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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16334435 times)
tikay
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« Reply #4350 on: April 24, 2012, 01:29:25 PM »

£90 Chelsea first booking at 4-9 skybet. Possession market has Barca, 75.5% over/under. Couldn't make Chelsea any bigger than 1-3 for first booking here with that assumed possession

Thanks Mr S.

Love the way you guys find these little angles.

No fuss, no bimbling, we are on with everyone's favourite (T & C's apply) bookie, Sky Bet, for £90 @ 4/9.

ON

Chelsea
1st Team Carded: Barcelona v Chelsea 4/9 £90.00 £130.00 O/10805850/0000056 
Watch on TV: Sky Sports 2 HD 
 
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tikay
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« Reply #4351 on: April 24, 2012, 01:46:03 PM »


horsey & War - will execute both of those a little later, (bit busy right now), thank you.

War - so you CAN make sensible suggestions then? You should be ashamed of that farcical Everton bet. The one we won on.

BRB.

To be fair the Jelavic punt wasn't quite a wild stab in the dark.  I had a big bet on it too (big bet for me).  He has been awesome recently and I have no faith in United's defence, just Everton's record against Man Yoo is so bad it seemed so unlikey so I framed it in a way to sort of get my excuses in early.  Wink

I'm liking your style.

In case anyone thought otherwise, it's intended to be a fun thread, & if I gently poke my fingers in someone's eye, it is merely my way to attempt to introduce a touch of levity. I like levityness. Levitynessless is a bad thing in my little world.

And ALL "accepted" bets are subject to the same "no regrets or apologies" rule. (MANTIS & his shite singing Dude excepted, of course).

If I have an issue with anyone, I take it to PM. I sing in the front garden, & argue in the back garden. 

Post MORE Mr War.

PS - From where did your alias derive? 
« Last Edit: April 24, 2012, 02:04:55 PM by tikay » Logged

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tikay
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« Reply #4352 on: April 24, 2012, 01:52:00 PM »

NBA again caught my eye :

Phoenix Suns visit the Utah Jazz tonight in what could be a playoff or go home game. Both teams have free flowing offenses both place in the top 7 overall but also lack defensive skills both rating in the bottom 10 overall.

Therefore a total points score of over 199.5 @ nitty 1.65 looks good.

Money line still looks nice at 203

teams are overs of the nitty line as follows:
phoenix are over this in last 9/12 games
utah are over this last 8/10

they have played each other twice :
 03/14 - UTA 111 @ PHX 120
 04/04 - PHX 107 @ UTA 105

As you can see both this seasons matchups were high scoring and both teams are almost at full strength , Hill should be back for Phoenix whilst there is a slight doubt over  Channing at pojnt Guard for Utah.

This is the season for these two so they will be playing hard all the way..

A dirty £50-£75 should suffice..

I need a little help with this, please.

Are you recommending the over 199.5 @ 1.65, & if so, where is that available, & what would it be called, so to speak?

And by "Money Line", do you mean this?......

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/phoenix-suns-at-utah-jazz/total-points

That one is based on 203 points, & is the only "total points" line I can find.

If you can mention which Bookie you are using, it speeds things up for thickos like me.
« Last Edit: April 24, 2012, 02:04:30 PM by tikay » Logged

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the sicilian
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« Reply #4353 on: April 24, 2012, 02:00:56 PM »

yup total points over 199.5 @ around 1.65 on bet 365 alternative points total....

203 is money line but i know ur a nit..can i redeem myself or crash and burn?...with nba i have my hand on the ejector seat button
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« Reply #4354 on: April 24, 2012, 02:14:31 PM »

yup total points over 199.5 @ around 1.65 on bet 365 alternative points total....

203 is money line but i know ur a nit..can i redeem myself or crash and burn?...with nba i have my hand on the ejector seat button

Got it. And yes, I'm a nit, & proud of it.

Am on with Bet365, £58 @ 20/29, "over 199.5".

Jeez, we are spending some money today. Don't forget, we draw the line @ Midnight on Sunday, so be careful.....

ON


Over 199.5 @ 20/29
£58.00 Single 24/04/2012 14:12:54 58.00 0.00
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« Reply #4355 on: April 24, 2012, 02:52:40 PM »


horsey & War - will execute both of those a little later, (bit busy right now), thank you.

War - so you CAN make sensible suggestions then? You should be ashamed of that farcical Everton bet. The one we won on.

BRB.

To be fair the Jelavic punt wasn't quite a wild stab in the dark.  I had a big bet on it too (big bet for me).  He has been awesome recently and I have no faith in United's defence, just Everton's record against Man Yoo is so bad it seemed so unlikey so I framed it in a way to sort of get my excuses in early.  Wink

I'm liking your style.

In case anyone thought otherwise, it's intended to be a fun thread, & if I gently poke my fingers in someone's eye, it is merely my way to attempt to introduce a touch of levity. I like levityness. Levitynessless is a bad thing in my little world.

And ALL "accepted" bets are subject to the same "no regrets or apologies" rule. (MANTIS & his shite singing Dude excepted, of course).

If I have an issue with anyone, I take it to PM. I sing in the front garden, & argue in the back garden. 

Post MORE Mr War.

PS - From where did your alias derive? 

It was the name of a contestant Robot on a send up of Robot wars (Robot Fight Club) from an episode of a TV comedy show I can't remember the name of.
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« Reply #4356 on: April 24, 2012, 02:58:22 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/champions-league/barcelona-v-chelsea/messi-v-chelsea-goal-match-bet

william Hill. You get 7/2 for the 10 Chelsea Outfield players versus Messi in a goal match bet

Isn't this absurd?
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« Reply #4357 on: April 24, 2012, 03:06:59 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/champions-league/barcelona-v-chelsea/messi-v-chelsea-goal-match-bet

william Hill. You get 7/2 for the 10 Chelsea Outfield players versus Messi in a goal match bet

Isn't this absurd?

I love some of the markets they have come up with for this game

I think I will back the tie on this market, should give me a good enough sweat in the game.
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« Reply #4358 on: April 24, 2012, 03:09:54 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/champions-league/barcelona-v-chelsea/messi-v-chelsea-goal-match-bet

william Hill. You get 7/2 for the 10 Chelsea Outfield players versus Messi in a goal match bet

Isn't this absurd?

it says 5/2, reckon it should be at least that just for chelsea to score......they might have problems scoring when they are all hiding in this Cheesy
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« Reply #4359 on: April 24, 2012, 03:13:56 PM »

Thanks, it was 7/2 now 5/2

Thought it was big value, even allowing for the park the bus/how are Chelsea going to score considerations

Missed it.
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« Reply #4360 on: April 24, 2012, 03:34:20 PM »

I have Barcelona to qualify.. I think we are forgetting how lucky Chelsea ( although they did defend superbly ) were not to get a 3 or 4 -1 hiding last time.
Barcelona at home are pretty formidable no matter how many buses you park in front of the net..they are hurting as well as Madrid did them saturday..could be wounded animal scenario here...
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« Reply #4361 on: April 24, 2012, 03:38:41 PM »

Following dave's tip on the first team booked, there is a market on BF for bookings match bet......can't find other prices to compare it to, but Chelsea are 1.32....surely this is free money?  recommended bet the national gold reserves and all global debt
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« Reply #4362 on: April 24, 2012, 03:42:03 PM »

are chelski worth betting on at 17/2?
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« Reply #4363 on: April 24, 2012, 03:42:54 PM »

outright prices look about right on barca game

you have to factor in that for a massive side barca have a very small squad number wise and as such players like xavi are having to play with an ongoing groin injury... The fact they have had a non stop schedule of games for the last four years will take its toll on anybody in the end.

i fancy they will win but they are not looking as fresh as usual. If pedro starts i will be backing him in the scoring markets as he has looked back to near his best in recent weeks.

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« Reply #4364 on: April 24, 2012, 04:09:21 PM »

As much as I like ripping Donks for he's NBA tips, the logic can't be faulted here. 20/29 is nearer 1/2 than 4/6 though. Valooooooooo ftw!
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