maybe at the Carrefour de l’Arbre, because there are some riders he just has to get rid of,” Durand says. “If he ends up in a sprint in the velodrome, then I think he’s likely to come up against two or three riders who are quicker than him. I know he knows the track well, but this isn’t an individual pursuit and well, the Roubaix velodrome isn’t really a track – it’s still more of a sprint for road riders.”

8/1 Wiggins too short to get involved, but would love to see him smash this race apart & time trial to victory.



ah, i had rather sadistically hoped for biblical rains and carnage :-) wiggins surely not be hanging on for a sprint, need the rest of the team to blitz it from half way then try and escape alone. would be amazing to see, a fitting send off, but he won't carry any of my money. kristoffs form figures would be a huge worry, but he's a different man now, almost too good (!) stybar would be another i like, 2nd string for ettix so may get given a little rope by others to get into a small break nearing the finish, kind of how terpstra won last year when they all watched boonen. he was dece in flanders up until climbs found him out, 8/1 about right though. now i've given up on peter sagan he obviously wins at a canter ... trying to find a value alternative is proving difficult, demare at 40's? 2nd in junior paris-roubaix, team seemed to have responded to a bollocking and rode hard for him at the 3 days of de panne, would be a player if it went down to a sprint
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« Reply #98638 on: April 09, 2015, 12:57:11 PM »

Can someone do £15 e/w Intense Tango 2.15 Aintree Bet365 for us please?

i am trying to be careful, spread three each way bets around rather than do one outlet for three bets in an obvious e/w race

thanks in advance

Done

thanks

so we have covered Rob and Jakally's e/w's in that



Is Hargam something for the WH offer? 8/11, 8-1 bar......

Should do, yes.  National and masters will give plenty of options for any free bet too

£25 Hargam 8/11 WH offer, money back as free bet if 2nd

i note they are 10-1 Bristol De Mai on a lunchtime offer currently, at e/w 1/5
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« Reply #98639 on: April 09, 2015, 01:03:22 PM »

Have in the back of my mind Degenkolb. Form is still good after Milan-SR, with his best result in Flanders. Decent team working for him, & tactically savvy. 10/1 on betty, he'll be half that if still in the mix 20km to go.

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