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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16553093 times)
tikay
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« Reply #16410 on: September 23, 2012, 03:25:06 PM »

Hi Tony,

Lets try £55 at 10/11 with VC on Kevin Smith of Detroit to have under 70.5 rushing yards in the Detroit at Tennessee game.

Tennessee D is pretty poor and they gave a lot of rushing yards away to New Eng in their first game, they the gave a manageable amount of rushing yards away to San Diego but they are struggling at rb with their first choice having missed the first two games of the season.

What makes this a bet and seems to have been missed is that Detroit's rb Mikel Leshoure returns from suspension today to get his first regular season action. He was drafted by them last season but was badly injured but is now fully fit and will certainly get his share of carries today and could even be the feature running back.

Smith has had 29 carries in the first two games for 115 yards in total tho those games didn't really pan out to be rb friendly for Detroit. So he has put up around 57 yards a game when he had the majority of carries and we can bet under 70.5 today when  he will have a better RB fit again and taking carries.

Obv as we saw the other night rb bets can be very game flow dependent and if Detroit have a good lead they will be running the clock down but even then he still has to get the carries.

cheers



Got it Phil, thank you!

£55 @ 10/11 with BetVictor, Kevin Smith UNDER 70.5 rush yds, Detroit @ Tennessee

ON
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« Reply #16411 on: September 23, 2012, 03:25:06 PM »

Hi Tony,

Lets try £55 at 10/11 with VC on Kevin Smith of Detroit to have under 70.5 rushing yards in the Detroit at Tennessee game.

Tennessee D is pretty poor and they gave a lot of rushing yards away to New Eng in their first game, they the gave a manageable amount of rushing yards away to San Diego but they are struggling at rb with their first choice having missed the first two games of the season.

What makes this a bet and seems to have been missed is that Detroit's rb Mikel Leshoure returns from suspension today to get his first regular season action. He was drafted by them last season but was badly injured but is now fully fit and will certainly get his share of carries today and could even be the feature running back.

Smith has had 29 carries in the first two games for 115 yards in total tho those games didn't really pan out to be rb friendly for Detroit. So he has put up around 57 yards a game when he had the majority of carries and we can bet under 70.5 today when  he will have a better RB fit again and taking carries.

Obv as we saw the other night rb bets can be very game flow dependent and if Detroit have a good lead they will be running the clock down but even then he still has to get the carries.

cheers




If you wanted two others prob not as strong as that bet then

Benjarvis Green Ellis under 80.5 rushing yards at 10/11 in the Cincy game might be ok. The reason we were with him a few weeks ago was his backup was out and he would get the carries. I think he has averaged about 19-20 in the first two games. I would expect Bernard Scott to get some carries instead of him today.

We played over 50.5 that day when he got the carries, today we can play under 80.5 when he won't get them all, tho the run D that day was much better than the one he faces today

Matt Cassel over 249.5 yards for Kansas v New Orleans at 10/11. New Orleans have a dynamite O and a very poor passing D. Kansas will prob be playing catch up and Cassel threw for over 300 yards last week in a game they were having to play catch up in after getting a long way behind.

ta
« Last Edit: September 23, 2012, 03:26:38 PM by bobby1 » Logged

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tikay
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« Reply #16412 on: September 23, 2012, 03:26:33 PM »

Hi Tony,

Lets try £55 at 10/11 with VC on Kevin Smith of Detroit to have under 70.5 rushing yards in the Detroit at Tennessee game.

Tennessee D is pretty poor and they gave a lot of rushing yards away to New Eng in their first game, they the gave a manageable amount of rushing yards away to San Diego but they are struggling at rb with their first choice having missed the first two games of the season.

What makes this a bet and seems to have been missed is that Detroit's rb Mikel Leshoure returns from suspension today to get his first regular season action. He was drafted by them last season but was badly injured but is now fully fit and will certainly get his share of carries today and could even be the feature running back.

Smith has had 29 carries in the first two games for 115 yards in total tho those games didn't really pan out to be rb friendly for Detroit. So he has put up around 57 yards a game when he had the majority of carries and we can bet under 70.5 today when  he will have a better RB fit again and taking carries.

Obv as we saw the other night rb bets can be very game flow dependent and if Detroit have a good lead they will be running the clock down but even then he still has to get the carries.

cheers




If you wanted two others prob not as strong as that bet then

Benjarvis Green Ellis under 80.5 rushing yards at 10/11 in the Cincy game might be ok. The reason we were with him a few weeks ago was his backup was out and he would get the carries. I think he has averaged about 19-20 in the first two games. I would expect Bernard Scott to get some carries instead of him today.

Matt Cassel over 249.5 yards for Kansas v New Orleans at 10/11. New Orleans have a dynamite O and a very poor passing D. Kansas will prob be playing catch up and Cassel threw for over 300 yards last week in a game they were having to play catch up in after getting a long way behind.

ta

Ooh, more!

I'll stick them on a bit later, my root veg need a bit of attention at the mo.

PS - The Benjarvus price is now 4/5.

Still worth betting?
« Last Edit: September 23, 2012, 03:30:34 PM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #16413 on: September 23, 2012, 03:27:06 PM »

2 circuits to go. All favourites in contention. GBs JTL going so well!
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« Reply #16414 on: September 23, 2012, 03:30:56 PM »

rugby looking promising

thanks hector got on the unders
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« Reply #16415 on: September 23, 2012, 03:31:16 PM »

2 circuits to go. All favourites in contention. GBs JTL going so well!

Thanks Tonji.
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« Reply #16416 on: September 23, 2012, 03:33:01 PM »

rugby looking promising

thanks hector got on the unders

So is Tighty's Leicester v Hull "OVERS" - 1-1 after 26 minutes. (EDITED)

Perez, in the F1, not so much.
« Last Edit: September 23, 2012, 03:39:23 PM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #16417 on: September 23, 2012, 03:34:27 PM »

overs wasnt it?

20 secs before next priority price!
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« Reply #16418 on: September 23, 2012, 03:35:32 PM »

https://apps.wildfireapp.com/microsite/pages/142b335db2d9ced0


i dont suspect this one will last long if ten minutes

man city to win 2-1 if you cant be bothered to click
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« Reply #16419 on: September 23, 2012, 03:39:43 PM »

overs wasnt it?

20 secs before next priority price!

Yes, sorry. Edited now.
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« Reply #16420 on: September 23, 2012, 03:41:04 PM »

2 circuits to go. All favourites in contention. GBs JTL going so well!

Thanks Tonji.

Boonen 8/1 in running
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tikay
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« Reply #16421 on: September 23, 2012, 03:42:32 PM »

https://apps.wildfireapp.com/microsite/pages/142b335db2d9ced0


i dont suspect this one will last long if ten minutes

man city to win 2-1 if you cant be bothered to click

Got it, thanks. Good job you reminded me, was just off to bed.


We have £10 Man City to beat Arsenal, @ 2/1, with Wm Hill (Priority Price thingie).

ON


23 Sep 2012 - Man City Priority Price 23/9/12 (vs Arsenal) - Limited Availability

Man City to win @ 2/1

Stake : £10.00
Estimated Returns : £30.00Transaction Reference:O/0457483/0000088/F
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« Reply #16422 on: September 23, 2012, 03:45:10 PM »


The earlier Wm Hill "Priority Bet" (£10 Man Utd to win @ 3/1) got home. Handy £30 that, thanks.

Winner. 
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« Reply #16423 on: September 23, 2012, 03:47:28 PM »

Last circuit. All in contention. Fantastic race!!!
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« Reply #16424 on: September 23, 2012, 03:48:35 PM »

priority gone

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