Tips for Tikay

[Karabiner]

I was too late, they were going in the traps when I wanted to post after I got matched @3.4.

That's the trouble with dogging it all sounds a bit like after-timing if you tell anyone...

Ah well, never mind, next time maybe.

We have a good price about the jolly in the next, Dubai tipped it at 9/4, it is now varying between 5/4 and 7/4, though maybe Dubai has waded in and caused that!

Anything over 6/4 seems well-worth taking about this 4-dog IMO glad you're on early.

[MereNovice]

Bansha Mo 11/10.

[bobby1]

It's a great bet irrespective of the result.

[ACE2M]

top work dubai

[MereNovice]

What's the best dog in the next race?

[tikay]

Not even a sweat!

Dubai rules.

[Graham C]

Reading my new Cheltenham guide, betting on the odds to win over evens (horse numbers) has a slight advantage over evens as there's one more of them in every race with odd numbers of runners. Currently available at just over evens at betfair.  

Does that count or is it a silly bet too?

Well it does for me as I haven't got a clue what you're on about.

If you have an odd number of consecutive integers (starting from one) and pick one of those numbers at random, you are more likely to pick an odd number than an even one, i.e. if you have the integers 1, 2, 3 there is a 2/1 chance that the number you pick will be odd.

In plain English, then...because there can be more "odd-numbered" runners than even numbered, but never more even-numbered than odd. So it's EITHER identical, or one extra odd-numbered runner.

I think.

Yes. Also, the smaller the field the better the edge is.

Can you really bet on tosh like this?

Precisely.

And yes, it seems we can bet on anything, these days!

It used to be just finding the winner, now there are so many more ways to lose money.

Anyway, incoming dog tip hoped for from Karabiner this evening. We are preparing to plunge.

There must be a logical reason odd isn't favourite.

Although I'm struggling to work out what it is.

I know nothing about racing but do they have a number 13 or is it omitted?
Also, there is a chance that there will be an equal number of odd and even winners over an even number of races.
If the course favours the high numbers, that would also reduce the edge for odd numbers.

Draws are unlikely as there's an odd number of races.  You'd need a dead heat in one of the races for there to be a draw.

[Sighmuns]

TOP tipping, that dog was a bullet!

[The Camel]

Did you green out of Bansha Mo at the first bend Novice?

[bobby1]

lovely stuff.

[Ironside]

i grreened out just before the start of race i am a freaking mug but a risk free bet is the type i prefer

[claypole]

Different gravy that Dubai

[Karabiner]

i grreened out just before the start of race i am a freaking mug but a risk free bet is the type i prefer

We've seen your attempts to get a round in at blonde bashes..

[MereNovice]

Did you green out of Bansha Mo at the first bend Novice?

I laid it before the off - only joking.
There's a slight difference to a dog race and watching Shrewsbury getting battered for over an hour and fluking a lead.

[maccol]

Thanks Dubai