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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16331232 times)
tikay
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« Reply #21360 on: November 25, 2012, 01:50:24 PM »

Southampton price has gone now and i would think it is a no bet now at current prices.  It was 2.40 when Ray recommended it but it is 2.20 now on Betfair which I find it hard to believe is value.  I made it 2.30 possibly 2.25 fwiw.  Couldn't put anyone off Swansea although i think it has been mentioned before Liverpool seem to have less pressure on the road.

NFL - like the KC pick although had to hold my nose to bet it.  Know I have mentioned it before and I hasve no affiliation with them but if you want to bet dogs in the NFL get a sports Interaction account.  They are +11.5 KC when it is a general +10.

It was 2.50 at Stan James Tongue

Wasn't sure if that was value or not but assume so since you priced it a bit shorter.

We will keep an eye on the price, montadoo.
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tikay
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« Reply #21361 on: November 25, 2012, 01:51:20 PM »

I think Newcastle are best to swerve immed post europa league games.

Heard a few pundits say their squad is struggling to cope with the demands of thursd/wknd games.

Tbh I would be looking at backing Southampton myself if the market didn't seem so correct now.

Meh.

Think that sums it up, Dom.
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« Reply #21362 on: November 25, 2012, 02:07:46 PM »

Morning Mr T. I wanted to tip Exeter to beat London Irish today, and I think they will, but I have found a better tip for you at a nice price.

As it is Sunday I have donned my new found F1 experts hat and looked at the Brazilian GP. I love it when it rains during the race and there is rain forecast. In looking at last weeks Frank Bruno bet I paid particular attention to those people who qualified from P10 downwards and how they then raced. I have then looked at how they performed during the season and I have found what may be a little gem.

Daniel Ricciardo races for the Toro Rosso team and has scored 10 points this season, pretty average. He scored in the 1st GP and then went 10 without pointifying. Now in the last 8 races he has got points in 5 of them. In those races he has never qualified higher than 14th but he has averaged a  gain of 6 places per race.

Today he starts in 15th place which is bang on where he usually does. I am not sure if the prospect of a wet race helps him at all as he has done well without it but at the price we get I think it is worth investing.

Suggest £20 Ricciardo to pointify @ 4-1 BetFred.

P.S I found this one all on my one too.

Here we go......


Riccardio to pointify, Brazilian F1 GP, £20 @ 4/1, BetFred..


ON


Formula 1 - Brazilian Grand Prix
Points Finish
 Ricciardo, Daniel 4/1 
Total stake £ 20.00
Estimated return £ 100.00

Full stake £ 20.00
Full estimated return £ 100.00
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« Reply #21363 on: November 25, 2012, 02:11:44 PM »

Trip report from Oakwell:

Alas, no cigar.  Nothing really clear cut before Cardiff scored their first (which ironically led to Wiseman being switched from Centre Back to Right Back, so some good did come from it).

But then agony in stoppage time at the end of the first half.  We take a curling free kick from the right, Cardiff play the offside trap badly, and Tudgay is suddenly on his own on the 6 yard line, 2 metres in front of all their back 4 with only the keeper to beat.  Deft placed header into the corner (was the plan anyway), and the ball trickles wide.

Second half, he has a looping header from about 10 yards out that gives us a sweat, but it lands on the top netting.

He was subbed with about 10 minutes to go as they brought another new signing, Emile Sinclair, on for him as we chased the game from 2-1 down.

Ho hum, I'm pretty sure we won some Sklansky bucks from that anyway!

I think this was one of the best value spots this thread has found.  If they came up every week we'd be smashing it up!
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tikay
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« Reply #21364 on: November 25, 2012, 02:19:11 PM »

Signing in as a fan of Oakland +9

Another tick for that suggestion then, thanks.

PS - congrats on your success in the blonde NFL Fantasy League.
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« Reply #21365 on: November 25, 2012, 02:21:14 PM »

Not sure palpable errors can count as "one of the best value spots this thread has found"
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« Reply #21366 on: November 25, 2012, 02:49:59 PM »

Southampton price has gone now and i would think it is a no bet now at current prices.  It was 2.40 when Ray recommended it but it is 2.20 now on Betfair which I find it hard to believe is value.  I made it 2.30 possibly 2.25 fwiw.  Couldn't put anyone off Swansea although i think it has been mentioned before Liverpool seem to have less pressure on the road.

NFL - like the KC pick although had to hold my nose to bet it.  Know I have mentioned it before and I hasve no affiliation with them but if you want to bet dogs in the NFL get a sports Interaction account.  They are +11.5 KC when it is a general +10.

It was 2.50 at Stan James Tongue

Wasn't sure if that was value or not but assume so since you priced it a bit shorter.

We will keep an eye on the price, montadoo.

GL Tikay.
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« Reply #21367 on: November 25, 2012, 02:56:24 PM »

Not sure I like the chiefs bet.... Of their losses this season their average loss is by 15 points home loss average 13.6.... These against arguably lesser offense/defense combos than Denver.... KC pretty much the nut worst team in the NFL with nothing to play for.... Denver on a tear and their defense is becoming a force ... After shaking off the rust manning shows why Denver used 18 million of their cap for him... I really fear for KC here as they could get cut to pieces with very little the other way
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« Reply #21368 on: November 25, 2012, 02:57:02 PM »

Not sure palpable errors can count as "one of the best value spots this thread has found"

Dunno, maybe those two bookies had seen him "play" for Forest? Smiley
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« Reply #21369 on: November 25, 2012, 03:27:08 PM »

Not sure I like the chiefs bet.... Of their losses this season their average loss is by 15 points home loss average 13.6.... These against arguably lesser offense/defense combos than Denver.... KC pretty much the nut worst team in the NFL with nothing to play for.... Denver on a tear and their defense is becoming a force ... After shaking off the rust manning shows why Denver used 18 million of their cap for him... I really fear for KC here as they could get cut to pieces with very little the other way

Have you seen Jacksonville play?
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« Reply #21370 on: November 25, 2012, 03:30:13 PM »


Swansea and Liverpool draw 0-0, so not ideal for our Suarez thing.
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« Reply #21371 on: November 25, 2012, 03:31:05 PM »

Not sure I like the chiefs bet.... Of their losses this season their average loss is by 15 points home loss average 13.6.... These against arguably lesser offense/defense combos than Denver.... KC pretty much the nut worst team in the NFL with nothing to play for.... Denver on a tear and their defense is becoming a force ... After shaking off the rust manning shows why Denver used 18 million of their cap for him... I really fear for KC here as they could get cut to pieces with very little the other way

Have you seen Jacksonville play?

Lol yes but they forget themselves sometimes like against the texans.... But arguing who is worse only comes into play for 1st pick... However if manning gets in a groove and doesn't let up could get ugly real quick
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« Reply #21372 on: November 25, 2012, 04:10:51 PM »

Nightmare start for Vettel.
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« Reply #21373 on: November 25, 2012, 04:14:40 PM »

Nightmare start for Vettel.

How is our pointify chap doing?
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« Reply #21374 on: November 25, 2012, 04:16:22 PM »

Nightmare start for Vettel.

How is our pointify chap doing?

still on the black stuff, early days, in 12th
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