Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

PS - Presumably, if your logic is sound, once the winner of the toss & "first to bat", is known, the price of that Team will plunge.

So.....what is the minimum price I should accept?

[tikay]

All noted, Tighty.

1) The match starts at 11am.

2) What time will we know who won the Toss, & who bats first?

3) How are you proposing we bet this (betfair or traditional) & for how much?

Am happy to closely monitor the thread & pounce, but I need to know the above.

PS - Lovely preview, thank you.

toss around 10.30am

we'll get a look at the pitch then too

Thread did well on cricket last month, Amla and Sixes etc +£232, but this Test is not push the boat out stuff. The sides are essentially closely matched and there could be some mean reversion when its least expected...punters will expect SA to pile on but it is far from assured.

Small bets for an interest, only, traditional bookies should be fine depending on prices 

Thanks. Yes, we had a good month on Cricket, & we won't be going daft on this one. I still need a "minimum" price to accept though. 

[TightEnd]

PS - Presumably, if your logic is sound, once the winner of the toss & "first to bat", is known, the price of that Team will plunge.

So.....what is the minimum price I should accept?

The "value" as such is that both teams are priced above the draw. All pointers for this ground, and the strength of these two bowling attacks for this ground, suggests this is wrong

As long as the team you back is priced higher than the draw, then that's your check for value.

[tikay]

OK, understood. I think.

Post as soon as you know who bats first, please.

[henrik777]

Be careful if betting on the rowing. Wind is reported to be giving some lanes an advantage. Some saying rowing should not be going ahead whilst others saying the wind is just light.

Lane 1 is the death lane apparently so i guess you need to be in a higher lane. Womens 8 should have no chance of a medal, apparently, but in lane 6 they do. In another race the men are in lane 1 and are screwed.

Sandy

[tikay]

Be careful if betting on the rowing. Wind is reported to be giving some lanes an advantage. Some saying rowing should not be going ahead whilst others saying the wind is just light.

Lane 1 is the death lane apparently so i guess you need to be in a higher lane. Womens 8 should have no chance of a medal, apparently, but in lane 6 they do. In another race the men are in lane 1 and are screwed.

Sandy

Thanks Sandy.

We don't seem to have a Rowing Corry since Greekstein retired from active duty. Herbie is doing his best to replace him though. 

[superwomble]

seattle to beat toronto @ 26/25 with bet 365 if you cant do with them then next price is even money with paddypower (I havent checked pinnacle as i gather you are not betting with them yet??)

seattle have 4 of there hitters who have been in very good form over there last 7 games, torontos hitter have been average over the last 7 games.

The reason seattle is over even money is because the opposing pitcher has won his last three games and been on form, but when you look into his stats over the last few game;
Villanueva's shift to a starting role has gone swimmingly so far. In three starts, he's 3-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 21 strikeouts. Walking as many opponents as he did in this one is not preferable, though, and he can't count on allowing eight baserunners and stranding all of them -- as he did in this game -- regularly.

Seattle pitcher, has pitcher two games in a row allowing 1 earned run, also against toronto this year he went 8 innings allowing 3 runs batted in which in not to bad.
Villuneva has only pitched out the bull pen against seattle this year so its hard to read into his stats against this team, but he has a average record

i suggest you go with caution and put 25quid on this one

 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
TOR  1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 3  7  0 
SEA  0 0 0 1 2 1 1 0 -  5  9  0 


Ledge does it AGAIN, another Baseball winner!

FML - I missed the tip again - where's my monkey!

wp Singhee

[TightEnd]

AB De Villiers 11/2 Top SA batsman

World class batsman, price two points higher than it would be after Smith and Amla at the Oval

ABdV scored 174 here last tour

Small interest

[TightEnd]

England play Finn, drop Swann

Playing 4 seamers

Indicates this won't be a draw.

[TightEnd]

Eng win toss and bowl

Spanner in the works.

lol.

Sunny, pitch looks fine


Confused. No bet.

[tikay]

Eng win toss and bowl

Spanner in the works.

lol.

Sunny, pitch looks fine


Confused. No bet.

Lol.

OK, no bet.

[tikay]

AB De Villiers 11/2 Top SA batsman

World class batsman, price two points higher than it would be after Smith and Amla at the Oval

ABdV scored 174 here last tour

Small interest

The Markets are all currently suspended. IF this comes available again, do we still want it?

[TightEnd]

if pressed, for off thread stuff, I'll say SA at 2-1. Survive this morning reasonably, in great shape

Winning the toss and bowling with the sun out? Brave.

[tikay]

if pressed, for off thread stuff, I'll say SA at 2-1. Survive this morning reasonably, in great shape

Winning the toss and bowling with the sun out? Brave.

For clarity, Rich is saying that is NOT a Fred bet. I'll risk £20 off-thread though. Gambler, me.

[TightEnd]

AB De Villiers 11/2 Top SA batsman

World class batsman, price two points higher than it would be after Smith and Amla at the Oval

ABdV scored 174 here last tour

Small interest

The Markets are all currently suspended. IF this comes available again, do we still want it?

Yes. He's brilliant, you won't see 5-1+ that often. It's priced after Amla-gate.