Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Ugh. Well I'm not on, but for those who are, I hope it holds.

[TheWhisper]

recommended aintree special bet

bet suggestion £40 at 11-10 stan james

the bet is biggest winning sp 33-1 - 50-1 sp inclusive during the aintree festival.

This is a stats based bet , in the last ten years this bet would have landed in nine of these ten years. Interestingly the only year it failed was in 2009 were all 3 winners during this period of over 50-1 occured (possible freak year or just luck?). The ground is going to be good-good to soft which has been the normal going over this period.

Betfair have a market for this to of which i have managed to get a small amount matched at a slightly higher price than 11-10, however currently evens looks the very best available there. Stan james were laying 5-4 yesterday but i still feel anything above 4-5 is a very good price.

Interesting, & unless some parameter has moved, 9 times in 10 years seems extraordinary.

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/racing-specials/season-specials/aintree-festival/biggest-winning-sp

WINNER

Wow, well done Mr horseplayer.

Was I on? Don't ask.

Had a challenging day elsewhere, & never got round it it.

Hope plenty of you guys did, though. Not even a sweat, halfway through Day One, in it pops. Excellent.

As doubleup says, it's not a winner yet.
Any race winner over 50/1 for the rest of the meeting and the bet loses.

Ah, misread.

I thought it was just a winner returning at said price.

As you were....

[horseplayer]

if only it was that easy!

i was lucky that one didnt return 66-1 tbh

[a.sparrow]

I like the look of Malaga tonight away at Villarreal, odds of 6/4 Ladbrokes or Paddy Power and some others.  Malaga super strong at home winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 3, but not so strong away only winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 8.  However they've got a very decent team and have been playing well lately, only having lost once in their last 6 and that was at home, included in those last 6 games was a 1-1 draw away at Real Madrid and a 2-1 away win at Espanyol.

Villarreal have had a poor season sit in 17th place, terrible on the road but more solid at home, drawing 8 of their games, winning 5 and losing 2.  They've only won once in their last 6, altho they also drew vs Real Madrid at home 1-1.  Depsite their solid home form I think Malaga should have enough fire power to outgun them, they are fighting for 3rd spot with Valencia who won 4-1 last night.  They've got the better form right now and should hopefully have the confidence to beat them.

I don't think it will be a walk in the park but at 6/4 im going to be backing them tonight.

[Dubai]

Have any amount u can get on Barny averaging over 99.5 with VC. Arguably bet of the year so far

[henrik777]

Have any amount u can get on Barny averaging over 99.5 with VC. Arguably bet of the year so far

Strange line given his tournament average is higher then this. 8/11. 105.93 last time against Taylor when he lost 8-4.

Sandy

[tikay]

OK, the aftenoon meditation has done the trick, lets get going & get some winners.

[tikay]

Have any amount u can get on Barny averaging over 99.5 with VC. Arguably bet of the year so far

ON

Max bet with current 'roll, £100 with BETFRED @ Evens. You never quoted a price, but I'm hoping evens is OK.  (VC are now 8/11, some bugger must have got it all).

Taylor v Van Barneveld
3 Dart Average Player B
 Van Barneveld, Raymond - Over 101.5 EVS 
Total stake £ 100.00
Estimated return £ 200.00

Full stake £ 100.00
Full estimated return £ 200.00

[tikay]

I like the look of Malaga tonight away at Villarreal, odds of 6/4 Ladbrokes or Paddy Power and some others.  Malaga super strong at home winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 3, but not so strong away only winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 8.  However they've got a very decent team and have been playing well lately, only having lost once in their last 6 and that was at home, included in those last 6 games was a 1-1 draw away at Real Madrid and a 2-1 away win at Espanyol.

Villarreal have had a poor season sit in 17th place, terrible on the road but more solid at home, drawing 8 of their games, winning 5 and losing 2.  They've only won once in their last 6, altho they also drew vs Real Madrid at home 1-1.  Depsite their solid home form I think Malaga should have enough fire power to outgun them, they are fighting for 3rd spot with Valencia who won 4-1 last night.  They've got the better form right now and should hopefully have the confidence to beat them.

I don't think it will be a walk in the park but at 6/4 im going to be backing them tonight.

Thanks Mr Sparrow.

We beat that 6/4, & got 7/4 with BETFRED, which, if as close as you suggest, looks decent value.

ON

£50 @ 7/4 with BETFRED

Villarreal v MalagaMatch Betting
 Malaga 7/4 
Total stake £ 50.00
Estimated return £ 137.50

Full stake £ 50.00
Full estimated return £ 137.50

[tikay]

Have any amount u can get on Barny averaging over 99.5 with VC. Arguably bet of the year so far

Strange line given his tournament average is higher then this. 8/11. 105.93 last time against Taylor when he lost 8-4.

Sandy

He is stll Evens with Betfred.

[Snowball]

Have any amount u can get on Barny averaging over 99.5 with VC. Arguably bet of the year so far

ON

Max bet with current 'roll, £100 with BETFRED @ Evens. You never quoted a price, but I'm hoping evens is OK.  (VC are now 8/11, some bugger must have got it all).

Taylor v Van Barneveld
3 Dart Average Player B
 Van Barneveld, Raymond - Over 101.5 EVS 
Total stake £ 100.00
Estimated return £ 200.00

Full stake £ 100.00
Full estimated return £ 200.00

Thats the wrong bet mate, should have been over 99.5 with VC @8/11

[Simon Galloway]

Have any amount u can get on Barny averaging over 99.5 with VC. Arguably bet of the year so far

[tikay]

dgdsdshshsdgggge, back to bed.

[tikay]

Well I can take the loss like & pay the price of putting bets on whilst still half asleep, or try & dig myself out of this........

ON

£100 BetVictor, £100 @ 8/11.


Phil Taylor v Raymond Van Barneveld
Over 99.5
(3-Dart Average - Raymond Van Barneveld)
Odds:  8/11
Stake:  100.00
Possible Return:  172.72

[tikay]

Have any amount u can get on Barny averaging over 99.5 with VC. Arguably bet of the year so far

Strange line given his tournament average is higher then this. 8/11. 105.93 last time against Taylor when he lost 8-4.

Sandy

He is stll Evens with Betfred.

Ignore him, he's demented.