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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16367207 times)
bigtadger
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« Reply #7800 on: June 04, 2012, 05:03:57 PM »

mprning tikay, just had a good read up on the speedway peterborough v lakeside tonight , i think the value maybe to back lakeside, the match is at peterborough and peterborough have made big changes bringing in 2 or 3 new riders so not rode as a new team as yet whilst lakeside are coming off back to back home & away losses so tough one to call , but i like the look of the lakeside team, davey watt and peter karlson in inspired form at the moment near the top of the elite league averages , maybe a £20 win (outright ) could be the order of the day , william hills or paddy power  later in the day for prices, good luck !!!!!
tikay they bet ( willy hills ) 7/2 lakeside or 10/11  +10 which i think is a great bet !!!!
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hector62
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« Reply #7801 on: June 04, 2012, 05:08:03 PM »

Gasquet wins 1st set 6-1. Mere could have proffered an opinion as Murray playing like a girl.
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« Reply #7802 on: June 04, 2012, 06:04:37 PM »

NBA

Game 5 of the Spurs Thunder tonight.... Series is tied both teams are playing great. No real injury problems.

Over the season these 2 teams are ranked 2 & 3 offensively with over all points avg Spurs 103.7 Thunder 103.1.. Spurs at Home avg 105.7n Thunder Away 100.1....

Defenses ranked average although stepping up in the playoffs but countered by some amazing offense on both sides.

Teams match up well and can score often and quick...

over the 4 playoff games avg score is 206.5..include the 2 reg season its 205.5

Money line is a nice 202..

Suggest a nitty over 199 at 1.68

8 times out of 10 this is A 200+ point game even in the weird and wonderful world of the NBA

Not sure where you are seeing this price but it is really pretty horrible.  Firstly, if you are going to bet over just bet over and do it with Pinnacle at their reduced juice rather than take this price which is making,what is imo, a bad bet even worse.  Secondly, the average score in the two playoff games may be 206.5 but two games have gone over and two games have gone under which suggests the line is pretty accurate.  Finally, and i don't mean to be rude about this but it has to be said, do you really think it is possible to beat the market in the NBA by just averaging scores between teams and comparing that against the total?  Do you honestly think that Olympic, Pinnacle and in Vegas don't bother to do that before they post a line?  Did you pause to wonder why they have posted a total lower than that?  The consensus reports suggest everyman and their dog is on the overs tonight yet the line hasn't moved???  In a sport with betting volume like the NBA has (there will probably be $100m+ bet on this game tonight) you simply cannot beat the line without either a) having a good idea of where the square money is and going against it, b) having inside info and c) being able to discount information better than the books and that involves a lot more than looking at the last 8 games between the teams or averaging the points scored.  Rant over.
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tikay
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« Reply #7803 on: June 04, 2012, 06:22:42 PM »

Gasquet wins 1st set 6-1. Mere could have proffered an opinion as Murray playing like a girl.

Love that!
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« Reply #7804 on: June 04, 2012, 06:23:49 PM »

Gasquet wins 1st set 6-1. Mere could have proffered an opinion as Murray playing like a girl.

Love that!

Judging by the scoreline, I'd say that he's managed to regain his manhood.
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hector62
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« Reply #7805 on: June 04, 2012, 06:38:25 PM »

More a case of Gasquet reverting into his shell. Needs to take more risks. Murray 2-1 up in sets now.
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geordieneil
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« Reply #7806 on: June 04, 2012, 06:43:26 PM »

http://www.betfred.com/sport?betid=1161805.2&navitems=11.1%2c37368.2&market-group=1161805.2&action=market-group-list

Till 2pm Benzema is 4/1 to be top France goalscorer. 11/4 is the next best price. No liquidty in the market on Betfair so not sure it's likely we'd ever be able to green out.

I know I've already tipped the France/Benzema double so it may appear I rate him higher than others but this looks value. I'd recommend £25/30 on it if you can get on before 2.

Thanks, got it.

You seem very keen on this young man!

They are advertising 5/2, but I got that "Special Offer" (?) of 4/1, thanks.

Benzema, top French Goalscorer, Euro12, £25 @ 4/1, BetFred.

ON

  Euro 2012 Countdown
4 Days to Go
 Karim Benzema To Be Top France Goalscorer 4/1 
Total stake £ 25.00
Estimated return £ 125.00

Full stake £ 25.00
Full estimated return £ 125.00


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tikay
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« Reply #7807 on: June 04, 2012, 06:48:44 PM »

mprning tikay, just had a good read up on the speedway peterborough v lakeside tonight , i think the value maybe to back lakeside, the match is at peterborough and peterborough have made big changes bringing in 2 or 3 new riders so not rode as a new team as yet whilst lakeside are coming off back to back home & away losses so tough one to call , but i like the look of the lakeside team, davey watt and peter karlson in inspired form at the moment near the top of the elite league averages , maybe a £20 win (outright ) could be the order of the day , william hills or paddy power  later in the day for prices, good luck !!!!!
tikay they bet ( willy hills ) 7/2 lakeside or 10/11  +10 which i think is a great bet !!!!

Thanks Tadge.

We went for £25 @ Evens with Wm Hill, Lakeside with a 10 point start.

ON

Peterborough Panthers v Lakeside Hammers
Lakeside Hammers +10
(Handicap)
Odds:  1/1
Stake:  25.00
Possible Return:  50.00
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hector62
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« Reply #7808 on: June 04, 2012, 07:13:22 PM »

Murray wins 3-1.

After the 1st set it was man v boy, or  a cat playing with a mouse and our man played like a cheese eating surrender monkey.
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« Reply #7809 on: June 04, 2012, 10:18:43 PM »

NBA

Game 5 of the Spurs Thunder tonight.... Series is tied both teams are playing great. No real injury problems.

Over the season these 2 teams are ranked 2 & 3 offensively with over all points avg Spurs 103.7 Thunder 103.1.. Spurs at Home avg 105.7n Thunder Away 100.1....

Defenses ranked average although stepping up in the playoffs but countered by some amazing offense on both sides.

Teams match up well and can score often and quick...

over the 4 playoff games avg score is 206.5..include the 2 reg season its 205.5

Money line is a nice 202..

Suggest a nitty over 199 at 1.68

8 times out of 10 this is A 200+ point game even in the weird and wonderful world of the NBA

Not sure where you are seeing this price but it is really pretty horrible.  Firstly, if you are going to bet over just bet over and do it with Pinnacle at their reduced juice rather than take this price which is making,what is imo, a bad bet even worse.  Secondly, the average score in the two playoff games may be 206.5 but two games have gone over and two games have gone under which suggests the line is pretty accurate.  Finally, and i don't mean to be rude about this but it has to be said, do you really think it is possible to beat the market in the NBA by just averaging scores between teams and comparing that against the total?  Do you honestly think that Olympic, Pinnacle and in Vegas don't bother to do that before they post a line?  Did you pause to wonder why they have posted a total lower than that?  The consensus reports suggest everyman and their dog is on the overs tonight yet the line hasn't moved???  In a sport with betting volume like the NBA has (there will probably be $100m+ bet on this game tonight) you simply cannot beat the line without either a) having a good idea of where the square money is and going against it, b) having inside info and c) being able to discount information better than the books and that involves a lot more than looking at the last 8 games between the teams or averaging the points scored.  Rant over.

Tbf... I didn't just average the playoff games ( one ended at 199 ) i took the 6 meetings these two have had ( only one ended under 199 )their respective offensive and defensive stats the fact their both high scoring offense no injuries and playing well. Not too sure what I've done to deserve such a tirade.. But I think it's a bit much as the bets likely to be fifty quid not 5 grand and a bit of fun....suffice to say I won't be contributing any more... Tikay please don't put this bet on...
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« Reply #7810 on: June 04, 2012, 10:26:11 PM »

NBA

Game 5 of the Spurs Thunder tonight.... Series is tied both teams are playing great. No real injury problems.

Over the season these 2 teams are ranked 2 & 3 offensively with over all points avg Spurs 103.7 Thunder 103.1.. Spurs at Home avg 105.7n Thunder Away 100.1....

Defenses ranked average although stepping up in the playoffs but countered by some amazing offense on both sides.

Teams match up well and can score often and quick...

over the 4 playoff games avg score is 206.5..include the 2 reg season its 205.5

Money line is a nice 202..

Suggest a nitty over 199 at 1.68

8 times out of 10 this is A 200+ point game even in the weird and wonderful world of the NBA

Not sure where you are seeing this price but it is really pretty horrible.  Firstly, if you are going to bet over just bet over and do it with Pinnacle at their reduced juice rather than take this price which is making,what is imo, a bad bet even worse.  Secondly, the average score in the two playoff games may be 206.5 but two games have gone over and two games have gone under which suggests the line is pretty accurate.  Finally, and i don't mean to be rude about this but it has to be said, do you really think it is possible to beat the market in the NBA by just averaging scores between teams and comparing that against the total?  Do you honestly think that Olympic, Pinnacle and in Vegas don't bother to do that before they post a line?  Did you pause to wonder why they have posted a total lower than that?  The consensus reports suggest everyman and their dog is on the overs tonight yet the line hasn't moved???  In a sport with betting volume like the NBA has (there will probably be $100m+ bet on this game tonight) you simply cannot beat the line without either a) having a good idea of where the square money is and going against it, b) having inside info and c) being able to discount information better than the books and that involves a lot more than looking at the last 8 games between the teams or averaging the points scored.  Rant over.
Is this a good time to use +1?
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celtic
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« Reply #7811 on: June 04, 2012, 10:34:36 PM »

Sicilian schooled again.

wp redarmi.
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« Reply #7812 on: June 04, 2012, 10:35:09 PM »

NBA

Game 5 of the Spurs Thunder tonight.... Series is tied both teams are playing great. No real injury problems.

Over the season these 2 teams are ranked 2 & 3 offensively with over all points avg Spurs 103.7 Thunder 103.1.. Spurs at Home avg 105.7n Thunder Away 100.1....

Defenses ranked average although stepping up in the playoffs but countered by some amazing offense on both sides.

Teams match up well and can score often and quick...

over the 4 playoff games avg score is 206.5..include the 2 reg season its 205.5

Money line is a nice 202..

Suggest a nitty over 199 at 1.68

8 times out of 10 this is A 200+ point game even in the weird and wonderful world of the NBA

Not sure where you are seeing this price but it is really pretty horrible.  Firstly, if you are going to bet over just bet over and do it with Pinnacle at their reduced juice rather than take this price which is making,what is imo, a bad bet even worse.  Secondly, the average score in the two playoff games may be 206.5 but two games have gone over and two games have gone under which suggests the line is pretty accurate.  Finally, and i don't mean to be rude about this but it has to be said, do you really think it is possible to beat the market in the NBA by just averaging scores between teams and comparing that against the total?  Do you honestly think that Olympic, Pinnacle and in Vegas don't bother to do that before they post a line?  Did you pause to wonder why they have posted a total lower than that?  The consensus reports suggest everyman and their dog is on the overs tonight yet the line hasn't moved???  In a sport with betting volume like the NBA has (there will probably be $100m+ bet on this game tonight) you simply cannot beat the line without either a) having a good idea of where the square money is and going against it, b) having inside info and c) being able to discount information better than the books and that involves a lot more than looking at the last 8 games between the teams or averaging the points scored.  Rant over.

+ 1 to everything red sayed. The price is everything
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« Reply #7813 on: June 04, 2012, 10:36:19 PM »

NBA

Game 5 of the Spurs Thunder tonight.... Series is tied both teams are playing great. No real injury problems.

Over the season these 2 teams are ranked 2 & 3 offensively with over all points avg Spurs 103.7 Thunder 103.1.. Spurs at Home avg 105.7n Thunder Away 100.1....

Defenses ranked average although stepping up in the playoffs but countered by some amazing offense on both sides.

Teams match up well and can score often and quick...

over the 4 playoff games avg score is 206.5..include the 2 reg season its 205.5

Money line is a nice 202..

Suggest a nitty over 199 at 1.68

8 times out of 10 this is A 200+ point game even in the weird and wonderful world of the NBA

Not sure where you are seeing this price but it is really pretty horrible.  Firstly, if you are going to bet over just bet over and do it with Pinnacle at their reduced juice rather than take this price which is making,what is imo, a bad bet even worse.  Secondly, the average score in the two playoff games may be 206.5 but two games have gone over and two games have gone under which suggests the line is pretty accurate.  Finally, and i don't mean to be rude about this but it has to be said, do you really think it is possible to beat the market in the NBA by just averaging scores between teams and comparing that against the total?  Do you honestly think that Olympic, Pinnacle and in Vegas don't bother to do that before they post a line?  Did you pause to wonder why they have posted a total lower than that?  The consensus reports suggest everyman and their dog is on the overs tonight yet the line hasn't moved???  In a sport with betting volume like the NBA has (there will probably be $100m+ bet on this game tonight) you simply cannot beat the line without either a) having a good idea of where the square money is and going against it, b) having inside info and c) being able to discount information better than the books and that involves a lot more than looking at the last 8 games between the teams or averaging the points scored.  Rant over.

+ 1 to everything red sayed. The price is everything
and a big +1 to Donks lack of research!!
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« Reply #7814 on: June 04, 2012, 11:42:03 PM »

Sir's gonna be mad at u boys at the atmosphere in his classroom when he gets back....
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