Tips for Tikay

[Karabiner]

With Murphy losing, the draw has really opened up for Judd Trump

Steven Lee also losing 5-4 after the first session Rich, are you on Trump?

I think it's the Trump/Selby final that a few of us are on at a decent price.

[henrik777]

If anyone wants a 25% one year investment Celtic are 1/4 for next years SPL. Given Rangers transfer ban, the fact many of the players will not take the drop in wages for next year and the fact the club looks like it won't survive 1/4 is better than any ISA i've seen.

Paddy power 1/4 is massive for the 2012/13 spl title.

Sandy

[redsimon]

If anyone wants a 25% one year investment Celtic are 1/4 for next years SPL. Given Rangers transfer ban, the fact many of the players will not take the drop in wages for next year and the fact the club looks like it won't survive 1/4 is better than any ISA i've seen.

Paddy power 1/4 is massive for the 2012/13 spl title.

Sandy

cant imagine they will take a three figure let alone four or five figure bet though

[tikay]

If anyone wants a 25% one year investment Celtic are 1/4 for next years SPL. Given Rangers transfer ban, the fact many of the players will not take the drop in wages for next year and the fact the club looks like it won't survive 1/4 is better than any ISA i've seen.

Paddy power 1/4 is massive for the 2012/13 spl title.

Sandy

Nailed on, but I don't really want to tie up a lump of money (it would need to be a sizeable lump, too) for best part of 12 months, but thanks anyway.

Sandy - any "feel" yet for the World Snooker frames bet we have?

[tikay]

Again I think Rangers away to Celtic is fairly big value at 7/2 and being an away game isn't nearly as good as the 3/1 at home... But again its my own team so unsure if its a "valid" tip

This Sunday, yes?

As you say, own team, so let's wait a day or two and see what views are posted. If none, or no strong anti, then we will have a little dabble.

Thanks.

Best price now 18/5 with BetVictor.

Its probably best holding off on this one until nearer the time, the Rangers situation is very fluid at the minute with some penalties handed down tonight by the SFA which will on impact any bids for the club (12 month transfer embargo).

I would be tempted to look at the total bookings points when they have been priced up as I have a feeling it will kick off big time. Rangers have their backs to the wall and both teams have nothing to play for so some old scores may be settled as suspensions aren't going to be a great deterant.

Think I'm inclined to agree with that.

[henrik777]

If anyone wants a 25% one year investment Celtic are 1/4 for next years SPL. Given Rangers transfer ban, the fact many of the players will not take the drop in wages for next year and the fact the club looks like it won't survive 1/4 is better than any ISA i've seen.

Paddy power 1/4 is massive for the 2012/13 spl title.

Sandy

Nailed on, but I don't really want to tie up a lump of money (it would need to be a sizeable lump, too) for best part of 12 months, but thanks anyway.

Sandy - any "feel" yet for the World Snooker frames bet we have?

Yeah, Celtic is not a bet more a long term investment.

Pretty good shape on snooker so far i'd say. Aiming for 255 first round and so far 127/8 completed matches.

Sandy

[Hairydude]

If anyone wants a 25% one year investment Celtic are 1/4 for next years SPL. Given Rangers transfer ban, the fact many of the players will not take the drop in wages for next year and the fact the club looks like it won't survive 1/4 is better than any ISA i've seen.

Paddy power 1/4 is massive for the 2012/13 spl title.

Sandy

Nailed on, but I don't really want to tie up a lump of money (it would need to be a sizeable lump, too) for best part of 12 months, but thanks anyway.

Sandy - any "feel" yet for the World Snooker frames bet we have?

Yeah, Celtic is not a bet more a long term investment.

Pretty good shape on snooker so far i'd say. Aiming for 255 first round and so far 127/8 completed matches.

Sandy

Agreed 1/4 is HUGE but the difficulty will be on getting a lot on; If you had a spare £10k you could get on would be excellent investment

As for the weekend fixture; I think Sandy is correct in that a lot of our 1st teamers on the high wages will be leaving so this will be very likely their last Old Firm fixture which I think will only add to Rangers value. One major drawback is Steven Davis is out of the fixture and when Rangers win Old Firm fixtures he is usually at the very heart of it so that has probably been incorporated in the price. I still think anything over 3/1 for this fixture on either team is pretty huge. Will probably be different next year when we lose our players

[horseplayer]

BOLTON versus Villa suggest £40 win Bolton at 4.4 betdaq

Struggling to see why bolton are not closer to 2-1 for this rather than 3-1+

reasoning :

Villa are 1 from 11 in there last home games.

They have not scored in 5 of those 10 games.

Agbonlahor (doubtful) and Collins (out) are out as well tonight adding to a ever growing injury list.


Bolton are obviously no great shakes but they have done the double over both Blackburn and QPR this season and have also won away to Wolves and Wigan. Infact there record against the bottom half is very good they have literally gained nothing from the top half sides.

Bolton have also beaten villa in the carling cup already this season at villa park.

I was swaying towards draw no bet Bolton but Bolton have yet to draw an away game this season so i prefer the win bet.

[WarBwastard]

Have we dipped our toe in Real Madrid's confrontation with the Squareheads?  

I am on Moonchen to win the whole bish-bash so I obviously fancy them to qualify from this semi-final.  Historically Munich have always had the better of Madrid, sportingly, politically, alcoholically.  In the European Cup/Champions League they have been drawn together 9 times previously (not including this current fixture).  Munich have 10 wins, Real 6 wins with 2 draws.

Of the 9 away games Munich have qualified 5 times - qualifying under their current circumstances 4 times.  A price of around 2.5 would be perfect.  Red32 are going 13/10.  Most places 6/5.  I know Real Madrid and Barcelona have an Old Firm type monopoly on La Liga and a Spanish final seems likely, but I actually fancy that Jerry's domestic league is stronger and I've felt this for a few seasons now.  

Obviously the final is also being played at the Allianz Arena so there's some extra incentive their for the Bosch to see Real Madrid off.  Real also have just played Barcelona and you wonder if Ronaldo will have had time to re-do his make-up by kick-off time tomorrow.

The price is not quite what we would like ideally, but we're very close.  Added to which I've never felt the final would be Barca and Real and I cannot see Chelsea progressing.

£50 Bayern Moonchen to Qualify - 13/10

[tikay]

Daily Report, 9.30am Tuesday 24th April.

April invested - £3,121.86

April return - £3,149.9

Profit - £42.08

Unsettled bets (included in the £3,121) £310

April Profit EXCLUDING forward investments  +£169

Numbers EDITED. Further Edits likely.

(My be subject to revision)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=5

[tikay]

Daily Summary, Tuesday 24th April, 9.45am.

Excuse a garbled report today, I am a tad indisposed, so excuse errors & omissions, my head is all over the place.

We have a NBA winner from Dean, wiiiiii! Only £15 profit, but the Cavs only lost by 9 to the Grizzles, so we binked a monster return of £15. Thanks Dean, about time too.

We looked like getting a return from the West Ham lay, too, but it all went badly wrong after Leicester went 1 up, so we dropped £62 there.

We had a small bet on tonight's Barca-Chelsea slaughter, (0-0, so at least we start on good terms), & a fun wager on Euro 2012, beautifully justified by the eloquent Josehdino.

Tighty has given us his County Cricket selections, but we still need to devise a betting strategy. 

Not sure I fancy punting the Celtic Rangers result, though we might find a sub-market with value.

Today, so far, we just have the Barca game, plus some stuff just posted which I'll deal with when my head is facing the right way.

I'm not sure my daily spreadsheet numbers are correct this morning, we lost a little on the day yesterday (about £47 I think) but our numbers seem to have improved. Await correction by Mereauditor, & amended numbers later, but overall, there's not much in it, & we are tootling along marginally to the good.

[tikay]

horsey & War - will execute both of those a little later, (bit busy right now), thank you.

War - so you CAN make sensible suggestions then? You should be ashamed of that farcical Everton bet. The one we won on.

BRB.

[TightEnd]

With Murphy losing, the draw has really opened up for Judd Trump

Steven Lee also losing 5-4 after the first session Rich, are you on Trump?

No. Was tempted at 6-1 pre but thought it was skinny

Would like him to win it though. Ronnie O'S without the dummy.

[tikay]

Have Edited the daily numbers, & the spreadsheet. Think this might be correct now.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=5

Gotta go, the grass needs watering.

[Hairydude]

Have we dipped our toe in Real Madrid's confrontation with the Squareheads?  

I am on Moonchen to win the whole bish-bash so I obviously fancy them to qualify from this semi-final.  Historically Munich have always had the better of Madrid, sportingly, politically, alcoholically.  In the European Cup/Champions League they have been drawn together 9 times previously (not including this current fixture).  Munich have 10 wins, Real 6 wins with 2 draws.

Of the 9 away games Munich have qualified 5 times - qualifying under their current circumstances 4 times.  A price of around 2.5 would be perfect.  Red32 are going 13/10.  Most places 6/5.  I know Real Madrid and Barcelona have an Old Firm type monopoly on La Liga and a Spanish final seems likely, but I actually fancy that Jerry's domestic league is stronger and I've felt this for a few seasons now.  

Obviously the final is also being played at the Allianz Arena so there's some extra incentive their for the Bosch to see Real Madrid off.  Real also have just played Barcelona and you wonder if Ronaldo will have had time to re-do his make-up by kick-off time tomorrow.

The price is not quite what we would like ideally, but we're very close.  Added to which I've never felt the final would be Barca and Real and I cannot see Chelsea progressing.

£50 Bayern Moonchen to Qualify - 13/10

Quick question; when doing analysis do we really consider historical results? History matters of course but a completely different team where the guys are in there 50's-70's now; should we really consider the results Der Kaiser et al got?

Not saying it wouldnt win; wouldnt be surprised at any combination of the finals possible.... Barca/Real el classico and my hopes for an "Ideal" final, Bayern/Barca best team in the world vs home team, Chelsea/Real Mourinho a chance to put boot into Chelsea's hope of finally getting CL trophy, Chelsea/Bayern... 2 underdogs overcoming the generally thought final