Tips for Tikay

[ripple11]

at lords...boundaries in and a short one imho...going to go overs in ...it's 5.5  I think

Stan James are (were?) way out of line @ 11/10 for this, (over 5.5) with everyone else odds-on, but they seem to have removed the Market, though it is reported as "error" at present.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/domestic/cb40-league/hampshire-v-warwickshire/total-6s

Anyway, I decided to go the nitty route & had £30 @ 4/6 with William Hill for over 4.5.

ON

15 Sep 12 / 11:03  Single 1   Hampshire v Warwickshire  –  Total Match Sixes Over @ 4/6 – £30.00 O/0457483/0000076/F 

Glad Fred got on....my first winner wiiiii

I had a nice touch on it as well, so all in all, a fantastic day out at the home of cricket for a Hants supporter.

[Graham C]

Ronald's just under 3/1 fgs tonight  yet Benzima who starts up front is 8/1. I know Ronaldo scores a few but a striker at nearly three times the price?

[tikay]

at lords...boundaries in and a short one imho...going to go overs in 6s...it's 5.5  I think

Stan James are (were?) way out of line @ 11/10 for this, (over 5.5) with everyone else odds-on, but they seem to have removed the Market, though it is reported as "error" at present.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/domestic/cb40-league/hampshire-v-warwickshire/total-6s

Anyway, I decided to go the nitty route & had £30 @ 4/6 with William Hill for over 4.5.

ON

15 Sep 12 / 11:03  Single 1   Hampshire v Warwickshire  –  Total Match Sixes Over @ 4/6 – £30.00 O/0457483/0000076/F  

Glad Fred got on....my first winner wiiiii

I had a nice touch on it as well, so all in all, a fantastic day out at the home of cricket for a Hants supporter. :)up

Congrats Nick, & glad you had a good day @ HQ.

[tikay]

Ronald's just under 3/1 fgs tonight  yet Benzima who starts up front is 8/1. I know Ronaldo scores a few but a striker at nearly three times the price?

I don't have a clue about that, Graham, & we only have 10 minutes to get on.

Does seem a bit ool though.

[Graham C]

Ronald's just under 3/1 fgs tonight  yet Benzima who starts up front is 8/1. I know Ronaldo scores a few but a striker at nearly three times the price?

I don't have a clue about that, Graham, & we only have 10 minutes to get on.

Does seem a bit ool though.

Me neither, and aren't fgs bets a mugs game?   

[tikay]

This is - so far - a tremendous effort by Wakefield, considering what big dogs they are in the betting.

They lead 16-12.

Come on hectorrrrrrrrr

[redarmi]

Ronald's just under 3/1 fgs tonight  yet Benzima who starts up front is 8/1. I know Ronaldo scores a few but a striker at nearly three times the price?

I don't have a clue about that, Graham, & we only have 10 minutes to get on.

Does seem a bit ool though.

Me neither, and aren't fgs bets a mugs game?   

No not really.  There are maths angles that can make them +EV plays......bookies are a lot sharper than they used to be though.  Example - tonight Messi was out for Barca which automatically made almost the entire Barca midfield and attack value at best prices.  Not sure about Benzema and haven't done the maths but given Ronaldo has a sulk on it wouldn't seem the worst bet in the world but has started now irrespective.

[Graham C]

Ronald's just under 3/1 fgs tonight  yet Benzima who starts up front is 8/1. I know Ronaldo scores a few but a striker at nearly three times the price?

I don't have a clue about that, Graham, & we only have 10 minutes to get on.

Does seem a bit ool though.

Me neither, and aren't fgs bets a mugs game?   

No not really.  There are maths angles that can make them +EV plays......bookies are a lot sharper than they used to be though.  Example - tonight Messi was out for Barca which automatically made almost the entire Barca midfield and attack value at best prices.  Not sure about Benzema and haven't done the maths but given Ronaldo has a sulk on it wouldn't seem the worst bet in the world but has started now irrespective.

and they let in a goal within two mins

Cheers for the reply though, I do like a fgs bet or two.

[tikay]

Daily Summary, as @ 0845, Sunday September 16th

PROFIT on Month £13.00

Unsettled Bets  - £372.50

Details are contained in the spreadsheet here...



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=12

[hector62]

Not to be Mr Tikay. For 60 minutes I thought Trinity were going to do it. I blame myself for using all my daily karma on landing 2 out of 3 draw bets in the rugby union. Still, onwards and upwards.

[tikay]

Daily Report as @ 0830, Saturday September 16th

We lost £105 yesterday.

Of 9 bets which completed, only 2 won.

Barnsley, Camelot, Celtic, Main Sequence & Wakefield collectively cost us £180.

£75 was clawed back in two bets, on similar markets (6's) in the same event, Hampshire v Warwickshire - & that ended up as the mother of all sweats, so we must consider ourselves fortunate not be reporting red figures this morning. 

For balance, the bookmaking industry were all partying last night, they managed the holy grail of winning huge numbers on both horse racing AND football on the same day.

So, just one of those days, & even in hindsight, the bets look good. This is not delusion, it's just the way it was.

Miss Matthews is still in the Women's Golf, she made the cut, but is not placed to win, so the bet remains technically "live", but we are likely to be facing a £20 loss on that tomorrow.

We invested exactly £100 on forward bets, too, as follows....

Total Points >41.5 in tonight's Jets @ Steelers. (£55)

Malinga, top Sri Lanka bowler. (£40)

Ben Marshall, FGS, Leicester v Wolves today. (£5)

A big "well done" to Nick Jenkins, aka "ripple11". He gave his first Fred winner yesterday, and has supported Fred since Day One. He is always first with the    and  after someone tips a winner & is the most gracious poker player you could ever wish to meet. He was APAT World Amateur Champion back in 2008, & does OK at the poker without ever getting out of line. One of nature’s gentlemen.

An even bigger “well done” to this chap, who managed an astounding feat yesterday. Evens that horsey is first to identify him, & to explain why.

[tikay]

Not to be Mr Tikay. For 60 minutes I thought Trinity were going to do it. I blame myself for using all my daily karma on landing 2 out of 3 draw bets in the rugby union. Still, onwards and upwards.

It was a Herculen effort hector, & a joy to watch. They were clearly outclassed, but gave their all, & a bit more. They twice led, but to be fair, Leeds were far the better side, & eventually the dam was bound to burst. We enjoyed the journey though.

Well done on the RU bets.

[tikay]

What’s coming up?

Plenty of action today.

We have a FGS interest in Wolves v Leicester, which is televised, & has a 1.15pm kick-off.



http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/wolverhampton-v-leicester/winner


Later in the afternoon, Reading take on Spurs. The two Teams, collectively, have managed 3 points out of a possible 15 this season.  Reading, with home advantage, are as high as 17/5, with ‘Spurs a mean-looking Evens..


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/reading-v-tottenham/winner


Televised Rugby League follows, Hull v Huddersfield…..


http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-league/club-rugby/super-league/hull-v-huddersfield/winner


Sunday night NFL begins with Carolina v New Orleans, or more correctly, Saints @ Panthers….


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-orleans-saints-at-carolina-panthers/winner


That is followed at 9.15pm by Rams v Redskins…..



http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/washington-redskins-at-st-louis-rams/winner


For the hardcore ennefellers, & those that do not have to work tomorrow, Channel 4 has live coverage at 0045 of Lions @ 49ers....


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/detroit-lions-at-san-francisco-49ers/winner


Don’t forget, we are on points (>41.5) in the 9.25pm KO between Jets & Steelers, too.


Hopefully, we can get back on the winning track today. After all, if we do badly, it will amount to an……

Click to see full-size image.

[tikay]

"Coral are not a bookmarker" - Chapter 379

Just tried for a bet on Danny Kedwell to be top league two scorer @ 11-1 and was offered...£50! "I'm ever so sorry sir, that's as much as the traders will allow."

Crazy price. He's already top of the charts on six, Gillingham are a strong team and he's the penalty taker. There's also no chance he'll be off anywhere in January; he's 29 and is a Gillingham lad.

The clincher is Xpressman has him in a match bet against Jon Parkin with me.

Suggest you nip in quick before they cut him to 5-2.

Well I guess we get almost a season-long sweat, so we've had £25 @ 9/1 with Chompy's favourite Bookmaker.

It looks a really good bet, but I'm loathe to tie up too much money for 7 or 8 months, hence just £25. 

£25 @ 9/1 wirth Coral, Danny Kedwall, Leading League 2 Goalscorer

ON


Single(s) - Win Receipt No.: 32675878 
npower League 2 2012/2013 - Top Goalscorer 
Danny Kedwell @ 9/1 
 
Stake: £25.00 (£25.00 x 1 line) 
Estimated Returns: £ 250.00 

[superwomble]

Danny Kedwell, what a player, was my hero for a couple of seasons. Gutted he went to Gillingscum but he's doing well over there now unfortunately. Think the odds are too low but you have a chance.