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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16381195 times)
Graham C
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #9870 on:
June 29, 2012, 11:45:08 AM »
Murrays got a decent enough record against Tsonga. If you're sure that it will be one of those going to the final, why not bet both each way - PP is 14/1 on Tsonga and Murray is 13/2 at BV.
Or is that missing the point?
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #9871 on:
June 29, 2012, 11:49:06 AM »
I'm not sure. I wondered about Cilic at 125/1
Don't know enough about Tennis, big names apart, but I am looking for market value in that half now Nadal is out
All you need to do at e/w half the odds to make the final, is pick the winner of that half with almost everyone in the half priced 10-1 and up
Tsonga was twice Murray's price, though not now.
Has to be a value price in that half somewhere?
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Graham C
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #9872 on:
June 29, 2012, 11:54:52 AM »
How about del Potro? Ranked 9th, best price 43.0 on BF. Not overly well ranked on grass though. I 'm guessing he's on the wrong side of the draw from that.
Cilic could be ok, made (and luckily won) "that" final the other week.
«
Last Edit: June 29, 2012, 11:56:36 AM by Silo Graham
»
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MereNovice
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #9873 on:
June 29, 2012, 11:56:29 AM »
Quote from: Silo Graham on June 29, 2012, 11:54:52 AM
How about del Potro? Ranked 9th, best price 43.0 on BF. Not overly well ranked on grass though. I 'm guessing he's on the wrong side of the draw from that.
Yes, wrong side and not playing well when I last watched him.
Edit: Sorry, not the wrong side.
«
Last Edit: June 29, 2012, 11:59:11 AM by MereNovice
»
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #9874 on:
June 29, 2012, 11:57:52 AM »
Quote from: Silo Graham on June 29, 2012, 11:54:52 AM
How about del Potro? Ranked 9th, best price 43.0 on BF. Not overly well ranked on grass though. I 'm guessing he's on the wrong side of the draw from that.
No
The Tsonga side:
Has Delpo, Cilic, Ferrer, murray in one quarter
Tsonga, Kohlschreiber or Rosol, Fish on the other
http://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/scores/draws/ms/index.html
Tsonga has by far the easiest quarter. On paper. Tennis isn't often played on paper though.
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Graham C
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #9875 on:
June 29, 2012, 12:00:20 PM »
Cheers,
Maybe a bit of an arb on Rosol. Oddschecker showing as 66 on Boyle and only 39 on Betfair.
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MereNovice
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #9876 on:
June 29, 2012, 12:04:13 PM »
Quote from: Silo Graham on June 29, 2012, 12:00:20 PM
Cheers,
Maybe a bit of an arb on Rosol. Oddschecker showing as 66 on Boyle and only 39 on Betfair.
Oddschecker is out of date.
The actual prices for the two showing as 66/1 are 40/1.
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redarmi
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #9877 on:
June 29, 2012, 12:16:33 PM »
That is a great example of an arb where the value all lies in one side. Laying players at 40/1 isn't my thing but that really is a ridiculously short price about Rosol to win the tournament.
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ACE2M
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #9878 on:
June 29, 2012, 01:04:40 PM »
Quote from: Silo Graham on June 29, 2012, 12:00:20 PM
Cheers,
Maybe a bit of an arb on Rosol. Oddschecker showing as 66 on Boyle and only 39 on Betfair.
as ever with these arbs you need to have a lot of money to carry them out. Always makes me laugh when a ten pound punter says yeah i layed it at 80/1 on betfair and backed it at 100/1 over here, 'For how much exactly?' Then it dawns on them that they just told a stupid lie.
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Graham C
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #9879 on:
June 29, 2012, 01:08:43 PM »
Quote from: ACE2M on June 29, 2012, 01:04:40 PM
Quote from: Silo Graham on June 29, 2012, 12:00:20 PM
Cheers,
Maybe a bit of an arb on Rosol. Oddschecker showing as 66 on Boyle and only 39 on Betfair.
as ever with these arbs you need to have a lot of money to carry them out. Always makes me laugh when a ten pound punter says yeah i layed it at 80/1 on betfair and backed it at 100/1 over here, 'For how much exactly?' Then it dawns on them that they just told a stupid lie.
Yeah it's hardly worth while. Know what you mean about small stakes punters saying that. I realised a while ago that even if I back something at 50/1, it's gotta get around evens before it's worth me laying it off
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bobby1
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #9880 on:
June 29, 2012, 02:02:41 PM »
Quote from: ACE2M on June 29, 2012, 01:04:40 PM
Quote from: Silo Graham on June 29, 2012, 12:00:20 PM
Cheers,
Maybe a bit of an arb on Rosol. Oddschecker showing as 66 on Boyle and only 39 on Betfair.
as ever with these arbs you need to have a lot of money to carry them out. Always makes me laugh when a ten pound punter says yeah i layed it at 80/1 on betfair and backed it at 100/1 over here, 'For how much exactly?' Then it dawns on them that they just told a stupid lie.
What a strange post. Why would someone having 800 quid in their BF account be a lie?
ESP on a forum populated with people that have plenty of their cash stored with online gaming sites?
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ACE2M
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #9881 on:
June 29, 2012, 02:09:11 PM »
Quote from: bobby1 on June 29, 2012, 02:02:41 PM
Quote from: ACE2M on June 29, 2012, 01:04:40 PM
Quote from: Silo Graham on June 29, 2012, 12:00:20 PM
Cheers,
Maybe a bit of an arb on Rosol. Oddschecker showing as 66 on Boyle and only 39 on Betfair.
as ever with these arbs you need to have a lot of money to carry them out. Always makes me laugh when a ten pound punter says yeah i layed it at 80/1 on betfair and backed it at 100/1 over here, 'For how much exactly?' Then it dawns on them that they just told a stupid lie.
What a strange post. Why would someone having 800 quid in their BF account be a lie?
ESP on a forum populated with people that have plenty of their cash stored with online gaming sites?
Not saying people on here and i haven't heard anyone say it for ages. Just used to make me laugh when people didn't understand what they were saying.
back in your box phillip.
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MereNovice
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #9882 on:
June 29, 2012, 02:19:17 PM »
Raonic out.
Djokovic loses first set.
What was that question about seeds not losing early any more?
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bobby1
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #9883 on:
June 29, 2012, 02:21:55 PM »
Yeah, that makes me laugh too Tom.
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #9884 on:
June 29, 2012, 05:35:07 PM »
Good morning all.
I think Mere is doing a wonderful job here, I really do, clawing back our losses this month bit by bit, & he has grerat "touch & feel" with the Updates & bet comments.
I'm so busy out here in Vegas, I've lost track of arguably my favourite Fred, & I've only had one bet whilst out here, too. Quite releived to realise I'm not wholly addicted to punting. Yet.
Have to say, though, my fancy was tickled by that Germany corners bet. We were on Germany to get most corners, & we lost 14-0? Wowzer!
I've lost track of Euro12, too, though I gather the quality of football has not been anything special.
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