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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16331398 times)
Bad Beat
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« Reply #5955 on: May 12, 2012, 02:53:56 PM »

 I haven't yet posted a tip and I know you are quite keen on having a bit of action on the cherry 'ogs.

 I have just spent three hours working on the greyhound Derby heats for tonight and I came up with a couple of interesting thoughts.

 At exactly that time a guy I know texted to ask what my Vegas plans were as he is going. Last year I had dinner with him and with greyhound trainer Mark Wallis at The Rio. This guy is the best judge of the dogs I have ever met. The Camel knows him well and I'm sure he'd agree that if you can get a selection out of him it should be followed blindly. I couldn't resist asking him for a nap.

 He said all the prices looked absolutely correct except for one race. This is how it should be - they shouldn't make too many mistakes on these things (my worry on this thread is that too much time is spent trying to find five mistakes from eight premier games each week). The race involved has a Mark Wallis runner in it. My friend is great though. He is totally dispassionate and he opposes his friend's dog.

 He says the 4, 5 and 6 dog in the 10.25 are 16/1 shots to his eyes. This makes the market for his selection which he feels ought to be close to evs.

 You should go for a max here I think.

 10.25 Coolavanny Bert - plenty of 2/1 with the Mickey Mouse firms.

 Interested to get the Dubai dog card. He almost proved to me he was a judge on the hounds, one night at Hove.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #5956 on: May 12, 2012, 02:55:51 PM »

VOW laddies 14-1 oaks

far far to big

cant get on myself get what you can on
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tikay
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« Reply #5957 on: May 12, 2012, 03:01:06 PM »

Huddersfield DNB @ 29/20 with VC might be worth a bet. Better team from what I've seen this season, MK Dons rated for beating poorer teams with good football but expect Hudds quality to get them through and they've become a backable price today. As seen yesterday draw is a decent player in the first legs so this keeps that onside.

Winner!

Seems an age since we chalked up a decent winner, well done, and thanks.
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« Reply #5958 on: May 12, 2012, 03:02:17 PM »

not sure what peoples thoughts are on 0-0 crewe v southend (9/1 on bet365, not looked elsewhere yet)

southend kept 5 clean sheets on the bounce
crewe manager saying the below makes me think they might play pretty tight?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/18023688

When is that please, Anthony?
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« Reply #5959 on: May 12, 2012, 03:04:18 PM »

not sure what peoples thoughts are on 0-0 crewe v southend (9/1 on bet365, not looked elsewhere yet)

southend kept 5 clean sheets on the bounce
crewe manager saying the below makes me think they might play pretty tight?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/18023688

When is that please, Anthony?

This evening 5pm on sky
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« Reply #5960 on: May 12, 2012, 03:05:48 PM »

VOW laddies 14-1 oaks

far far to big

cant get on myself get what you can on

10-1 now which i would argue is still at least two points to big

would not take any shorter though
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« Reply #5961 on: May 12, 2012, 03:06:30 PM »

Sorry to bring more bad news to the thread. Vince isn't singing till next week Sad

Today just got better. A lot better.

For the sake of tidying up our unsettled bets, think we can write Kid Dude off, yes?
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« Reply #5962 on: May 12, 2012, 03:08:19 PM »

Mumbai beat a side above them to go 3rd, top 4 make the semi's

Only 58 matches so far in the IPL.
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« Reply #5963 on: May 12, 2012, 03:18:44 PM »

Mumbai beat a side above them to go 3rd, top 4 make the semi's

Only 58 matches so far in the IPL.

Thanks Tighty. Stranger things have happened.
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« Reply #5964 on: May 12, 2012, 03:22:30 PM »

I haven't yet posted a tip and I know you are quite keen on having a bit of action on the cherry 'ogs.

 I have just spent three hours working on the greyhound Derby heats for tonight and I came up with a couple of interesting thoughts.

 At exactly that time a guy I know texted to ask what my Vegas plans were as he is going. Last year I had dinner with him and with greyhound trainer Mark Wallis at The Rio. This guy is the best judge of the dogs I have ever met. The Camel knows him well and I'm sure he'd agree that if you can get a selection out of him it should be followed blindly. I couldn't resist asking him for a nap.

 He said all the prices looked absolutely correct except for one race. This is how it should be - they shouldn't make too many mistakes on these things (my worry on this thread is that too much time is spent trying to find five mistakes from eight premier games each week). The race involved has a Mark Wallis runner in it. My friend is great though. He is totally dispassionate and he opposes his friend's dog.

 He says the 4, 5 and 6 dog in the 10.25 are 16/1 shots to his eyes. This makes the market for his selection which he feels ought to be close to evs.

 You should go for a max here I think.

 10.25 Coolavanny Bert - plenty of 2/1 with the Mickey Mouse firms.

 Interested to get the Dubai dog card. He almost proved to me he was a judge on the hounds, one night at Hove.

A MAXIMUM? You sure? Jeez......

I was torn between wating for Dubs to comment, or missing the price, but we've waited a log time for a "Marv" tip, so guess I'd better go with it, though with some trepidation. But if your man is as good as you say, maybe we have decent value here.

Thanks Neil.

Not sure if you include "Sporting Odds" as a "Mickey Mouse" team, but we have £150 with them @ 2/1.


ON


Bet Type: Single
Wimbledon [22:25] 480mtrs (OR) 480 Mtrs (Or)
Coolavanny Bert 2/1 Possible Payout 450.00 GBP
1 bet @
150.00 GBP 
Total Cost: 150.00 GBP Total Possible Payout
(inc. stake): 450.00 GBP
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« Reply #5965 on: May 12, 2012, 03:25:59 PM »


....."my worry on this thread is that too much time is spent trying to find five mistakes from eight premier games each week.....".

Well everyone - quite naturally - wants to book a winner, & we all have different opinions, but we rarely bet more than one Premiership game on a Saturday or Sunday.

Anyway, the season is about wrapped up, tomorrow's somewhat disjointed games apart, so we can address that next season - if we are still in funds by then. At this rate, that's in the balance.
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« Reply #5966 on: May 12, 2012, 03:29:05 PM »

VOW laddies 14-1 oaks

far far to big

cant get on myself get what you can on

Thanks. Our AntePost horses don't do so good, but we'll risk £25. 

We have £25 with Ladbrokes, @ 10/1.

ON

Selection10/1 - Vow

Event2012 Investec Oaks Investec Oaks

MarketAnte Post
 Your bets (1) Single - Vow
1 line at £25.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £25.00
Potential Return: £275.00
Time: 12/05/12 15:27
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000025
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« Reply #5967 on: May 12, 2012, 03:38:44 PM »

not sure what peoples thoughts are on 0-0 crewe v southend (9/1 on bet365, not looked elsewhere yet)

southend kept 5 clean sheets on the bounce
crewe manager saying the below makes me think they might play pretty tight?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/18023688

Am not terribly keen on "Correct Score", these seem pretty tough to forecast, or value, but with 0-0, at least we start on terms......

We can beat that price, too, so a rather risky £25 @ 10/1 with S*yBet is what we have. We need to do something left-field to get out of trouble, after all.

ON

Draw 0-0
Correct Score: Crewe v Southend 10/1 £25.00 £275.00 O/10805850/0000058
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« Reply #5968 on: May 12, 2012, 03:43:11 PM »

I haven't yet posted a tip and I know you are quite keen on having a bit of action on the cherry 'ogs.

 I have just spent three hours working on the greyhound Derby heats for tonight and I came up with a couple of interesting thoughts.

 At exactly that time a guy I know texted to ask what my Vegas plans were as he is going. Last year I had dinner with him and with greyhound trainer Mark Wallis at The Rio. This guy is the best judge of the dogs I have ever met. The Camel knows him well and I'm sure he'd agree that if you can get a selection out of him it should be followed blindly. I couldn't resist asking him for a nap.

 He said all the prices looked absolutely correct except for one race. This is how it should be - they shouldn't make too many mistakes on these things (my worry on this thread is that too much time is spent trying to find five mistakes from eight premier games each week). The race involved has a Mark Wallis runner in it. My friend is great though. He is totally dispassionate and he opposes his friend's dog.

 He says the 4, 5 and 6 dog in the 10.25 are 16/1 shots to his eyes. This makes the market for his selection which he feels ought to be close to evs.

 You should go for a max here I think.

 10.25 Coolavanny Bert - plenty of 2/1 with the Mickey Mouse firms.

 Interested to get the Dubai dog card. He almost proved to me he was a judge on the hounds, one night at Hove.

Thanks Neil.

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« Reply #5969 on: May 12, 2012, 03:44:28 PM »

Always bet no goalscorer instead of betting 0-0 when prices are same

Bert got big chance, Wallis in paper saying Snapper being trained to peak in latter rounds but will do well to clear Bert to the bend. Looks solid 11-8/6-4 shot
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