Tips for Tikay

[MereNovice]

^^Think I took too long writing that up, sorry teeks, think the games have started....as I said, all about the....timing

You could have posted a couple of hours earlier and he'd have missed it.
I think that I can hear him snoring - he's old, you know.

[TheDazzler]

Another small bet, maybe £10, on Stoke DNB v Man City @ 7/2 on PaddyP?
They have virtually identical home vs away records,
Stoke W6 L4
City W7 L4
Stoke haven't been great at home this season compared to previous ones but they have won their last 2 without conceding and its one of those places that the top sides hate going to (they have beaten Spurs and drawn with Chelsea and Man Utd there this season).
Citys away form is the reason Utd have now overtaken them, W2 L4 in their last 8 away prem games. Added to that Kompany and Lescott are still out and Ethrington (significant) and Fuller (less significant) return for Stoke.

Don't back this. Stoke are awful against teams that can stroke it around. Check arsenal, Swansea,citeh.

A month ago, 26th Feb,
Stoke 2 Swansea 0.
They haven't played Arsenal at home yet this season but they are unbeaten at home against City in the 3 home games since they returned to the Prem, winning 1 and drawing 2.
Away, your point probably holds true but Stoke are a different side at home.

[tikay]

^^Think I took too long writing that up, sorry teeks, think the games have started....as I said, all about the....timing

You could have posted a couple of hours earlier and he'd have missed it.
I think that I can hear him snoring - he's old, you know.

Wide awake here, snooze time was this afternoon!

[tikay]

^^Think I took too long writing that up, sorry teeks, think the games have started....as I said, all about the....timing

Lol, never mind, we've invested plenty today.

Type faster next time. You want typing lessons?

[tikay]

hi mate,

Brentford v Rochdale tomorrow. Have £100 on Rochdale + 1/2 on the Asian handicap with VC at 1.98( 1.99) with Pinnacle Sports, but I'm guessing you don't bet there.

Since Brentford let their top scorer leave they haven't scored a goal in three games, they have signed Clinton Morrison on loan to give them  more options up front but he isn't better then they already have. They are now stuck mid table and are one of those teams that seem to be fighting for nothing between now an the end of the season.

Rochdale are in the bottom 4 but have improved a little since Coleman took over but it is their recent run of games that catches my eye. In their last 7 games they have played 5 teams in the current top 8 in the Div. They lost by one goal to Notts County and Carlisle.

They drew with Charlton, Sheff Weds and Huddersfield. Their two other games were a 3-2 win in their local derby against Oldham and a 2-0 defeat to Tranmere who are one of the form teams in the league now they have a new manager in.

I think getting Rochdale and the draw on your side is good, so betting the + 1/2 on the Asian is the way to go. Taking 1.98 you are basically laying Brentford at just over evens, which is now the lay price on Betfair if you were to lay Brentford there, but on the Asian you are not paying any commission.

cheers, good luck with your footy mate

Thanks Phil.

ON, £100 @ 1.970 with Betvictor.


23/03/2012 GBP 100.00 Single: ROCHDALE (+0.5) @ 1.970
Brentford v Rochdale ENG League One
Asian Handicap (-0.5) - Current Score (0:0)
 Rochdale (+0.5)  1.970  Win only  Unsettled  

[MereNovice]

Covers off in Wellington.

[tikay]

Covers off in Wellington.

Excellent!

I can sleep soundly now.

[ACE2M]

No slight by the way mate. Check our overall record v top sides, its woeful. Pulis sets the team out to be drawing 0-0 at 80 mins and hope for a set piece goal. He's not playin penant due to a fall out and diao is starting who is by some distance the poorest player in  the prem. We aren't playin at the same intensity as we did at the start of the season, already got nothing to play for. They will control midfield easily if whelen doesn't play and spank us 3 or 4 nil.

[JaffaCake]

^^Think I took too long writing that up, sorry teeks, think the games have started....as I said, all about the....timing

Lol, never mind, we've invested plenty today.

Type faster next time. You want typing lessons?

I observed your typing skills in Walsall. I came over ready to real off some badbeats and ended up staring at u dumbfounded. Just presumed the first game always starts at midnight (apart from weekends), didn't know they did earlier on Fridays, and obv my two were early. Good news is Hibbert scored 10 in the first quarter and Orlando 31....just like poker, my timing's just a little off at the mo

[tikay]

Another small bet, maybe £10, on Stoke DNB v Man City @ 7/2 on PaddyP?
They have virtually identical home vs away records,
Stoke W6 L4
City W7 L4
Stoke haven't been great at home this season compared to previous ones but they have won their last 2 without conceding and its one of those places that the top sides hate going to (they have beaten Spurs and drawn with Chelsea and Man Utd there this season).
Citys away form is the reason Utd have now overtaken them, W2 L4 in their last 8 away prem games. Added to that Kompany and Lescott are still out and Ethrington (significant) and Fuller (less significant) return for Stoke.

I'll take a look at that in the morning, Mr D.

Early reaction looks a tad hostile!

[MereNovice]

Another small bet, maybe £10, on Stoke DNB v Man City @ 7/2 on PaddyP?
They have virtually identical home vs away records,
Stoke W6 L4
City W7 L4
Stoke haven't been great at home this season compared to previous ones but they have won their last 2 without conceding and its one of those places that the top sides hate going to (they have beaten Spurs and drawn with Chelsea and Man Utd there this season).
Citys away form is the reason Utd have now overtaken them, W2 L4 in their last 8 away prem games. Added to that Kompany and Lescott are still out and Ethrington (significant) and Fuller (less significant) return for Stoke.

I'll take a look at that in the morning, Mr D.

Early rection looks a tad hostile!

You should get a doctor to look at that.

[tikay]

Another small bet, maybe £10, on Stoke DNB v Man City @ 7/2 on PaddyP?
They have virtually identical home vs away records,
Stoke W6 L4
City W7 L4
Stoke haven't been great at home this season compared to previous ones but they have won their last 2 without conceding and its one of those places that the top sides hate going to (they have beaten Spurs and drawn with Chelsea and Man Utd there this season).
Citys away form is the reason Utd have now overtaken them, W2 L4 in their last 8 away prem games. Added to that Kompany and Lescott are still out and Ethrington (significant) and Fuller (less significant) return for Stoke.

I'll take a look at that in the morning, Mr D.

Early rection looks a tad hostile!

You should get a doctor to look at that.

!

Whoops.

[bobby1]

No neeed for a doctor, If am getting an early rection every day when I am 50 I will be over the moon  

[ACE2M]

Adm. Regardless of the debate content etc its the thought process from all you guys that's gold. I'd like to see pricing models explained more. Maybe people would be prepared to put prices up before the books? just for fun.

[TheDazzler]

No slight by the way mate. Check our overall record v top sides, its woeful. Pulis sets the team out to be drawing 0-0 at 80 mins and hope for a set piece goal. He's not playin penant due to a fall out and diao is starting who is by some distance the poorest player in  the prem. We aren't playin at the same intensity as we did at the start of the season, already got nothing to play for. They will control midfield easily if whelen doesn't play and spank us 3 or 4 nil.

I didn't take any offence
They won 2, drew 2, lost 2 at home to the top 6 last season. Not great, not bad.
They actually beat City at home in a FA Cup game in 2010 so have won 2, drawn 2 of their 4 home games with them since getting promoted.
Diao is out with a hamstring and Whelan will probably deputise. Stoke almost always lose the possession battle (win, lose or draw) due to their style of play in any case and will probably do so again but I don't foresee them getting spanked. But it's possible with a team like City of course.
Meh, it's certainly not hugely +EV anyway, if at all, so I'm happy enough to bin it. I'm not backing it myself as I can only get 3/1 on Bet365.