Tips for Tikay

[Ant040689]

If Watford were around 2/1 to beat Sheff Weds away from home I would imagine to get good value on Brighton you need about 3.4/3.5

[The Camel]

If Watford were around 2/1 to beat Sheff Weds away from home I would imagine to get good value on Brighton you need about 3.4/3.5

As Doobs said, if the two teams are of the same ability, 2/1 is about the right price.

I actually think Brighton are better than Palace.

But opinions are like arseholes.

Everyone has got one.

[Ant040689]

Well I would just give you a friendly warning to not touch it after seeing most of our home games and quite a few away games this season.

I haven't seen a Palace side as good as the one we have playing at home currently.

[The Camel]

Well I would just give you a friendly warning to not touch it after seeing most of our home games and quite a few away games this season.

I haven't seen a Palace side as good as the one we have playing at home currently.

If Palace win, it won't make you right and if Brighton win, I won't be right.

It's all variance mate.

[Ant040689]

Fair play, I am getting a touch protective of the Palace aren't I? Gonna chill now, Holloway has this under control...

[aaron1867]

General rule of mine would be never to bet in 'derby' games.

[The Camel]

General rule of mine would be never to bet in 'derby' games.

That surely deserves a place in the other thread mate

[aaron1867]

Hmm, not so sure Keith, get the feeling these games are a lot different to a run of the mill Championship game

I know plenty who avoid betting in similar matches and in all honesty, not really sure 9/4 is a big price. I would probably be looking to 11/4 minimum considering both teams.

[pleno1]

[TL900]

Morning Tikay. Been looking at the NBA tonight and the Raptors @ Rockets game as I think there is a lot of value in the early markets in this game.

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/toronto-raptors-at-houston-rockets/total-points

Most bookmakers have started this game at around 200 total points with PP being as high as 201.

I suggest O198.5 points with ladbrokes, we already have edge on most other bookmakers and I expect the line to increase throughout the day.

Both defences are relatively bad allowing over 100 points a game on average. Both teams play at a very quick pace and with alot of pick and rolls which niether defence defends against very well.

I would also like to suggest the Rockets -4.5 with ladbrokes also. Most bookies have this game @ -5 which I still think is the good side. As I have said before form is huge in NBA. Raptors are 1-7 on the road and haven't won in 4 whereas the Rockets have won their last 4 at home (inc a 131-103 drubbing of NYK last time out) so they will be high on confidence.

I think ladbrokes are off on both these lines especially the total points line.

GL

I don't have a working ladbrokes account at the minute and am looking to bet these lines. If someone can do it for me that would be amazing, we can use an escrow or whatever and I can ship on stars/ftp/bank np. PM me if anyone can help me out, Cheers!

Both lines have now moved.

Cheers for spotting that one Tom.

Now for them to win, sweats!!!

Lines are up to 204 and -6 in most places now. We have 5.5 point edge on the points, that is absolutely hugeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee. Just gota do a get there

emphatic scoopage

[tikay]

Morning Tikay. Been looking at the NBA tonight and the Raptors @ Rockets game as I think there is a lot of value in the early markets in this game.

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/toronto-raptors-at-houston-rockets/total-points

Most bookmakers have started this game at around 200 total points with PP being as high as 201.

I suggest O198.5 points with ladbrokes, we already have edge on most other bookmakers and I expect the line to increase throughout the day.

Both defences are relatively bad allowing over 100 points a game on average. Both teams play at a very quick pace and with alot of pick and rolls which niether defence defends against very well.

I would also like to suggest the Rockets -4.5 with ladbrokes also. Most bookies have this game @ -5 which I still think is the good side. As I have said before form is huge in NBA. Raptors are 1-7 on the road and haven't won in 4 whereas the Rockets have won their last 4 at home (inc a 131-103 drubbing of NYK last time out) so they will be high on confidence.

I think ladbrokes are off on both these lines especially the total points line.

GL

I don't have a working ladbrokes account at the minute and am looking to bet these lines. If someone can do it for me that would be amazing, we can use an escrow or whatever and I can ship on stars/ftp/bank np. PM me if anyone can help me out, Cheers!

Both lines have now moved.

Cheers for spotting that one Tom.

Now for them to win, sweats!!!

Lines are up to 204 and -6 in most places now. We have 5.5 point edge on the points, that is absolutely hugeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee. Just gota do a get there

emphatic scoopage

Congrats!

218 is deffo "emphatic".

Hope plenty of the lads got on.

Keep putting your suggestions up please, but if you take a look at the Spready, you'll understand why I am very reticent about NBA stuff.

Given the way the line moved yesterday, yours was clearly a very good bet indeed, & perhaps it was a bit daft of me to swerve it, but such is life.

[tikay]

Daily Summary, as @ 0730, Wednesday November 28th

PROFIT on Month = £833.00


Unsettled Bets  - £828.50




https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=14

[Ant040689]

Tips for Saturday are Palace to win at 2.25
                             Bristol City to win at 2.62
                             Millwall to draw at 3.5

Millwall, classically are only winning games by one, Charlton are performing great away from home with 3 draws into the mix. I think both teams playing so well at the moment will nullify eachother. Hardly ever back draws but I am going for it here. Would like more input from others on this though.

Bristol City are on the up after some dismal performances. Their last home game was a 1-1 against a tricky Blackpool side, and they won away from home against Boro as well which was great, but I heard they weren't all that against Brighton yesterday. But for the price and the attraction of the first home win in 8 games, it's not a bad shout. Wolves haven't won in nine drawing three and in press conferences their manager has been mentioning his job being on the line a little bit too much, can't see how he is operating with authority if he is managing, scared. They were woeful in the second half against Millwall I heard too and I just think the price is right for a bet on City here.

Palace bet comes out of our recent home form. Derby we beat 3-0 without getting out of second gear and Wilf not playing the best of games, they're a team on the up of late and showing good quality. Ipswich was a mauling, 5-0, and to be fair they are relegation contenders. Then we beat Blackburn comfortably at home when they were fifth or around there, with beating them by 4 or 5 a fairer result. We then drew with Millwall after having a man sent off at half time and conceding a penno which changed the momentum completely, we would have beaten them 4-0 if not for that. Beat Burnley 4-3 in a very exciting game which we deserved and came out more comfortably than the result suggests and same applies to Cardiff at home beating them 3-2, when we dominated most of the game.

I just think with that record against two top sides in Cardiff and Blackburn, with Derby and Millwall both tasty teams, we will beat most teams that come to Selhurst.

Brighton's away form of late has been pretty good, but their habit of missing chances and us being so cynical at home means I think evens for Palace at home would be the right price. 2.25 is pretty good value imo. I think Palace probably won't lose at home this season, winning most of them, and I am possibly going to rue not putting that bet on.

All of these bets are obv up for debate and as you know I have no expertise in betting, I just am putting my fancies up there if anyone else was to rally behind and get you to put on.

[tikay]

Daily Summary as at 8.00am, Wednesday 28th November

We lost £2 (TWO POUNDS) yesterday.

Not a great day, we missed more winners than losers, (Watford especially) but unless I personally like the bet, or a bet receives encouragement, I can’t back them. This particularly applies to “homer” bets, put up by supporters of the Team to be backed. Rose tinted glasses & all that.

The NBA bet looked really good, too, but not a soul supported it, so we missed it.

One of those days.

Moving swiftly on then…….

Fred is now the blonde base for the San Francisco 49ers, & we have a serial bet to follow right through until February. Fans of the Cowboys, Bears, Dolphins, Giants, go away, we are the 49ers massive.

Anyway…..we have had a very rare MAX, & it is on the 49ers to win Superbowl XLVII.

NFL & Superbowl is all a bit new, & confusing, to me, so let us start at the very beginning of Superbowl…….

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[tikay]

Reminder......


This suggestion remains open to discussion.


Fun4Fraser

£100 Spurs to beat Liverpool 4/5 Daw No bet

I cannot see any way we would ever invest £100 in this, but if the bet reps some sort of value, somewhere between £20 & £50 would be appropriate.


Current DNB prices are....


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/tottenham-v-liverpool/draw-no-bet

Current outrights are.....

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/tottenham-v-liverpool/winner