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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16734452 times)
hector62
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« Reply #16755 on: September 26, 2012, 12:05:43 PM »

All this talk of Poisson, handles etc in this thread is quite disconcerting. Am I the only bettor left who when in search of a bet eschews pen, paper, calculator etc and instead heads for the shower and hopes for an epiphany ?
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« Reply #16756 on: September 26, 2012, 12:33:12 PM »

Last weekend in the championship there were 12 matches , 10 of which were BTS.
On the betfred bonus coupon it was 10 out of 11 Sad. Also there were 11 out of 12
matches which were over 2.5 goals with an average of 3.5 per game.

This weekend Betfred have taken 4 matches, Barnsley, Bristol City, Cardiff, Charlton
off the bonus coupon from the championship. Miserable sods

I suggest a £20 treble on Wolves , Huddersfield , Burnley BTS @ 9-2

£10 fivefold same 3 with Bolton , Middlesbro BTS @ 16-1

£5 banzai on all 8 in the championship BTS @ 100-1

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bookiebasher
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« Reply #16757 on: September 26, 2012, 12:37:18 PM »

I know all relevent info is out there for all to see , including odds compilers , but still
feel there is some value in these championship matches, whether it be BTS or over
2.5 goals.

Betfred have taken 4 matches off from the championship this week and if the trend
continues they will take more off.

Let the trend be your friend.
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AceHighSuited
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« Reply #16758 on: September 26, 2012, 12:38:14 PM »

while Wigan have a history of playing second stringers in the League Cup.

So wish I never read this.  Just fml.  I miss when the camel posts 6/1 winners and then read the last words of his post were Wigan trounce West Ham. 

Suppose, i deserve it for being greedy.

To be fair to me, they did make 6  or 7 changes.

And I didn't advise it as bet on West Ham, who also made wholesale changes.

Wasn't blaming you Camel.  

I should have waited for team news anyway.  Mug punter.
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tikay
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« Reply #16759 on: September 26, 2012, 12:45:14 PM »

while Wigan have a history of playing second stringers in the League Cup.

So wish I never read this.  Just fml.  I miss when the camel posts 6/1 winners and then read the last words of his post were Wigan trounce West Ham. 

Suppose, i deserve it for being greedy.

To be fair to me, they did make 6  or 7 changes.

And I didn't advise it as bet on West Ham, who also made wholesale changes.

Wasn't blaming you Camel.  

I should have waited for team news anyway. Mug punter.

You have to choose one or the other.

Wagon, or Ice-Cream?
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« Reply #16760 on: September 26, 2012, 12:45:28 PM »

Would just like to thank Neil for taking the time to write those articles.

A great read and this thread is a great source of information.

I just hope it doesnt get too popular for obvious reasons.
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tikay
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« Reply #16761 on: September 26, 2012, 12:59:01 PM »

Would just like to thank Neil for taking the time to write those articles.

A great read and this thread is a great source of information.

I just hope it doesnt get too popular for obvious reasons.

Feel free to offer thanks for my incredibly insightful punting advice too, Jim.
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AceHighSuited
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« Reply #16762 on: September 26, 2012, 01:02:06 PM »

I also loved what NC had to write.

As I said before I work for a small company and I read this thread and other sites and try and monitor specific events.  But one thing that NC wrote which resonated with me was how smaller firms don't always do a lot of work and they replicate prices from others like Laddies/Hills/Boyles etc.  This is definitely something we do as a short cut.  

Regarding the bet % this information is on odds checker a fair bit.  There will be other sites that hold it I'm sure.

I get the chance daily to see punters making mistakes, but I sometimes don't learn from them.  

One thing this thread does when you try an separate the wheat from the chaff is gives you a glimpse through the minds of guys who bet for a living.  I mean no disrespect to the majority on this thread but there are certain opinions that are absolutely more valuable than others.  Its all a learning curve.  I wish I could lock the combined minds of say NC, Camel, Red, EdGascoigne, Chompy and Tightend to  a certain degree.  I'd love to be a fly on the wall and try and learn from seeing them all in action discussing bets and breaking down stats.  
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« Reply #16763 on: September 26, 2012, 01:11:45 PM »

When he writes his book - & he will - it'll be a Best Seller. It will.

The Ice Cream Wagon - Spiffing Punting Tales

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bookiebasher
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« Reply #16764 on: September 26, 2012, 01:13:25 PM »

Would just like to thank Neil for taking the time to write those articles.

A great read and this thread is a great source of information.

I just hope it doesnt get too popular for obvious reasons.

Feel free to offer thanks for my incredibly insightful punting advice too, Jim.
When I want 11-10 about a 6-5 chance and require some stats on the possible outcomes
of foursomes/fourball matches in golf....... your my man  Wink
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Rubbish2407
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« Reply #16765 on: September 26, 2012, 01:14:58 PM »

Last weekend in the championship there were 12 matches , 10 of which were BTS.
On the betfred bonus coupon it was 10 out of 11 Sad. Also there were 11 out of 12
matches which were over 2.5 goals with an average of 3.5 per game.

This weekend Betfred have taken 4 matches, Barnsley, Bristol City, Cardiff, Charlton
off the bonus coupon from the championship. Miserable sods


I suggest a £20 treble on Wolves , Huddersfield , Burnley BTS @ 9-2

£10 fivefold same 3 with Bolton , Middlesbro BTS @ 16-1

£5 banzai on all 8 in the championship BTS @ 100-1



Does this mean these four teams are most likely to be BTTS and therefore should we betting on them on a different site?

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« Reply #16766 on: September 26, 2012, 01:15:14 PM »

I also loved what NC had to write.

As I said before I work for a small company and I read this thread and other sites and try and monitor specific events.  But one thing that NC wrote which resonated with me was how smaller firms don't always do a lot of work and they replicate prices from others like Laddies/Hills/Boyles etc.  This is definitely something we do as a short cut.  

Regarding the bet % this information is on odds checker a fair bit.  There will be other sites that hold it I'm sure.

I get the chance daily to see punters making mistakes, but I sometimes don't learn from them.  

One thing this thread does when you try an separate the wheat from the chaff is gives you a glimpse through the minds of guys who bet for a living.  I mean no disrespect to the majority on this thread but there are certain opinions that are absolutely more valuable than others.  Its all a learning curve.  I wish I could lock the combined minds of say NC, Camel, Red, EdGascoigne, Chompy and Tightend to  a certain degree.  I'd love to be a fly on the wall and try and learn from seeing them all in action discussing bets and breaking down stats.  


thanks Smiley
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bookiebasher
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« Reply #16767 on: September 26, 2012, 01:27:00 PM »




[/quote]

Does this mean these four teams are most likely to be BTTS and therefore should we betting on them on a different site?


[/quote]
Betfred think they are more likely although they thought that last week about Peterboro.

The trouble with betting them on another site is the price. I really liked the look of the Bristol C v Leeds
and Cardiff v Blackpool matches but had my doubts betfred would leave them on the bonus coupon.
A treble of Bristol C , Cardiff , Charlton pays only around 11-4 so to me thats no value and no bet.
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tikay
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« Reply #16768 on: September 26, 2012, 01:29:10 PM »

Would just like to thank Neil for taking the time to write those articles.

A great read and this thread is a great source of information.

I just hope it doesnt get too popular for obvious reasons.

Feel free to offer thanks for my incredibly insightful punting advice too, Jim.
When I want 11-10 about a 6-5 chance and require some stats on the possible outcomes
of foursomes/fourball matches in golf....... your my man  Wink

FML.
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« Reply #16769 on: September 26, 2012, 01:32:44 PM »

Starting to think Brighton are getting too short.

Don't tell Karabiner but I'm considering going green.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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