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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16606537 times)
DungBeetle
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« Reply #17490 on: October 03, 2012, 03:39:07 PM »

They have Mario Gotze.  He is the NUTS in Football Manager 2012 if you can prize him away from Dortmund.
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redarmi
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« Reply #17491 on: October 03, 2012, 03:41:18 PM »

I kinda like City too but I dont think there is any rush to take the price as it may well drift further as they are 2.17ish in Asia and there has been no resistance to the drift at all yet.  I think they will get backed back at some point but might be possible to get 2.20+ on Betfair at some point.
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Nico29
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« Reply #17492 on: October 03, 2012, 03:43:33 PM »

Interesting article on Lewandowski, Dortmund's evolution as a CL team and tactics for tonight

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/19799241

Read this article earlier Tighty but if anything it made me even more happy with the bet.

Doesn't sound like it's all rosey in the garden of Dortmund with talk of greed showing it's ugly face again in regards to wages.

Yeah those like Lewandowski may look at tonight as potential shop window for next year and stuff, but doubt yaya and co will allow much showboating.

Thanks Dom, that's nicely proposed.

The23/20 (Betvictor) seems ool with everyone else, too, most are at Evens, with one or two odds-on.

I was having a look around this morning to see if I could find some value somewhere, &, learning from others, I now try & price the matches up BEFORE I go to Oddschecker. I had  Man City at around 8/11 in my mind (lol, hark at me.....), so I assumed I had misread the situation, & perhaps the Germen Gentlemen were better than I assumed.

Anyway, as you suggest, let's see what others think, even if it means we lose a smidgen of value by waiting.

Really good idea to do this, also 8/11 wldnt have shocked me, i'd have just said no bet. Like you I felt i'd possibly misread the situation or that maybe City had a key player out. Bar odd defensive woe in terms of cover all seems fine.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #17493 on: October 03, 2012, 04:07:29 PM »

fascinating day on the arc betting on the machine

danedream has already come in from 1000 to 10-1 then back out again

as i type frankel yes frankel is now 36-1 from a high of 1000


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Doobs
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« Reply #17494 on: October 03, 2012, 04:15:42 PM »

Thanks Dom, that's nicely proposed.

The23/20 (Betvictor) seems ool with everyone else, too, most are at Evens, with one or two odds-on.

I was having a look around this morning to see if I could find some value somewhere, &, learning from others, I now try & price the matches up BEFORE I go to Oddschecker. I had  Man City at around 8/11 in my mind (lol, hark at me.....), so I assumed I had misread the situation, & perhaps the Germen Gentlemen were better than I assumed.

Anyway, as you suggest, let's see what others think, even if it means we lose a smidgen of value by waiting.

Don't see why we are waiting if the price is good.  2.18 on betfair and we are beating that.  I would have expected shorter too.  City seem a worse team this season, but that isn't enough to stop me coming down on the side if betting.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
redarmi
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« Reply #17495 on: October 03, 2012, 04:27:03 PM »

23/20 is a worse price than 2.18.....
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The Camel
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« Reply #17496 on: October 03, 2012, 04:33:26 PM »

23/20 is a worse price than 2.18.....

not if you're paying 5% commish
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Nico29
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« Reply #17497 on: October 03, 2012, 04:39:12 PM »

23/20 has gone last i looked, 11/10 or 2.2 on betfair both seem still fair enough, can't see how it will drift much further though. Pinnacle are 15/13 also.
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redarmi
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« Reply #17498 on: October 03, 2012, 04:51:17 PM »

23/20 is a worse price than 2.18.....

not if you're paying 5% commish

True but the general price in Asia was 2.16ish at that time so the point remains ;-) and it is past time Tikay got himself sorted with an account at SBO to go with his pinnacle and Betfair accounts.
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Doobs
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« Reply #17499 on: October 03, 2012, 05:12:14 PM »

23/20 is a worse price than 2.18.....

not if you're paying 5% commish

True but the general price in Asia was 2.16ish at that time so the point remains ;-) and it is past time Tikay got himself sorted with an account at SBO to go with his pinnacle and Betfair accounts.

2.12 on betfair now Sad
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
scotty2hatty
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« Reply #17500 on: October 03, 2012, 05:14:02 PM »

They have Mario Gotze.  He is the NUTS in Football Manager 2012 if you can prize him away from Dortmund.

Cost me £80m
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redarmi
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« Reply #17501 on: October 03, 2012, 05:17:23 PM »

23/20 is a worse price than 2.18.....

not if you're paying 5% commish

True but the general price in Asia was 2.16ish at that time so the point remains ;-) and it is past time Tikay got himself sorted with an account at SBO to go with his pinnacle and Betfair accounts.

2.12 on betfair now Sad

Dead cat bounce innit.
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redarmi
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« Reply #17502 on: October 03, 2012, 06:59:39 PM »

I, and I think the market, assumed Real may rest some players tonight ahead of El Classico but they haven't.  Think both the 4/7 and -1 1.90 represent value along with Ronaldo @5/6 to score anytime.
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tikay
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« Reply #17503 on: October 03, 2012, 07:12:17 PM »

I, and I think the market, assumed Real may rest some players tonight ahead of El Classico but they haven't.  Think both the 4/7 and -1 1.90 represent value along with Ronaldo @5/6 to score anytime.

The 4/7 seems to have gone, hard to see better than 1/2 now.
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Nico29
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« Reply #17504 on: October 03, 2012, 07:15:23 PM »

I still think fred should avail itself of the 11/10 on City tonight, def still value imo.
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