Tips for Tikay

[Bertpup]

looks like that £5 at 320 has been taken/removed. £3 @ 310 still probably worth a Banzai

[redarmi]

Quite like this one.

[T_Mar]

One for the Open..

Will be backing a few, but the one I think is best value is  Jim Furyk @ 50/1 EW with PP (7 places)

Was out of form for alot of last year, but come right back to it this year looking like his old consistent self albeit so far without a win - He has had 3 top 5's on the PGA tour with 4 further efforts in the top 11.  2 of those results were in the first 2 Majors of the year Masters (11) and US Open (4) so he's back to competing in the biggest events.  He missed the cut when they last played at Lytham, but he has had 4 top 5 finishes in The Open down the years and a couple of other top 10's.  He's also placed at pebble a couple of times in the AT+T event so he has some form on Links courses.

This week the rough is reported to be as "brutal" and keeping the ball in play is going to be key, Furyk sits 6th in driving accuracy on the PGA tour which is going to stand him in good stead.  Addtionally he sits 7th for sand save percentage, and 4th for overall scrambling - obviously key skills for an Open.

Obviously he made a mess of the his US Open chances when he probably should of won, but there has been several cases of players recently 'bouncing back' from making a mess a things in previous weeks and given he is so experienced, and been a prolofic winner (inc a Major already) I'm not worried about it, and could even make that more determined.  He played incrediibly well in the US Open for the majority which is what I'm choosing to concentrate on

Weather forecasts are not really my thing, but he's out very late on Thursday - with it getting drier as the week goes on, he may end up being drawn well if there is still some rain about on Thursday morning.

Unless, he really has got a sulk on since in the US Open I think we going to get a good run for our money, and the enhanced place terms make it a juicy EW bet IMO. Compared to some of the players priced similarly i think he represents good value.

No idea what you're current bank is but would suggest something like 20ew @ 50/1 with PP.

[MereNovice]

Can  I offer up a cheeky little Banzai suggestion here. Been looking at the sports personality of the year award betting and been looking at various top 3 and winner combinations. In the process I think I have found a potential little gem.

My suggestion is £5 Ellie Simmonds to win BBC sports personality of the year 2012 @ 320 on Betfair.

As you know the Sports personality of the year award shortlist is created from nominations from respected sports writers. Last yeah there was a big uproar when the shortlist was all men.  I think most sport writers are going to be conscious of the reaction to that. I think with it being a London Olympics the BBC  are going to be crucified if there are no Paralympic athletes on the shortlists.

Reasons why she is going to be shortlisted

Current face of the Paralypics
Competing in multiple events
Media darling
Is a Paralympian
Is a Female

I think she has a very good chance of being a Ryan Giggs type winner. All it needs is someone like Chris Evans on his radio show or Piers Morgan on twitter to start a #elliespoty2012 campaign before everyone else joins in.

I think you may have struck gold.
I hope that you got on it.
The price is not available on Betfair any more and the best price elsewhere is currently 50/1.
http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/awards/sports-personality-of-the-year/winner

Good luck to you.

[MereNovice]

Daily Summary, as @ 07:00, Tuesday July 17th

LOSS on Month = £7.50

Unsettled Bets = £277.50

The unsettled bets will be carried forward into August's accounts.


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=9

[MereNovice]

Daily Report, as @ 07:00, Tuesday July 17th

There were no new bets and no old bets matured yesterday.

[MereNovice]

What's coming up?


It's another quiet day on the sporting front.

The Tour De France continues.

There's some domestic one day cricket.

There's some athletics in Lucerne.


It's 10 days until the start of the Olympics.

[tikay]

...and less than 2 days to The Open!

[Tal]

...and less than 2 days to The Open!

Really looking forward to it this year. As much as I enjoyed watching Tiger take the fields apart, this really promises to be a humdinger

[TightEnd]

Furyk looks a good price to my untrained eye

Was rather struck by the sentiments towards Fowler on the golf betting thread too


Have you seen the rough at Lytham? It's going to rule out many players who aren't consistently straight





http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/golf/theopen/9404328/The-Open-2012-Stop-whingeing-about-Royal-Lytham-rough-and-get-on-with-it-says-former-winner-Tony-Jacklin.html

[Karabiner]

Furyk looks a good price to my untrained eye

Was rather struck by the sentiments towards Fowler on the golf betting thread too


Have you seen the rough at Lytham? It's going to rule out many players who aren't consistently straight





http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/golf/theopen/9404328/The-Open-2012-Stop-whingeing-about-Royal-Lytham-rough-and-get-on-with-it-says-former-winner-Tony-Jacklin.html

It's not just Lytham that has penal rough this year.

After all of this rain my local course Wollaton Park's rough is as deep and thick as I've ever seen it in thirty years, on the odd occasion that I get to play in those brief lulls between monsoons.

[TightEnd]

Yes, as the article says they give it one or two initial cuts then leave it...so the non stop rain since just makes the thing go nuts. Much like everywhere this year, verdant and overgrown


You didn't want to propose Fowler on here Ralph?

[tikay]

Furyk looks a good price to my untrained eye

Was rather struck by the sentiments towards Fowler on the golf betting thread too


Have you seen the rough at Lytham? It's going to rule out many players who aren't consistently straight





http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/golf/theopen/9404328/The-Open-2012-Stop-whingeing-about-Royal-Lytham-rough-and-get-on-with-it-says-former-winner-Tony-Jacklin.html

It's not just Lytham that has penal rough this year.

After all of this rain my local course Wollaton Park's rough is as deep and thick as I've ever seen it in thirty years, on the odd occasion that I get to play in those brief lulls between monsoons.

Ralph,

I see you have gone for Fowler, & I assume the course & need for driving accuracy will suit him.

What do you think of Furyk for this week?  Ditto Tiger, who has, I gather, been practising hard, & who won't be using his driver much if The Times interview with him is correct.

Finallly.....IF you wanted to find a low variance way of backing those three, what would you suggest?

[Karabiner]

Furyk looks a good price to my untrained eye

Was rather struck by the sentiments towards Fowler on the golf betting thread too


Have you seen the rough at Lytham? It's going to rule out many players who aren't consistently straight





http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/golf/theopen/9404328/The-Open-2012-Stop-whingeing-about-Royal-Lytham-rough-and-get-on-with-it-says-former-winner-Tony-Jacklin.html

It's not just Lytham that has penal rough this year.

After all of this rain my local course Wollaton Park's rough is as deep and thick as I've ever seen it in thirty years, on the odd occasion that I get to play in those brief lulls between monsoons.

Ralph,

I see you have gone for Fowler, & I assume the course & need for driving accuracy will suit him.

What do you think of Furyk for this week?  Ditto Tiger, who has, I gather, been practising hard, & who won't be using his driver much if The Times interview with him is correct.

Finallly.....IF you wanted to find a low variance way of backing those three, what would you suggest?

I think I'm the wrong person to be asking about low-variance betting strategies on golf Tony, I'm doing my absolute conkers this year. Everyone that I bet recently seems to win the following week.

Now if you want a couple of banzai grenades I'm your man.

In seriousness I do fancy Rickie Fowler this week and recommend £20ew with PP @ 40/1 (seven places).

Banzai to follow...

[smashedagain]

Furyk looks a good price to my untrained eye

Was rather struck by the sentiments towards Fowler on the golf betting thread too


Have you seen the rough at Lytham? It's going to rule out many players who aren't consistently straight





http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/golf/theopen/9404328/The-Open-2012-Stop-whingeing-about-Royal-Lytham-rough-and-get-on-with-it-says-former-winner-Tony-Jacklin.html

It's not just Lytham that has penal rough this year.

After all of this rain my local course Wollaton Park's rough is as deep and thick as I've ever seen it in thirty years, on the odd occasion that I get to play in those brief lulls between monsoons.

Ralph,

I see you have gone for Fowler, & I assume the course & need for driving accuracy will suit him.

What do you think of Furyk for this week?  Ditto Tiger, who has, I gather, been practising hard, & who won't be using his driver much if The Times interview with him is correct.

Finallly.....IF you wanted to find a low variance way of backing those three, what would you suggest?

I think I'm the wrong person to be asking about low-variance betting strategies on golf Tony, I'm doing my absolute conkers this year. Everyone that I bet recently seems to win the following week.

Now if you want a couple of banzai grenades I'm your man.

In seriousness I do fancy Rickie Fowler this week and recommend £20ew with PP @ 40/1 (seven places).

Banzai to follow...

On that evidence Fowler must be a lock next week Ty