Tips for Tikay

[adnmdv]

[ ] EV betting closing prices 3% off best price

In general, if you're betting at close and you're not taking best price, you're in a bad -EV spot.

[The Camel]

I hope this bet loses.

But I'm certain it's value.

£100 Sunderland to beat QPR at Evs with Bet365

Rangers will be physically and emotionally shot after tonight's heroics.

It is almost the perfect let down spot. An unfancied team makes a huge comeback and then faces a long road trip versus a strong home team.

Sunderland were poor on Tuesday but that came very soon after an important cup tie.

Since Martin O'Neill took over, Sunderlands home form has been immense. They've beaten Man City, Arsenal (in the cup) and Liverpool.

O'Neill will not stand for another performance of the quality of Tuesday's defeat at Blackburn.

Evens is huge.

I hope this bet loses.

[bobby1]

I hope this bet loses.

But I'm certain it's value.

£100 Sunderland to beat QPR at Evs with Bet365

Rangers will be physically and emotionally shot after tonight's heroics.

It is almost the perfect let down spot. An unfancied team makes a huge comeback and then faces a long road trip versus a strong home team.

Sunderland were poor on Tuesday but that came very soon after an important cup tie.

Since Martin O'Neill took over, Sunderlands home form has been immense. They've beaten Man City, Arsenal (in the cup) and Liverpool.

O'Neill will not stand for another performance of the quality of Tuesday's defeat at Blackburn.

Evens is huge.

I hope this bet loses.

Do you think there is a big chance Sunderland will have half a team out with a cup replay next midweek being their biggest game. Everton could do the same away at Swansea too.

[TheDazzler]

I hope this bet loses.

But I'm certain it's value.

£100 Sunderland to beat QPR at Evs with Bet365

Rangers will be physically and emotionally shot after tonight's heroics.

It is almost the perfect let down spot. An unfancied team makes a huge comeback and then faces a long road trip versus a strong home team.

Sunderland were poor on Tuesday but that came very soon after an important cup tie.

Since Martin O'Neill took over, Sunderlands home form has been immense. They've beaten Man City, Arsenal (in the cup) and Liverpool.

O'Neill will not stand for another performance of the quality of Tuesday's defeat at Blackburn.

Evens is huge.

I hope this bet loses.

Do you think there is a big chance Sunderland will have half a team out with a cup replay next midweek being their biggest game. Everton could do the same away at Swansea too.

There is certainly a chance of this imo. It might be wise to wait and see lineups first. If Sunderland put out full strength, I agree that evens looks big.

I also think I will have a small bet on Wigan away at Liverpool @ 8/1 draw no bet with Bet365.
Wigan have been pretty decent in their last couple of games, Pool are dire and with a home record of 5 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeat they cannot be backed with any confidence. Added to that their league season is over and they are still in the FA Cup whilst Wigan are fighting for their premiership lives.
As Pool have drawn more than half their home games, the DNB is a very decent saver. Also Wigan do tend to pull out one or two very surprisingly good results every season. And Wigans away form is actually better than their home form this season.
Home: 1 win, 7 draws, 7 defeats. Away: 3 wins, 3 draws, 8 defeats.

[JaffaCake]

New Orleands 45-44 up at ht, come on u 'orns!

[The Camel]

I hope this bet loses.

But I'm certain it's value.

£100 Sunderland to beat QPR at Evs with Bet365

Rangers will be physically and emotionally shot after tonight's heroics.

It is almost the perfect let down spot. An unfancied team makes a huge comeback and then faces a long road trip versus a strong home team.

Sunderland were poor on Tuesday but that came very soon after an important cup tie.

Since Martin O'Neill took over, Sunderlands home form has been immense. They've beaten Man City, Arsenal (in the cup) and Liverpool.

O'Neill will not stand for another performance of the quality of Tuesday's defeat at Blackburn.

Evens is huge.

I hope this bet loses.

Do you think there is a big chance Sunderland will have half a team out with a cup replay next midweek being their biggest game. Everton could do the same away at Swansea too.

Possibility.

Although Sessignon (easily their best player and most potent threat imo) has missed the last 3 due his red card v Newcastle, so I'm sure he'll play. Cattermole back too?

I'll do some research, but I wouldn't have thought O'Neill was the sort of manager to put out a massively weakened team.

[tikay]

Half time in the Basketball........


Warriors 45, Hornets 44......
 

[tikay]

New Orleands 45-44 up at ht, come on u 'orns!

Sorry Jeff, posted before I saw that.

It's close........

PS - How can he turn up with quads there? 8's full was the nuts. The board gave no clues at all, that I could see. 6-8-9-6-6.

[tikay]

1 minute left in the third qtr, we trail 73-65. Whoops.

Off to bed now, not sure where the Pros watch the scores, but for newbies like me, this works......

http://scores.espn.go.com/nba/scoreboard

[tikay]

We trail 75-72, botttom of the 3rd......

I'm off to bed.

[MereNovice]

We trail 75-72, botttom of the 3rd......

I'm off to bed.

Golden State squeaked home 101-92.

[JaffaCake]

Ugly, sorry chaps. So weird, I watched a stream of the game and NO were winning 57-51 and going along nicely. The stream broke, I tried to fix it for five mins, gave up and looked up the score and they were seven down. Thought it was a mistake but apparently GS went on a 20-5 run at the very moment the stream broke and that was the beginning of the end. Every time I back a game, someone has a career night in the opposition, happened again, sigh

[MereNovice]

Cricket
New Zealand v South Africa 3rd Test
South Africa to win at evens on Sporting Bet

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/new-zealand-v-south-africa/new-zealand-v-south-africa-tests/new-zealand-v-south-africa-[3rd-test]/winner

Sporting Bet seem out of line with all the other bookies who seem to vary from 1.67 to 1.8 for South Africa.

Pros:
SA have a vastly superior team.
SA thumped NZ in the 2nd Test.
The pitch is forecast to offer something for both (good) batsmen and bowlers.

Cons:
NZ are likely to pick a stronger batting line-up than in the first two tests.
There may be rain during the match (although nothing heavy is forecast).
http://www.metservice.com/towns-cities/wellington

Another good (probably better) bet is South African top bowler where you can get Vernon Philander at 5/2 on several sites. This market is for the bowler who takes most wickets for his team in the first innings. Philander has been a winner for this bet in both the first two test and took ten wickets in total in the 2nd test.
It's really a two horse race between him and Dale Steyn (also available at 5/2) but I favour Philander and those odds seem very favourable for a slightly better than evens shot in my eyes.

Bully-off is at 9:30pm tonight.

If you're just looking to take one bet, go with Philander for best bowler.

[tikay]

Beautifully presented summary Mr Mere, thank you.

I think, given the way you have laid that out, I'll go for both.

Will get to work shortly, thank you, assuming we have any shillings left in the piggy bank.

I'll do yesterdays Update first, though, as I would prefer not to incluide that bet in yesterday's numbers. One or two a day suits just nicely.

[tikay]

Any sign of poor ChipRich?

You've scared him away, you bullies!